Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Minnesota Lynx v New York Liberty

Início: 2026-09-18 23:30 UTC

Final: Minnesota Lynx 81–93 New York Liberty

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

48 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Minnesota Lynx (Local)

Previsão 67.78%1.48odd justa
EV -1.72%
Vantagem -1.19%
Kelly -3.83%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.45

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
66.18%67.66%67.84%72.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.291.401.401.4577.52%71.31%71.43%68.97%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

New York Liberty (Visitante)

Previsão 32.22%3.10odd justa
EV +10.20%
Vantagem +2.98%
Kelly +4.21%
Crescimento +0.430%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.42

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.00%32.34%32.16%33.82%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.702.922.903.4237.04%34.24%34.48%29.24%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Minnesota Lynx (Local): 67.78%; New York Liberty (Visitante): 32.22%. Para New York Liberty (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.10. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.42, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +10.20%.

Odds das casas de apostas (48 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.00%EV -9.86%E -7.41%K -29.87%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.00%EV +10.20%E +2.98%K +4.21%G +0.430%4.4%2026-09-18 15:20
Bet Right🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -7.14%E -5.21%K -19.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -0.111%E -0.036%K -0.053%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 13:20
Bovada🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -4.43%E -3.14%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -1.72%E -0.565%K -0.840%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-18 14:57
Pinnacle🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -4.43%E -3.14%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -1.72%E -0.565%K -0.840%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-18 15:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.47%E -4.69%K -17.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.72%E -0.565%K -0.840%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 14:35
Coolbet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.86%EV -7.14%E -5.21%K -19.31%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.14%EV -2.37%E -0.781%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-18 14:35
Betway🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -3.08%E -2.15%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -3.33%E -1.11%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-18 14:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.76%E -2.64%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.33%E -1.11%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-18 13:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.76%E -2.64%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.33%E -1.11%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-18 13:50
BetAnything🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.76%E -2.64%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.33%E -1.11%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-18 13:50
BetUS🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.76%E -2.64%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -3.33%E -1.11%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-18 13:49
DraftKings🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.43%E -3.14%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -3.33%E -1.11%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-18 13:19
Fanatics🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.43%E -3.14%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -3.33%E -1.11%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-18 13:20
Caesars🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.43%E -3.14%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -3.33%E -1.11%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-18 13:30
GTbets🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.11%E -3.65%K -12.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.33%E -1.11%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-18 14:25
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.11%E -3.65%K -12.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.33%E -1.11%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-18 13:13
Fliff🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.82%E -5.75%K -21.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.33%E -1.11%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-18 15:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -12.57%E -9.74%K -43.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.07%EV -3.33%E -1.11%K -1.67%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-31 23:14
FanDuel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%EV -5.11%E -3.65%K -12.78%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -3.98%E -1.33%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-18 14:25
SportsBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.20%EV -6.47%E -4.69%K -17.02%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.80%EV -4.62%E -1.56%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 14:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.11%E -3.65%K -12.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.94%E -1.68%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 14:30
theScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -1.72%E -1.19%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -6.56%E -2.26%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-18 13:14
Neds🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.76%E -2.64%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.56%E -2.26%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-18 13:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.76%E -2.64%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.56%E -2.26%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-18 13:14
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.11%E -3.65%K -12.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.56%E -2.26%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 14:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.11%E -3.65%K -12.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.56%E -2.26%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 14:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.11%E -3.65%K -12.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.56%E -2.26%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 14:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.11%E -3.65%K -12.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.56%E -2.26%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 14:30
TAB🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.11%E -3.65%K -12.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.56%E -2.26%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 13:23
ReBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.37%EV -5.11%E -3.65%K -12.78%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.63%EV -6.88%E -2.38%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-18 14:29
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.11%E -3.65%K -12.78%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.20%E -2.50%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 14:30
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.82%E -5.75%K -21.73%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -7.20%E -2.50%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-18 13:14
NordicBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.11%E -3.65%K -12.78%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -8.17%E -2.87%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-18 14:30
Betsson🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.11%E -3.65%K -12.78%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -8.17%E -2.87%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-18 14:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.08%E -2.15%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.78%E -3.49%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-18 13:04
Unibet (NL)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.08%E -2.15%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.78%E -3.49%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-18 13:04
Unibet (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.08%E -2.15%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.78%E -3.49%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-18 13:05
Unibet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.08%E -2.15%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.78%E -3.49%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-18 13:04
TABtouch🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.08%E -2.15%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.78%E -3.49%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-18 13:04
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.08%E -2.15%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.78%E -3.49%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-18 13:05
Bally Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.08%E -2.15%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.78%E -3.49%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-18 13:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.08%E -2.15%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.78%E -3.49%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-18 13:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.08%E -2.15%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.78%E -3.49%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-18 13:04
betPARX🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -3.08%E -2.15%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -9.78%E -3.49%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-18 13:04
Bet Victor🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -6.47%E -4.69%K -17.02%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -9.78%E -3.49%K -5.43%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-18 14:30
betano_uk🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -6.47%E -4.69%K -17.02%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -9.78%E -3.49%K -5.43%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-18 14:30
LeoVegas🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -6.47%E -4.69%K -17.02%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -11.39%E -4.14%K -6.51%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 14:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.18%EV -6.47%E -4.69%K -17.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -13.00%E -4.81%K -7.65%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-18 13:04
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.82%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.18%0.2%2026-09-18 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-09-18 14:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-09-18 14:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-09-18 14:10
Polymarket◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73%1.0%2026-09-18 13:15
Kalshi◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73%1.0%2026-09-18 13:50
ProphetX◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87%1.2%2026-09-18 15:20
Novig◎1.44I 69.44%NM 68.49%3.13I 31.95%NM 31.51%1.4%2026-09-18 14:52