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New York Liberty v Las Vegas Aces
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
New York Liberty (Local)
Predicción 81.93%1.22momio equitativo
EV -2.50%
Ventaja -2.10%
Kelly -13.15%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.19
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
79.51%81.88%81.97%83.45%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.121.161.171.1989.29%85.90%85.47%84.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Las Vegas Aces (Visitante)
Predicción 18.07%5.54momio equitativo
EV +4.78%
Ventaja +0.824%
Kelly +0.995%
Crecimiento +0.048%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.55%18.12%18.03%20.49%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.505.205.205.8022.22%19.24%19.23%17.24%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: New York Liberty (Local): 81.93%; Las Vegas Aces (Visitante): 18.07%. Para Las Vegas Aces (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 5.54. 4 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 5.80, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +4.78%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -5.77%E -5.02%K -38.50%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV +4.78%E +0.824%K +0.995%G +0.048% | 4.2% | 2026-08-09 16:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.21%EV -4.96%E -4.27%K -30.97%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV +3.87%E +0.674%K +0.816%G +0.032% | 3.6% | 2026-08-09 16:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.60%EV -3.32%E -2.81%K -18.43%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.40%EV +1.17%E +0.208%K +0.253%G +0.003% | 2.6% | 2026-08-09 16:28 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.60%EV -3.32%E -2.81%K -18.43%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.40%EV +1.17%E +0.208%K +0.253%G +0.003% | 2.6% | 2026-08-09 16:28 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -4.14%E -3.54%K -24.33%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -0.641%E -0.117%K -0.143%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-09 16:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.77%E -5.02%K -38.50%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.641%E -0.117%K -0.143%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 16:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.77%E -5.02%K -38.50%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.641%E -0.117%K -0.143%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 16:28 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.59%E -5.78%K -47.10%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -0.641%E -0.117%K -0.143%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-09 16:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.59%E -5.78%K -47.10%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -0.641%E -0.117%K -0.143%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-09 16:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.27%EV -4.14%E -3.54%K -24.33%G +0.000% | 5.43I 18.42%NM 17.73%EV -1.91%E -0.351%K -0.430%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-09 16:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.27%EV -4.14%E -3.54%K -24.33%G +0.000% | 5.43I 18.42%NM 17.73%EV -1.91%E -0.351%K -0.430%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-09 16:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.25%EV -4.14%E -3.54%K -24.33%G +0.000% | 5.42I 18.45%NM 17.75%EV -2.09%E -0.385%K -0.472%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-09 16:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.14%E -3.54%K -24.33%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -2.45%E -0.453%K -0.556%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-09 16:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.77%E -5.02%K -38.50%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -2.45%E -0.453%K -0.556%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-09 16:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -4.14%E -3.54%K -24.33%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -4.25%E -0.803%K -0.989%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-09 16:07 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.96%E -4.27%K -30.97%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -4.25%E -0.803%K -0.989%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 16:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -5.77%E -5.02%K -38.50%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -4.25%E -0.803%K -0.989%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-09 16:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.14%E -3.54%K -24.33%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -5.16%E -0.982%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-09 16:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.96%E -4.27%K -30.97%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -5.16%E -0.982%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-09 16:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.77%E -5.02%K -38.50%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -5.16%E -0.982%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-09 16:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.77%E -5.02%K -38.50%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -5.16%E -0.982%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-09 16:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.77%E -5.02%K -38.50%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -5.16%E -0.982%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-09 16:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.53%EV -3.32%E -2.81%K -18.43%G +0.000% | 5.21I 19.19%NM 18.47%EV -5.88%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-09 16:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.14%E -3.54%K -24.33%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -6.06%E -1.17%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-09 16:09 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.14%E -3.54%K -24.33%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -6.06%E -1.17%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-09 16:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.14%E -3.54%K -24.33%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -7.87%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 16:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.14%E -3.54%K -24.33%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -7.87%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 16:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.14%E -3.54%K -24.33%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -7.87%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 16:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.14%E -3.54%K -24.33%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -7.87%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 16:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.14%E -3.54%K -24.33%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -7.87%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 16:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.14%E -3.54%K -24.33%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -7.87%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 16:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.14%E -3.54%K -24.33%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -7.87%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 16:29 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.14%E -3.54%K -24.33%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -7.87%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 16:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.14%E -3.54%K -24.33%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -7.87%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 16:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.14%E -3.54%K -24.33%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -7.87%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 16:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.32%E -2.81%K -18.43%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -9.67%E -1.93%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-09 14:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.14%E -3.54%K -24.33%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.67%E -1.93%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-09 15:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.14%E -3.54%K -24.33%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.67%E -1.93%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-09 16:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.14%E -3.54%K -24.33%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.67%E -1.93%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-09 15:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.14%E -3.54%K -24.33%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.67%E -1.93%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-09 15:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.59%E -5.78%K -47.10%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -9.67%E -1.93%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-09 16:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.59%E -5.78%K -47.10%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -9.67%E -1.93%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-09 16:14 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.88%EV -4.14%E -3.54%K -24.33%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.12%EV -10.58%E -2.14%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-09 16:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -2.50%E -2.10%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -13.29%E -2.77%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-09 14:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -2.50%E -2.10%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -13.29%E -2.77%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-09 14:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.08%EV -8.23%E -7.35%K -68.61%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.92%EV -13.29%E -2.77%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-09 16:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -3.32%E -2.81%K -18.43%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -16.90%E -3.67%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-09 16:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.51%EV -4.96%E -4.27%K -30.97%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -18.71%E -4.16%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-09 16:29 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.53% | 6.45I 15.50%NM 15.47% | 0.2% | 2026-08-09 16:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.12% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.88% | 0.7% | 2026-08-09 16:30 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.19% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.81% | 1.2% | 2026-08-09 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.57% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.43% | 1.4% | 2026-08-09 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.12% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.88% | 1.6% | 2026-08-09 16:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.12% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.88% | 1.6% | 2026-08-09 16:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.12% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.88% | 1.6% | 2026-08-09 16:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 83.45% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.55% | 2.4% | 2026-08-09 16:30 |