La escuela de los momios

Minnesota Lynx v Toronto Tempo

Inicio: 2026-05-22 00:00 UTC

Final: Minnesota Lynx 100–72 Toronto Tempo

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

44 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Minnesota Lynx (Local)

Predicción 66.58%1.50momio equitativo
EV -2.13%
Ventaja -1.45%
Kelly -4.53%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.47

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.48%66.68%66.43%68.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.301.421.421.4776.92%70.40%70.18%68.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Toronto Tempo (Visitante)

Predicción 33.42%2.99momio equitativo
EV +1.94%
Ventaja +0.635%
Kelly +0.944%
Crecimiento +0.018%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.05

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.71%33.32%33.57%34.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.752.882.883.0536.36%34.68%34.78%32.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Bet Victor1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -5.46%E -3.84%K -13.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV +1.94%E +0.635%K +0.944%G +0.018%3.2%2026-05-21 23:50
BetUS1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -5.46%E -3.84%K -13.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV +0.264%E +0.088%K +0.132%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-21 21:50
Unibet (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.79%E -4.85%K -16.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +0.264%E +0.088%K +0.132%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 23:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.79%E -4.85%K -16.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +0.264%E +0.088%K +0.132%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 23:20
Unibet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.79%E -4.85%K -16.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +0.264%E +0.088%K +0.132%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 23:20
TABtouch1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.79%E -4.85%K -16.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +0.264%E +0.088%K +0.132%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 23:20
LeoVegas1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.79%E -4.85%K -16.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +0.264%E +0.088%K +0.132%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 23:20
Unibet (NL)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.79%E -4.85%K -16.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +0.264%E +0.088%K +0.132%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 23:20
BetRivers1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.79%E -4.85%K -16.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +0.264%E +0.088%K +0.132%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 23:20
Svenska Spel1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.79%E -4.85%K -16.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +0.264%E +0.088%K +0.132%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 23:20
Bally Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.79%E -4.85%K -16.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +0.264%E +0.088%K +0.132%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 23:20
ATG (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.79%E -4.85%K -16.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +0.264%E +0.088%K +0.132%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 23:20
betPARX1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.79%E -4.85%K -16.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +0.264%E +0.088%K +0.132%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 23:20
DraftKings1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -5.46%E -3.84%K -13.00%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -1.41%E -0.477%K -0.721%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-21 21:49
GTbets1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.79%E -3.35%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.08%E -1.06%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-21 22:00
Fanatics1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.79%E -3.35%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.08%E -1.06%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-21 22:00
Bovada1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.79%E -3.35%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.08%E -1.06%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-21 22:08
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.79%E -4.85%K -16.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.08%E -1.06%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-21 13:30
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.79%E -4.85%K -16.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.08%E -1.06%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-21 13:29
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.79%E -4.85%K -16.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.08%E -1.06%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-21 13:30
Pinnacle1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -4.13%E -2.87%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -3.41%E -1.18%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-21 23:50
BetAnything1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -4.13%E -2.87%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -3.41%E -1.18%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-21 23:39
BetOnline.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -3.46%E -2.39%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -4.41%E -1.54%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-21 23:40
LowVig.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -3.46%E -2.39%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -4.41%E -1.54%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-21 23:40
Caesars1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.13%E -2.87%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.75%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-21 21:58
BetMGM1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.13%E -2.87%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.75%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-21 22:50
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.13%E -2.87%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.75%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-21 23:30
Bet Right1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.79%E -3.35%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.75%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-21 23:20
Betr (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.79%E -3.35%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.75%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-21 23:20
theScore Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -2.13%E -1.45%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -6.42%E -2.29%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-21 23:30
Unibet (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.13%E -2.87%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.42%E -2.29%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-21 23:30
ReBet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.13%E -2.87%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.42%E -2.29%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-21 23:29
MyBookie.ag1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.13%E -2.87%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -6.42%E -2.29%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-21 23:30
Hard Rock Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.79%E -3.35%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -6.42%E -2.29%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-21 23:29
NordicBet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.46%E -3.84%K -13.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.42%E -2.29%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-21 23:29
Betsson1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.46%E -3.84%K -13.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.42%E -2.29%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-21 23:30
TAB1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.46%E -3.84%K -13.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.42%E -2.29%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-21 22:30
PMU (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 68.29%EV -13.45%E -10.34%K -44.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.71%EV -6.42%E -2.29%K -3.57%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-21 22:50
Coolbet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.95%EV -4.79%E -3.35%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.05%EV -7.42%E -2.68%K -4.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-21 23:20
FanDuel1.45I 68.97%NM 65.56%EV -3.46%E -2.39%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.44%EV -7.76%E -2.81%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-21 23:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.46%E -2.39%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -8.09%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 22:49
Neds1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.46%E -2.39%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -8.09%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-21 22:49
SportsBet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -4.79%E -3.35%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -8.09%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-21 23:50
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.79%E -4.85%K -16.98%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.09%E -2.94%K -4.62%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-21 18:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig1.46I 68.49%NM 68.33%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67%0.2%2026-05-21 23:50
ProphetX1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-05-21 23:50
Polymarket1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67%1.0%2026-05-21 22:10
Kalshi1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67%1.0%2026-05-21 22:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89%1.4%2026-05-21 23:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89%1.4%2026-05-21 23:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89%1.4%2026-05-21 23:50