Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.47
assuming max odds 3.05
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Minnesota Lynx (Local): 66.58%; Toronto Tempo (Visit): 33.42%. For Toronto Tempo (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.99. 13 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.05, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.94%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -5.46%E -3.84%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV +1.94%E +0.635%K +0.944%G +0.018% | 3.2% | 2026-05-21 23:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -5.46%E -3.84%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV +0.264%E +0.088%K +0.132%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-21 21:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.79%E -4.85%K -16.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +0.264%E +0.088%K +0.132%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-21 23:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.79%E -4.85%K -16.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +0.264%E +0.088%K +0.132%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-21 23:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.79%E -4.85%K -16.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +0.264%E +0.088%K +0.132%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-21 23:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.79%E -4.85%K -16.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +0.264%E +0.088%K +0.132%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-21 23:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.79%E -4.85%K -16.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +0.264%E +0.088%K +0.132%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-21 23:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.79%E -4.85%K -16.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +0.264%E +0.088%K +0.132%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-21 23:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.79%E -4.85%K -16.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +0.264%E +0.088%K +0.132%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-21 23:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.79%E -4.85%K -16.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +0.264%E +0.088%K +0.132%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-21 23:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.79%E -4.85%K -16.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +0.264%E +0.088%K +0.132%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-21 23:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.79%E -4.85%K -16.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +0.264%E +0.088%K +0.132%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-21 23:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.79%E -4.85%K -16.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +0.264%E +0.088%K +0.132%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-21 23:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -5.46%E -3.84%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -1.41%E -0.477%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-21 21:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.79%E -3.35%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.08%E -1.06%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-21 22:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.79%E -3.35%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.08%E -1.06%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-21 22:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.79%E -3.35%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.08%E -1.06%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-21 22:08 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.79%E -4.85%K -16.98%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.08%E -1.06%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-21 13:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.79%E -4.85%K -16.98%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.08%E -1.06%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-21 13:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.79%E -4.85%K -16.98%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.08%E -1.06%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-21 13:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -4.13%E -2.87%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -3.41%E -1.18%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-21 23:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -4.13%E -2.87%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -3.41%E -1.18%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-21 23:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -3.46%E -2.39%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -4.41%E -1.54%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-21 23:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -3.46%E -2.39%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -4.41%E -1.54%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-21 23:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.13%E -2.87%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.75%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-21 21:58 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.13%E -2.87%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.75%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-21 22:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.13%E -2.87%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.75%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-21 23:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.79%E -3.35%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.75%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-21 23:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.79%E -3.35%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.75%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-21 23:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -2.13%E -1.45%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -6.42%E -2.29%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-21 23:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.13%E -2.87%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.42%E -2.29%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-21 23:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.13%E -2.87%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.42%E -2.29%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-21 23:29 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.13%E -2.87%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.42%E -2.29%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-21 23:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.79%E -3.35%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.42%E -2.29%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-21 23:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.46%E -3.84%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.42%E -2.29%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-21 23:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.46%E -3.84%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.42%E -2.29%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-21 23:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.46%E -3.84%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.42%E -2.29%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-21 22:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.29%EV -13.45%E -10.34%K -44.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.71%EV -6.42%E -2.29%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-21 22:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.95%EV -4.79%E -3.35%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.05%EV -7.42%E -2.68%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-21 23:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.56%EV -3.46%E -2.39%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.44%EV -7.76%E -2.81%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-21 23:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.46%E -2.39%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -8.09%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-21 22:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.46%E -2.39%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -8.09%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-21 22:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -4.79%E -3.35%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -8.09%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-21 23:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.79%E -4.85%K -16.98%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.09%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-21 18:50 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 68.33% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67% | 0.2% | 2026-05-21 23:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 0.8% | 2026-05-21 23:50 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67% | 1.0% | 2026-05-21 22:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67% | 1.0% | 2026-05-21 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89% | 1.4% | 2026-05-21 23:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89% | 1.4% | 2026-05-21 23:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89% | 1.4% | 2026-05-21 23:50 |