Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Minnesota Lynx v Seattle Storm

Kickoff: 2026-06-06 17:02 UTC

Final: Minnesota Lynx 88–68 Seattle Storm

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

42 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Minnesota Lynx (Local)

Prediction 86.66%1.15fair odd
EV -2.07%
Edge -1.84%
Kelly -15.96%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.13

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
83.20%86.47%86.53%87.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.071.111.101.1393.46%90.36%90.91%88.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Seattle Storm (Visit)

Prediction 13.34%7.50fair odd
EV +4.32%
Edge +0.553%
Kelly +0.634%
Growth +0.027%

assuming max odds 7.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.16%13.53%13.47%16.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.306.797.007.8218.87%14.73%14.29%12.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Minnesota Lynx (Local): 86.66%; Seattle Storm (Visit): 13.34%. For Seattle Storm (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.50. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.82, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.32%.

Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 87.57%EV -3.81%E -3.43%K -34.62%G +0.000%7.82I 12.79%NM 12.43%EV +4.32%E +0.553%K +0.634%G +0.027%2.9%2026-06-06 17:00
FanDuel🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.84%EV -6.41%E -5.93%K -80.10%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.16%EV +4.06%E +0.520%K +0.597%G +0.024%5.4%2026-06-06 16:59
Fanatics🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.67%E -4.25%K -46.75%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +0.055%E +0.007%K +0.008%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-06 16:59
DraftKings🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.67%E -4.25%K -46.75%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +0.055%E +0.007%K +0.008%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-06 17:00
Caesars🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.67%E -4.25%K -46.75%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +0.055%E +0.007%K +0.008%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-06 16:48
BetMGM🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.67%E -4.25%K -46.75%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +0.055%E +0.007%K +0.008%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-06 16:58
BetUS🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.67%E -4.25%K -46.75%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +0.055%E +0.007%K +0.008%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-06 17:00
SportsBet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.41%E -5.93%K -80.10%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +0.055%E +0.007%K +0.008%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-06 16:59
GTbets🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.88%EV -3.81%E -3.43%K -34.62%G +0.000%7.35I 13.61%NM 13.12%EV -1.95%E -0.265%K -0.307%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-06 16:59
Bovada🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.83%EV -4.67%E -4.25%K -46.75%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV -3.28%E -0.452%K -0.525%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-06 16:58
ReBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.75%EV -4.67%E -4.25%K -46.75%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.25%EV -3.95%E -0.548%K -0.637%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-06 16:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.53%EV -3.81%E -3.43%K -34.62%G +0.000%7.13I 14.03%NM 13.47%EV -4.88%E -0.685%K -0.796%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-06 17:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.53%EV -3.81%E -3.43%K -34.62%G +0.000%7.13I 14.03%NM 13.47%EV -4.88%E -0.685%K -0.796%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-06 16:59
MyBookie.ag🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.59%EV -4.67%E -4.25%K -46.75%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.41%EV -5.28%E -0.744%K -0.866%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-06 17:00
BetAnything🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.81%E -3.43%K -34.62%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -6.62%E -0.945%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-06 16:59
888sport🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.67%E -4.25%K -46.75%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -6.62%E -0.945%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-06 16:59
Neds🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.67%E -4.25%K -46.75%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -6.62%E -0.945%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-06 16:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.67%E -4.25%K -46.75%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -6.62%E -0.945%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-06 17:00
theScore Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.67%E -4.25%K -46.75%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -6.62%E -0.945%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-06 16:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.67%E -4.25%K -46.75%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -6.62%E -0.945%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-06 16:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.67%E -4.25%K -46.75%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -6.62%E -0.945%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-06 16:59
Betsson🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.54%E -5.08%K -61.57%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -6.62%E -0.945%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-06 16:59
NordicBet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.54%E -5.08%K -61.57%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -6.62%E -0.945%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-06 16:59
Fliff🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.81%E -3.43%K -34.62%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -9.95%E -1.47%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-06 16:59
Betway🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.67%E -4.25%K -46.75%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -13.29%E -2.04%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-06 17:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.67%E -4.25%K -46.75%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -13.29%E -2.04%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-06 16:59
TAB🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.67%E -4.25%K -46.75%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -13.29%E -2.04%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-06 16:46
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.67%E -4.25%K -46.75%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -13.29%E -2.04%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-06 17:00
BoyleSports🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.41%E -5.93%K -80.10%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -13.29%E -2.04%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-06 16:59
LeoVegas🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -2.07%E -1.84%K -15.96%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -16.62%E -2.66%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-06 16:59
Unibet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -2.07%E -1.84%K -15.96%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -16.62%E -2.66%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-06 16:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -2.07%E -1.84%K -15.96%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -16.62%E -2.66%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-06 16:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -2.07%E -1.84%K -15.96%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -16.62%E -2.66%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-06 16:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -2.07%E -1.84%K -15.96%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -16.62%E -2.66%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-06 16:59
betPARX🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -2.07%E -1.84%K -15.96%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -16.62%E -2.66%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-06 17:00
Bally Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -2.07%E -1.84%K -15.96%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -16.62%E -2.66%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-06 17:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -2.07%E -1.84%K -15.96%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -16.62%E -2.66%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-06 17:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -2.07%E -1.84%K -15.96%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -16.62%E -2.66%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-06 17:00
Paddy Power🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -4.67%E -4.25%K -46.75%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -19.96%E -3.33%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-06 16:59
TABtouch🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -2.07%E -1.84%K -15.96%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -22.62%E -3.90%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-06 16:59
BetRivers🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -2.07%E -1.84%K -15.96%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -22.62%E -3.90%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-06 16:59
PMU (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 83.20%EV -7.27%E -6.80%K -103.92%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.80%EV -29.29%E -5.53%K -6.81%G +0.000%12.3%2026-06-06 16:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.13I 88.50%NM 88.23%8.47I 11.81%NM 11.77%0.3%2026-06-06 16:58
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 88.14%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86%0.4%2026-06-06 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.13I 88.50%NM 88.14%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86%0.4%2026-06-06 17:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.13I 88.50%NM 87.89%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11%0.7%2026-06-06 17:00
Polymarket1.12I 89.29%NM 88.15%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.85%1.3%2026-06-06 17:00
Kalshi1.12I 89.29%NM 88.15%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.85%1.3%2026-06-06 17:00
ProphetX1.12I 89.29%NM 88.11%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.89%1.3%2026-06-06 16:59