La escuela de los momios

Minnesota Lynx v Golden State Valkyries

Inicio: 2026-06-05 01:03 UTC

Final: Minnesota Lynx 87–84 Golden State Valkyries

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

41 corredores (13 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Minnesota Lynx (Local)

Predicción 59.98%1.67momio equitativo
EV -2.24%
Ventaja -1.37%
Kelly -3.55%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.63

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.14%59.82%60.15%61.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.531.601.601.6365.36%62.46%62.50%61.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Golden State Valkyries (Visitante)

Predicción 40.02%2.50momio equitativo
EV -0.345%
Ventaja -0.139%
Kelly -0.232%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.49

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.97%40.18%39.85%41.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.142.352.302.4946.73%42.61%43.48%40.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (41 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
LeoVegas (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -2.24%E -1.37%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -7.95%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-05 00:59
Unibet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -2.24%E -1.37%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -7.95%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-05 01:00
LeoVegas1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -2.24%E -1.37%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -7.95%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-05 01:00
Unibet (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -2.24%E -1.37%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -7.95%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-05 01:00
Unibet (NL)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -2.24%E -1.37%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -7.95%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-05 00:59
betPARX1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -2.24%E -1.37%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -7.95%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-05 00:59
ATG (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -2.24%E -1.37%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -7.95%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-05 01:00
Svenska Spel1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -2.24%E -1.37%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -7.95%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-05 01:00
Bally Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -2.24%E -1.37%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -7.95%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-05 00:59
BetRivers1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -2.24%E -1.37%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -8.75%E -3.84%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-05 00:59
TABtouch1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -2.24%E -1.37%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -8.75%E -3.84%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-05 01:00
MyBookie.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -2.84%E -1.75%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -7.15%E -3.08%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-05 00:58
ReBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.84%E -1.75%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.95%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-05 00:59
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -2.84%E -1.75%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.95%E -4.42%K -7.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-05 00:59
BetUS1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.44%E -2.13%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.95%E -0.794%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-05 00:59
BetAnything1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.44%E -2.13%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.95%E -0.794%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-05 00:59
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -3.44%E -2.13%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -6.35%E -2.71%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-05 01:00
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.44%E -2.13%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.95%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-05 00:59
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.44%E -2.13%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.95%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-05 00:59
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.44%E -2.13%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.95%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-05 00:59
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -4.04%E -2.52%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -1.95%E -0.794%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-05 00:58
SportsBet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.04%E -2.52%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.95%E -3.46%K -6.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-05 01:00
NordicBet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.04%E -2.52%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.95%E -4.42%K -7.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-05 00:59
Betsson1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.04%E -2.52%K -6.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -9.95%E -4.42%K -7.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-05 00:59
LowVig.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -4.63%E -2.91%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -0.345%E -0.139%K -0.232%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-05 01:00
BetOnline.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -4.63%E -2.91%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -0.345%E -0.139%K -0.232%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-05 01:00
GTbets1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.63%E -2.91%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -1.95%E -0.794%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-05 00:59
Bovada1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.63%E -2.91%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -1.95%E -0.794%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-05 00:59
theScore Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.63%E -2.91%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -1.95%E -0.794%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-05 01:00
Pinnacle1.59I 62.89%NM 60.55%EV -4.63%E -2.91%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.45%EV -2.35%E -0.962%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-05 01:00
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.63%E -2.91%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.95%E -1.64%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-05 00:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.23%E -3.31%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.95%E -1.64%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-05 01:00
Neds1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.23%E -3.31%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.95%E -1.64%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-05 01:00
TAB1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.23%E -3.31%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.95%E -2.53%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-05 01:00
DraftKings1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.83%E -3.72%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -1.95%E -0.794%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-05 01:00
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.83%E -3.72%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -1.95%E -0.794%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-05 00:58
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.83%E -3.72%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.95%E -2.53%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-05 01:00
Hard Rock Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.83%E -3.72%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.95%E -2.53%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-05 01:00
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.83%E -3.72%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.95%E -4.42%K -7.96%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-05 00:59
Fliff1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -7.63%E -4.96%K -14.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -3.95%E -1.64%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-05 00:59
PMU (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.31%EV -8.23%E -5.38%K -15.53%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 41.69%EV -14.35%E -6.71%K -12.59%G +0.000%12.1%2026-06-05 01:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.58%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42%0.9%2026-06-05 01:00
Polymarket1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-06-05 01:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-06-05 01:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-06-05 01:00
Novig1.60I 62.50%NM 61.54%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.46%1.6%2026-06-05 01:00
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 61.69%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.31%2.0%2026-06-05 01:00