A Escola das Odds

Minnesota Lynx v Seattle Storm

Início: 2026-06-06 17:02 UTC

Final: Minnesota Lynx 88–68 Seattle Storm

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

42 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Minnesota Lynx (Local)

Previsão 86.66%1.15odd justa
EV -2.07%
Vantagem -1.84%
Kelly -15.96%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.13

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
83.20%86.47%86.53%87.84%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.071.111.101.1393.46%90.36%90.91%88.50%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Seattle Storm (Visitante)

Previsão 13.34%7.50odd justa
EV +4.32%
Vantagem +0.553%
Kelly +0.634%
Crescimento +0.027%

pressupondo odds máximas de 7.82

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
12.16%13.53%13.47%16.80%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
5.306.797.007.8218.87%14.73%14.29%12.79%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (42 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Pinnacle1.11I 90.09%NM 87.57%EV -3.81%E -3.43%K -34.62%G +0.000%7.82I 12.79%NM 12.43%EV +4.32%E +0.553%K +0.634%G +0.027%2.9%2026-06-06 17:00
FanDuel1.08I 92.59%NM 87.84%EV -6.41%E -5.93%K -80.10%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.16%EV +4.06%E +0.520%K +0.597%G +0.024%5.4%2026-06-06 16:59
Fanatics1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.67%E -4.25%K -46.75%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +0.055%E +0.007%K +0.008%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-06 16:59
DraftKings1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.67%E -4.25%K -46.75%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +0.055%E +0.007%K +0.008%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-06 17:00
Caesars1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.67%E -4.25%K -46.75%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +0.055%E +0.007%K +0.008%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-06 16:48
BetMGM1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.67%E -4.25%K -46.75%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +0.055%E +0.007%K +0.008%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-06 16:58
BetUS1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.67%E -4.25%K -46.75%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +0.055%E +0.007%K +0.008%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-06 17:00
SportsBet1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.41%E -5.93%K -80.10%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +0.055%E +0.007%K +0.008%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-06 16:59
GTbets1.11I 90.09%NM 86.88%EV -3.81%E -3.43%K -34.62%G +0.000%7.35I 13.61%NM 13.12%EV -1.95%E -0.265%K -0.307%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-06 16:59
Bovada1.10I 90.91%NM 86.83%EV -4.67%E -4.25%K -46.75%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.17%EV -3.28%E -0.452%K -0.525%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-06 16:58
ReBet1.10I 90.91%NM 86.75%EV -4.67%E -4.25%K -46.75%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.25%EV -3.95%E -0.548%K -0.637%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-06 16:59
LowVig.ag1.11I 90.09%NM 86.53%EV -3.81%E -3.43%K -34.62%G +0.000%7.13I 14.03%NM 13.47%EV -4.88%E -0.685%K -0.796%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-06 17:00
BetOnline.ag1.11I 90.09%NM 86.53%EV -3.81%E -3.43%K -34.62%G +0.000%7.13I 14.03%NM 13.47%EV -4.88%E -0.685%K -0.796%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-06 16:59
MyBookie.ag1.10I 90.91%NM 86.59%EV -4.67%E -4.25%K -46.75%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.41%EV -5.28%E -0.744%K -0.866%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-06 17:00
BetAnything1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.81%E -3.43%K -34.62%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -6.62%E -0.945%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-06 16:59
888sport1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.67%E -4.25%K -46.75%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -6.62%E -0.945%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-06 16:59
Neds1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.67%E -4.25%K -46.75%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -6.62%E -0.945%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-06 16:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.67%E -4.25%K -46.75%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -6.62%E -0.945%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-06 17:00
theScore Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.67%E -4.25%K -46.75%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -6.62%E -0.945%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-06 16:59
Mr Green (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.67%E -4.25%K -46.75%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -6.62%E -0.945%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-06 16:59
888sport (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.67%E -4.25%K -46.75%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -6.62%E -0.945%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-06 16:59
Betsson1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.54%E -5.08%K -61.57%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -6.62%E -0.945%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-06 16:59
NordicBet1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.54%E -5.08%K -61.57%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -6.62%E -0.945%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-06 16:59
Fliff1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -3.81%E -3.43%K -34.62%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -9.95%E -1.47%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-06 16:59
Betway1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.67%E -4.25%K -46.75%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -13.29%E -2.04%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-06 17:00
Unibet (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.67%E -4.25%K -46.75%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -13.29%E -2.04%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-06 16:59
TAB1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.67%E -4.25%K -46.75%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -13.29%E -2.04%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-06 16:46
Hard Rock Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.67%E -4.25%K -46.75%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -13.29%E -2.04%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-06 17:00
BoyleSports1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.41%E -5.93%K -80.10%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -13.29%E -2.04%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-06 16:59
LeoVegas1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -2.07%E -1.84%K -15.96%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -16.62%E -2.66%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-06 16:59
Unibet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -2.07%E -1.84%K -15.96%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -16.62%E -2.66%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-06 16:59
Unibet (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -2.07%E -1.84%K -15.96%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -16.62%E -2.66%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-06 16:59
Unibet (NL)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -2.07%E -1.84%K -15.96%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -16.62%E -2.66%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-06 16:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -2.07%E -1.84%K -15.96%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -16.62%E -2.66%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-06 16:59
betPARX1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -2.07%E -1.84%K -15.96%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -16.62%E -2.66%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-06 17:00
Bally Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -2.07%E -1.84%K -15.96%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -16.62%E -2.66%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-06 17:00
Svenska Spel1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -2.07%E -1.84%K -15.96%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -16.62%E -2.66%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-06 17:00
ATG (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -2.07%E -1.84%K -15.96%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -16.62%E -2.66%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-06 17:00
Paddy Power1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -4.67%E -4.25%K -46.75%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -19.96%E -3.33%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-06 16:59
TABtouch1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -2.07%E -1.84%K -15.96%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -22.62%E -3.90%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-06 16:59
BetRivers1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -2.07%E -1.84%K -15.96%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -22.62%E -3.90%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-06 16:59
PMU (FR)1.07I 93.46%NM 83.20%EV -7.27%E -6.80%K -103.92%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.80%EV -29.29%E -5.53%K -6.81%G +0.000%12.3%2026-06-06 16:59
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig1.13I 88.50%NM 88.23%8.47I 11.81%NM 11.77%0.3%2026-06-06 16:58
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 88.14%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86%0.4%2026-06-06 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.13I 88.50%NM 88.14%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86%0.4%2026-06-06 17:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.13I 88.50%NM 87.89%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11%0.7%2026-06-06 17:00
Polymarket1.12I 89.29%NM 88.15%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.85%1.3%2026-06-06 17:00
Kalshi1.12I 89.29%NM 88.15%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.85%1.3%2026-06-06 17:00
ProphetX1.12I 89.29%NM 88.11%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.89%1.3%2026-06-06 16:59