Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Minnesota Lynx v Golden State Valkyries

Kickoff: 2026-06-05 01:03 UTC

Final: Minnesota Lynx 87–84 Golden State Valkyries

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

41 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Minnesota Lynx (Local)

Prediction 59.98%1.67fair odd
EV -2.24%
Edge -1.37%
Kelly -3.55%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.63

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.14%59.82%60.15%61.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.601.601.6365.36%62.46%62.50%61.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Golden State Valkyries (Visit)

Prediction 40.02%2.50fair odd
EV -0.345%
Edge -0.139%
Kelly -0.232%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.49

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.97%40.18%39.85%41.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.142.352.302.4946.73%42.61%43.48%40.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Minnesota Lynx (Local): 59.98%; Golden State Valkyries (Visit): 40.02%. For Golden State Valkyries (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.50. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.49, with an expected value of -0.345%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -2.24%E -1.37%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -7.95%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-05 00:59
Unibet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -2.24%E -1.37%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -7.95%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-05 01:00
LeoVegas🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -2.24%E -1.37%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -7.95%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-05 01:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -2.24%E -1.37%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -7.95%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-05 01:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -2.24%E -1.37%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -7.95%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-05 00:59
betPARX🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -2.24%E -1.37%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -7.95%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-05 00:59
ATG (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -2.24%E -1.37%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -7.95%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-05 01:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -2.24%E -1.37%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -7.95%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-05 01:00
Bally Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -2.24%E -1.37%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -7.95%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-05 00:59
BetRivers🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -2.24%E -1.37%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -8.75%E -3.84%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-05 00:59
TABtouch🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -2.24%E -1.37%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -8.75%E -3.84%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-05 01:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -2.84%E -1.75%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -7.15%E -3.08%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-05 00:58
ReBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.84%E -1.75%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.95%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-05 00:59
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -2.84%E -1.75%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.95%E -4.42%K -7.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-05 00:59
BetUS🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.44%E -2.13%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.95%E -0.794%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-05 00:59
BetAnything🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.44%E -2.13%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.95%E -0.794%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-05 00:59
FanDuel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -3.44%E -2.13%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -6.35%E -2.71%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-05 01:00
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.44%E -2.13%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.95%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-05 00:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.44%E -2.13%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.95%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-05 00:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.44%E -2.13%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.95%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-05 00:59
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -4.04%E -2.52%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -1.95%E -0.794%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-05 00:58
SportsBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.04%E -2.52%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.95%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-05 01:00
NordicBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.04%E -2.52%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.95%E -4.42%K -7.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-05 00:59
Betsson🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.04%E -2.52%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.95%E -4.42%K -7.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-05 00:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -4.63%E -2.91%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -0.345%E -0.139%K -0.232%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-05 01:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -4.63%E -2.91%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -0.345%E -0.139%K -0.232%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-05 01:00
GTbets🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.63%E -2.91%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -1.95%E -0.794%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-05 00:59
Bovada🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.63%E -2.91%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -1.95%E -0.794%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-05 00:59
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.63%E -2.91%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -1.95%E -0.794%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-05 01:00
Pinnacle🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.55%EV -4.63%E -2.91%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.45%EV -2.35%E -0.962%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-05 01:00
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.63%E -2.91%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.95%E -1.64%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-05 00:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.23%E -3.31%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.95%E -1.64%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-05 01:00
Neds🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.23%E -3.31%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.95%E -1.64%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-05 01:00
TAB🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.23%E -3.31%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.95%E -2.53%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-05 01:00
DraftKings🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.83%E -3.72%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -1.95%E -0.794%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-05 01:00
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.83%E -3.72%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -1.95%E -0.794%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-05 00:58
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.83%E -3.72%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.95%E -2.53%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-05 01:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.83%E -3.72%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.95%E -2.53%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-05 01:00
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.83%E -3.72%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.95%E -4.42%K -7.96%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-05 00:59
Fliff🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -7.63%E -4.96%K -14.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -3.95%E -1.64%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-05 00:59
PMU (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.31%EV -8.23%E -5.38%K -15.53%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 41.69%EV -14.35%E -6.71%K -12.59%G +0.000%12.1%2026-06-05 01:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.58%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42%0.9%2026-06-05 01:00
Polymarket1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-06-05 01:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-06-05 01:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-06-05 01:00
Novig1.60I 62.50%NM 61.54%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.46%1.6%2026-06-05 01:00
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%2.0%2026-06-05 01:00