Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Minnesota Lynx v Las Vegas Aces

Início: 2026-08-08 17:05 UTC

Final: Minnesota Lynx 98–87 Las Vegas Aces

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

48 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Minnesota Lynx (Local)

Previsão 62.97%1.59odd justa
EV -1.77%
Vantagem -1.13%
Kelly -3.16%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.56

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
61.04%63.03%62.96%64.29%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.421.511.501.5670.42%66.25%66.67%64.10%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Las Vegas Aces (Visitante)

Previsão 37.03%2.70odd justa
EV -0.015%
Vantagem -0.006%
Kelly -0.009%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
35.71%36.97%37.04%38.96%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.352.582.582.7042.55%38.79%38.83%37.04%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Minnesota Lynx (Local): 62.97%; Las Vegas Aces (Visitante): 37.03%. Para Las Vegas Aces (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.7004. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.7000, com valor esperado de -0.015%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (48 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
LowVig.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -1.77%E -1.13%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -4.83%E -1.88%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-08 16:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -1.77%E -1.13%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -4.83%E -1.88%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-08 16:39
Caesars🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -1.77%E -1.13%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -6.68%E -2.65%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-08 16:56
Unibet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.40%E -1.55%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -8.16%E -3.29%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 17:00
Bally Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -2.40%E -1.55%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -8.16%E -3.29%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 17:00
BetAnything🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -3.03%E -1.97%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -3.72%E -1.43%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-08 17:00
GTbets🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.03%E -1.97%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -5.57%E -2.18%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-08 16:40
BetUS🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -3.66%E -2.39%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -2.61%E -0.991%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-08 16:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.66%E -2.39%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.72%E -1.43%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-08 16:55
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.66%E -2.39%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -3.72%E -1.43%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-08 16:44
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.66%E -2.39%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.57%E -2.18%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-08 17:00
ReBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.32%EV -3.66%E -2.39%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.68%EV -6.31%E -2.49%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-08 17:00
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.66%E -2.39%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.42%E -2.97%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 15:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.66%E -2.39%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.42%E -2.97%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 16:45
Neds🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.66%E -2.39%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.42%E -2.97%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 16:45
Pinnacle🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.46%EV -4.29%E -2.82%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.54%EV -2.24%E -0.847%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-08 16:55
DraftKings🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.29%E -2.82%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.72%E -1.43%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-08 16:09
FanDuel🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.56%EV -4.29%E -2.82%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.44%EV -5.94%E -2.34%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-08 16:25
MyBookie.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.56%EV -4.29%E -2.82%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.44%EV -5.94%E -2.34%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-08 16:53
theScore Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.92%E -3.26%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -1.87%E -0.704%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-08 17:00
Bet Right🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -4.92%E -3.26%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -4.46%E -1.73%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-08 16:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.92%E -3.26%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.57%E -2.18%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 16:49
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -5.55%E -3.70%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -0.015%E -0.006%K -0.009%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-08 16:39
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -5.55%E -3.70%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -0.015%E -0.006%K -0.009%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-08 16:58
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -5.55%E -3.70%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -0.015%E -0.006%K -0.009%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-08 16:53
1xBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.94%EV -5.55%E -3.70%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.06%EV -1.50%E -0.563%K -0.901%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-08 16:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.55%E -3.70%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -1.87%E -0.704%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-08 16:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.55%E -3.70%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.72%E -1.43%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 16:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.55%E -3.70%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.72%E -1.43%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 16:59
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.55%E -3.70%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.57%E -2.18%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 15:19
TAB🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.55%E -3.70%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.57%E -2.18%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 15:45
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.78%EV -5.55%E -3.70%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.22%EV -6.31%E -2.49%K -4.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 16:24
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.55%E -3.70%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.42%E -2.97%K -4.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-08 16:10
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.55%E -3.70%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.42%E -2.97%K -4.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-08 15:24
Fliff🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.55%E -3.70%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.42%E -2.97%K -4.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-08 16:50
NordicBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -5.55%E -3.70%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -8.16%E -3.29%K -5.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 15:29
Betsson🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -5.55%E -3.70%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -8.16%E -3.29%K -5.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 15:29
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -5.55%E -3.70%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -12.98%E -5.52%K -9.61%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-08 15:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.81%E -4.60%K -14.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -1.87%E -0.704%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 16:34
Unibet (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.81%E -4.60%K -14.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -1.87%E -0.704%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 16:34
Unibet (NL)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.81%E -4.60%K -14.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -1.87%E -0.704%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 16:35
BetRivers🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.81%E -4.60%K -14.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -1.87%E -0.704%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 16:34
TABtouch🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.81%E -4.60%K -14.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -1.87%E -0.704%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 16:34
ATG (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.81%E -4.60%K -14.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -1.87%E -0.704%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 16:34
betPARX🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.81%E -4.60%K -14.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -1.87%E -0.704%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 16:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.81%E -4.60%K -14.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -1.87%E -0.704%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 16:34
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.81%E -4.60%K -14.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -1.87%E -0.704%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 16:59
PMU (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.23%EV -10.58%E -7.45%K -25.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.77%EV -5.57%E -2.18%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-08 16:34
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%0.5%2026-08-08 16:50
Novig◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77%0.7%2026-08-08 17:00
ProphetX◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77%0.7%2026-08-08 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%0.9%2026-08-08 17:00
Kalshi◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-08-08 15:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-08-08 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-08-08 17:00
Polymarket◎1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%3.2%2026-08-08 17:00