The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Minnesota Lynx v Las Vegas Aces

Kickoff: 2026-08-08 17:05 UTC

Final: Minnesota Lynx 98–87 Las Vegas Aces

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

48 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Minnesota Lynx (Local)

Prediction 62.97%1.59fair odd
EV -1.77%
Edge -1.13%
Kelly -3.16%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.04%63.03%62.96%64.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.511.501.5670.42%66.25%66.67%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Las Vegas Aces (Visit)

Prediction 37.03%2.70fair odd
EV -0.015%
Edge -0.006%
Kelly -0.009%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.71%36.97%37.04%38.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.582.582.7042.55%38.79%38.83%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Minnesota Lynx (Local): 62.97%; Las Vegas Aces (Visit): 37.03%. For Las Vegas Aces (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.7004. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.7000, with an expected value of -0.015%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -1.77%E -1.13%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -4.83%E -1.88%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-08 16:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -1.77%E -1.13%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -4.83%E -1.88%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-08 16:39
Caesars🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -1.77%E -1.13%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -6.68%E -2.65%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-08 16:56
Unibet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.40%E -1.55%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -8.16%E -3.29%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 17:00
Bally Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.40%E -1.55%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -8.16%E -3.29%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 17:00
BetAnything🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -3.03%E -1.97%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -3.72%E -1.43%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-08 17:00
GTbets🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.03%E -1.97%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -5.57%E -2.18%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-08 16:40
BetUS🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -3.66%E -2.39%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -2.61%E -0.991%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-08 16:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.66%E -2.39%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.72%E -1.43%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-08 16:55
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.66%E -2.39%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.72%E -1.43%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-08 16:44
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.66%E -2.39%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.57%E -2.18%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-08 17:00
ReBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.32%EV -3.66%E -2.39%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.68%EV -6.31%E -2.49%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-08 17:00
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.66%E -2.39%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.42%E -2.97%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 15:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.66%E -2.39%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.42%E -2.97%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 16:45
Neds🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.66%E -2.39%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.42%E -2.97%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 16:45
Pinnacle🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.46%EV -4.29%E -2.82%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.54%EV -2.24%E -0.847%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-08 16:55
DraftKings🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.29%E -2.82%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.72%E -1.43%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-08 16:09
FanDuel🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.56%EV -4.29%E -2.82%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.44%EV -5.94%E -2.34%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-08 16:25
MyBookie.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.56%EV -4.29%E -2.82%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.44%EV -5.94%E -2.34%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-08 16:53
theScore Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.92%E -3.26%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -1.87%E -0.704%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-08 17:00
Bet Right🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -4.92%E -3.26%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -4.46%E -1.73%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-08 16:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.92%E -3.26%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.57%E -2.18%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 16:49
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -5.55%E -3.70%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -0.015%E -0.006%K -0.009%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-08 16:39
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -5.55%E -3.70%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -0.015%E -0.006%K -0.009%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-08 16:58
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -5.55%E -3.70%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -0.015%E -0.006%K -0.009%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-08 16:53
1xBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.94%EV -5.55%E -3.70%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.06%EV -1.50%E -0.563%K -0.901%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-08 16:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.55%E -3.70%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -1.87%E -0.704%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-08 16:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.55%E -3.70%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.72%E -1.43%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 16:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.55%E -3.70%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.72%E -1.43%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 16:59
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.55%E -3.70%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.57%E -2.18%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 15:19
TAB🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.55%E -3.70%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.57%E -2.18%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 15:45
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.78%EV -5.55%E -3.70%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.22%EV -6.31%E -2.49%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 16:24
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.55%E -3.70%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.42%E -2.97%K -4.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-08 16:10
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.55%E -3.70%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.42%E -2.97%K -4.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-08 15:24
Fliff🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.55%E -3.70%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.42%E -2.97%K -4.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-08 16:50
NordicBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -5.55%E -3.70%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -8.16%E -3.29%K -5.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 15:29
Betsson🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -5.55%E -3.70%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -8.16%E -3.29%K -5.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 15:29
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -5.55%E -3.70%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -12.98%E -5.52%K -9.61%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-08 15:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.81%E -4.60%K -14.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -1.87%E -0.704%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 16:34
Unibet (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.81%E -4.60%K -14.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -1.87%E -0.704%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 16:34
Unibet (NL)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.81%E -4.60%K -14.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -1.87%E -0.704%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 16:35
BetRivers🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.81%E -4.60%K -14.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -1.87%E -0.704%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 16:34
TABtouch🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.81%E -4.60%K -14.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -1.87%E -0.704%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 16:34
ATG (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.81%E -4.60%K -14.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -1.87%E -0.704%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 16:34
betPARX🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.81%E -4.60%K -14.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -1.87%E -0.704%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 16:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.81%E -4.60%K -14.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -1.87%E -0.704%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 16:34
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.81%E -4.60%K -14.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -1.87%E -0.704%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 16:59
PMU (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.23%EV -10.58%E -7.45%K -25.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.77%EV -5.57%E -2.18%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-08 16:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%0.5%2026-08-08 16:50
Novig◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77%0.7%2026-08-08 17:00
ProphetX◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77%0.7%2026-08-08 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%0.9%2026-08-08 17:00
Kalshi◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-08-08 15:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-08-08 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-08-08 17:00
Polymarket◎1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%3.2%2026-08-08 17:00