Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Minnesota Lynx v New York Liberty

Kickoff: 2026-09-18 23:30 UTC

Final: Minnesota Lynx 81–93 New York Liberty

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

48 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Minnesota Lynx (Local)

Prediction 67.78%1.48fair odd
EV -1.72%
Edge -1.19%
Kelly -3.83%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.18%67.66%67.84%72.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.291.401.401.4577.52%71.31%71.43%68.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New York Liberty (Visit)

Prediction 32.22%3.10fair odd
EV +10.20%
Edge +2.98%
Kelly +4.21%
Growth +0.430%

assuming max odds 3.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.00%32.34%32.16%33.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.922.903.4237.04%34.24%34.48%29.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Minnesota Lynx (Local): 67.78%; New York Liberty (Visit): 32.22%. For New York Liberty (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.10. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.42, corresponding to a positive expected value of +10.20%.

Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.00%EV -9.86%E -7.41%K -29.87%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.00%EV +10.20%E +2.98%K +4.21%G +0.430%4.4%2026-09-18 15:20
Bet Right🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -7.14%E -5.21%K -19.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -0.111%E -0.036%K -0.053%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 13:20
Bovada🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -4.43%E -3.14%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -1.72%E -0.565%K -0.840%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-18 14:57
Pinnacle🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -4.43%E -3.14%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -1.72%E -0.565%K -0.840%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-18 15:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.47%E -4.69%K -17.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.72%E -0.565%K -0.840%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 14:35
Coolbet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.86%EV -7.14%E -5.21%K -19.31%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.14%EV -2.37%E -0.781%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-18 14:35
Betway🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -3.08%E -2.15%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -3.33%E -1.11%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-18 14:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.76%E -2.64%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.33%E -1.11%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-18 13:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.76%E -2.64%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.33%E -1.11%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-18 13:50
BetAnything🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.76%E -2.64%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.33%E -1.11%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-18 13:50
BetUS🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.76%E -2.64%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.33%E -1.11%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-18 13:49
DraftKings🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.43%E -3.14%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -3.33%E -1.11%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-18 13:19
Fanatics🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.43%E -3.14%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -3.33%E -1.11%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-18 13:20
Caesars🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.43%E -3.14%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -3.33%E -1.11%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-18 13:30
GTbets🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.11%E -3.65%K -12.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.33%E -1.11%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-18 14:25
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.11%E -3.65%K -12.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.33%E -1.11%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-18 13:13
Fliff🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.82%E -5.75%K -21.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.33%E -1.11%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-18 15:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -12.57%E -9.74%K -43.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.07%EV -3.33%E -1.11%K -1.67%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-31 23:14
FanDuel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%EV -5.11%E -3.65%K -12.78%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -3.98%E -1.33%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-18 14:25
SportsBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.20%EV -6.47%E -4.69%K -17.02%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.80%EV -4.62%E -1.56%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 14:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.11%E -3.65%K -12.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.94%E -1.68%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 14:30
theScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -1.72%E -1.19%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -6.56%E -2.26%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-18 13:14
Neds🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.76%E -2.64%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.56%E -2.26%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-18 13:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.76%E -2.64%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.56%E -2.26%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-18 13:14
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.11%E -3.65%K -12.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.56%E -2.26%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 14:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.11%E -3.65%K -12.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.56%E -2.26%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 14:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.11%E -3.65%K -12.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.56%E -2.26%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 14:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.11%E -3.65%K -12.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.56%E -2.26%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 14:30
TAB🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.11%E -3.65%K -12.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.56%E -2.26%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 13:23
ReBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.37%EV -5.11%E -3.65%K -12.78%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.63%EV -6.88%E -2.38%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-18 14:29
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.11%E -3.65%K -12.78%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.20%E -2.50%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 14:30
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.82%E -5.75%K -21.73%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -7.20%E -2.50%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-18 13:14
NordicBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.11%E -3.65%K -12.78%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -8.17%E -2.87%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-18 14:30
Betsson🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.11%E -3.65%K -12.78%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -8.17%E -2.87%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-18 14:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.08%E -2.15%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.78%E -3.49%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-18 13:04
Unibet (NL)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.08%E -2.15%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.78%E -3.49%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-18 13:04
Unibet (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.08%E -2.15%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.78%E -3.49%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-18 13:05
Unibet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.08%E -2.15%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.78%E -3.49%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-18 13:04
TABtouch🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.08%E -2.15%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.78%E -3.49%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-18 13:04
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.08%E -2.15%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.78%E -3.49%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-18 13:05
Bally Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.08%E -2.15%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.78%E -3.49%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-18 13:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.08%E -2.15%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.78%E -3.49%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-18 13:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.08%E -2.15%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.78%E -3.49%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-18 13:04
betPARX🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.08%E -2.15%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.78%E -3.49%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-18 13:04
Bet Victor🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -6.47%E -4.69%K -17.02%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -9.78%E -3.49%K -5.43%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-18 14:30
betano_uk🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -6.47%E -4.69%K -17.02%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -9.78%E -3.49%K -5.43%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-18 14:30
LeoVegas🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -6.47%E -4.69%K -17.02%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -11.39%E -4.14%K -6.51%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 14:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.18%EV -6.47%E -4.69%K -17.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -13.00%E -4.81%K -7.65%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-18 13:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.45I 68.97%NM 68.82%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.18%0.2%2026-09-18 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-09-18 14:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-09-18 14:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-09-18 14:10
Polymarket1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73%1.0%2026-09-18 13:15
Kalshi1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73%1.0%2026-09-18 13:50
ProphetX1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87%1.2%2026-09-18 15:20
Novig1.44I 69.44%NM 68.49%3.13I 31.95%NM 31.51%1.4%2026-09-18 14:52