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New York Liberty v Indiana Fever
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
New York Liberty (Local)
Prediction 54.01%1.85fair odd
EV +0.460%
Edge +0.247%
Kelly +0.535%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 1.86
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.05%53.88%54.07%55.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.781.771.8658.82%56.26%56.50%53.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Indiana Fever (Visit)
Prediction 45.99%2.17fair odd
EV -1.12%
Edge -0.522%
Kelly -0.977%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.73%46.12%45.93%48.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.932.042.052.1551.81%49.03%48.78%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Liberty (Local): 54.01%; Indiana Fever (Visit): 45.99%. For New York Liberty (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.85. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.86, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.460%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV +0.460%E +0.247%K +0.535%G +0.002% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -10.78%E -5.56%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-22 23:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%EV -0.080%E -0.043%K -0.094%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%EV -5.72%E -2.79%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-22 23:03 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.16%E -0.634%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -8.02%E -4.01%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-22 22:38 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -1.16%E -0.634%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -8.94%E -4.52%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-22 23:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -2.24%E -1.24%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -5.26%E -2.55%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-22 22:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -2.24%E -1.24%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -9.40%E -4.77%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-22 23:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -2.78%E -1.54%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -3.42%E -1.63%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-22 22:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.78%E -1.54%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.72%E -2.79%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-22 22:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.78%E -1.54%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.72%E -2.79%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-22 22:44 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.78%E -1.54%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.72%E -2.79%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-22 22:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.78%E -1.54%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.10%E -3.52%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-22 22:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.78%E -1.54%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.10%E -3.52%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-22 22:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.78%E -1.54%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.10%E -3.52%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-22 22:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.78%E -1.54%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.10%E -3.52%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-22 23:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.78%E -1.54%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.10%E -3.52%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-22 22:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.78%E -1.54%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.10%E -3.52%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-22 22:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.78%E -1.54%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.10%E -3.52%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-22 22:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.78%E -1.54%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.10%E -3.52%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-22 22:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.78%E -1.54%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.10%E -3.52%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-22 23:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.78%E -1.54%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.10%E -3.52%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-22 23:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.78%E -1.54%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.02%E -4.01%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-22 23:04 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.78%E -1.54%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.32%E -5.29%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-22 23:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.86%E -2.17%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -3.42%E -1.63%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-22 23:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.40%E -2.49%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.42%E -1.63%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-22 22:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.40%E -2.49%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.42%E -1.63%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-22 23:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.40%E -2.49%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.42%E -1.63%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-22 23:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.40%E -2.49%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.42%E -1.63%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-22 23:03 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.40%E -2.49%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.42%E -1.63%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-22 23:04 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.40%E -2.49%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -5.26%E -2.55%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-22 22:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.40%E -2.49%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.72%E -2.79%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-22 22:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.40%E -2.49%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.72%E -2.79%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-22 23:03 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.40%E -2.49%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.72%E -2.79%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-22 23:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.94%E -2.81%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.72%E -2.79%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-22 22:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.48%E -3.13%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.42%E -1.63%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-22 23:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -5.48%E -3.13%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -6.18%E -3.03%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-22 22:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -5.48%E -3.13%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -6.18%E -3.03%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-22 22:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.45%EV -5.48%E -3.13%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -11.24%E -5.82%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 23:04 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -6.02%E -3.46%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.12%E -0.522%K -0.977%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-22 23:02 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.02%E -3.46%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.72%E -2.79%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-22 23:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.02%E -3.46%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.72%E -2.79%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-22 23:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.56%E -3.79%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.42%E -1.63%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-22 22:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.56%E -3.79%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.42%E -1.63%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-22 22:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.56%E -3.79%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.42%E -1.63%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-22 22:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.56%E -3.79%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.02%E -4.01%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-22 22:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.56%E -3.79%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.02%E -4.01%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-22 23:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.02%EV -7.64%E -4.47%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.98%EV -11.24%E -5.82%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-22 23:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.18%E -4.81%K -11.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.02%E -4.01%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-22 23:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24% | 0.6% | 2026-08-22 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12% | 0.8% | 2026-08-22 23:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-08-22 23:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99% | 1.1% | 2026-08-22 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.65% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.35% | 1.4% | 2026-08-22 23:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.38% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.62% | 1.8% | 2026-08-22 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23% | 2.1% | 2026-08-22 23:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98% | 2.1% | 2026-08-22 23:05 |