Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

New York Liberty v Indiana Fever

Início: 2026-08-22 23:06 UTC

Final: New York Liberty 109–102 Indiana Fever

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

47 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

New York Liberty (Local)

Previsão 54.01%1.85odd justa
EV +0.460%
Vantagem +0.247%
Kelly +0.535%
Crescimento +0.002%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.86

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.05%53.88%54.07%55.27%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.701.781.771.8658.82%56.26%56.50%53.76%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Indiana Fever (Visitante)

Previsão 45.99%2.17odd justa
EV -1.12%
Vantagem -0.522%
Kelly -0.977%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.15

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.73%46.12%45.93%48.95%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.932.042.052.1551.81%49.03%48.78%46.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: New York Liberty (Local): 54.01%; Indiana Fever (Visitante): 45.99%. Para New York Liberty (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.85. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 1.86, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.460%.

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
SportsBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV +0.460%E +0.247%K +0.535%G +0.002%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -10.78%E -5.56%K -11.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 23:05
betano_uk🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%EV -0.080%E -0.043%K -0.094%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%EV -5.72%E -2.79%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-22 23:03
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.16%E -0.634%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -8.02%E -4.01%K -8.02%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-22 22:38
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -1.16%E -0.634%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -8.94%E -4.52%K -9.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 23:05
Pinnacle🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -2.24%E -1.24%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -5.26%E -2.55%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-22 22:50
GTbets🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -2.24%E -1.24%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -9.40%E -4.77%K -9.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-22 23:05
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -2.78%E -1.54%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -3.42%E -1.63%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-22 22:49
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.78%E -1.54%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.72%E -2.79%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-22 22:59
BetUS🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.78%E -1.54%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.72%E -2.79%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-22 22:44
BetAnything🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.78%E -1.54%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.72%E -2.79%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-22 22:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.78%E -1.54%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.10%E -3.52%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 22:59
BetRivers🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.78%E -1.54%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.10%E -3.52%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 22:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.78%E -1.54%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.10%E -3.52%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 22:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.78%E -1.54%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.10%E -3.52%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 23:00
TABtouch🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.78%E -1.54%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.10%E -3.52%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 22:40
Unibet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.78%E -1.54%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.10%E -3.52%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 22:59
betPARX🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.78%E -1.54%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.10%E -3.52%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 22:59
Bally Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.78%E -1.54%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.10%E -3.52%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 22:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.78%E -1.54%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.10%E -3.52%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 23:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.78%E -1.54%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.10%E -3.52%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 23:00
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.78%E -1.54%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.02%E -4.01%K -8.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-22 23:04
Fliff🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.78%E -1.54%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.32%E -5.29%K -10.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-22 23:04
Unibet (UK)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.86%E -2.17%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -3.42%E -1.63%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-22 23:04
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.40%E -2.49%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.42%E -1.63%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-22 22:44
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.40%E -2.49%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.42%E -1.63%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-22 23:00
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.40%E -2.49%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.42%E -1.63%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-22 23:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.40%E -2.49%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.42%E -1.63%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-22 23:03
BetOnline.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.40%E -2.49%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.42%E -1.63%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-22 23:04
MyBookie.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.40%E -2.49%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -5.26%E -2.55%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-22 22:55
Bet Right🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.40%E -2.49%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.72%E -2.79%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 22:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.40%E -2.49%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.72%E -2.79%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 23:03
Neds🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.40%E -2.49%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.72%E -2.79%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-22 23:04
Betr (AU)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.94%E -2.81%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.72%E -2.79%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-22 22:45
ReBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.48%E -3.13%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.42%E -1.63%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-22 23:05
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -5.48%E -3.13%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -6.18%E -3.03%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-22 22:49
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -5.48%E -3.13%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -6.18%E -3.03%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-22 22:49
LeoVegas🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.45%EV -5.48%E -3.13%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -11.24%E -5.82%K -12.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 23:04
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -6.02%E -3.46%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.12%E -0.522%K -0.977%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-22 23:02
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.02%E -3.46%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.72%E -2.79%K -5.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-22 23:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.02%E -3.46%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.72%E -2.79%K -5.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-22 23:04
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.56%E -3.79%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.42%E -1.63%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-22 22:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.56%E -3.79%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.42%E -1.63%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-22 22:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.56%E -3.79%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.42%E -1.63%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-22 22:20
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.56%E -3.79%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.02%E -4.01%K -8.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-22 22:50
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.56%E -3.79%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.02%E -4.01%K -8.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-22 23:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.02%EV -7.64%E -4.47%K -10.76%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.98%EV -11.24%E -5.82%K -12.09%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-22 23:00
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.18%E -4.81%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.02%E -4.01%K -8.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-22 23:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%0.6%2026-08-22 23:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%0.8%2026-08-22 23:05
Polymarket◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-08-22 23:05
Matchbook◎1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.1%2026-08-22 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.91I 52.36%NM 51.65%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.35%1.4%2026-08-22 23:05
ProphetX◎1.95I 51.28%NM 50.38%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.62%1.8%2026-08-22 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%2.1%2026-08-22 23:05
Kalshi◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%2.1%2026-08-22 23:05