Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Minnesota Lynx v Dallas Wings

Kickoff: 2026-08-09 19:42 UTC

Final: Minnesota Lynx 103–90 Dallas Wings

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

47 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Minnesota Lynx (Local)

Prediction 70.81%1.41fair odd
EV -0.867%
Edge -0.619%
Kelly -2.17%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.24%70.79%70.83%73.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.261.341.331.4079.37%74.75%75.19%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Dallas Wings (Visit)

Prediction 29.19%3.43fair odd
EV +5.09%
Edge +1.41%
Kelly +1.96%
Growth +0.099%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.68%29.21%29.17%31.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.283.303.6034.48%30.46%30.30%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Minnesota Lynx (Local): 70.81%; Dallas Wings (Visit): 29.19%. For Dallas Wings (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.43. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.09%.

Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -7.24%E -5.53%K -23.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +5.09%E +1.41%K +1.96%G +0.099%4.1%2026-08-09 19:15
Bovada🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -5.82%E -4.38%K -17.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV +2.17%E +0.619%K +0.867%G +0.019%3.8%2026-08-09 19:25
Neds🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -6.53%E -4.95%K -20.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV +0.707%E +0.205%K +0.289%G +0.002%4.7%2026-08-09 19:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -6.53%E -4.95%K -20.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV +0.707%E +0.205%K +0.289%G +0.002%4.7%2026-08-09 19:10
Pinnacle🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.91%EV -5.12%E -3.82%K -15.04%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.09%EV +0.123%E +0.036%K +0.051%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-09 19:34
DraftKings🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -5.12%E -3.82%K -15.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -0.752%E -0.221%K -0.313%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-09 19:15
Fanatics🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.82%E -4.38%K -17.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -0.752%E -0.221%K -0.313%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-09 19:15
Unibet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.53%E -4.95%K -20.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -0.752%E -0.221%K -0.313%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 19:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.53%E -4.95%K -20.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -0.752%E -0.221%K -0.313%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 19:40
TABtouch🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.53%E -4.95%K -20.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -0.752%E -0.221%K -0.313%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 19:35
BetRivers🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.53%E -4.95%K -20.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -0.752%E -0.221%K -0.313%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 19:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.53%E -4.95%K -20.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -0.752%E -0.221%K -0.313%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 19:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.53%E -4.95%K -20.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -0.752%E -0.221%K -0.313%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 19:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.53%E -4.95%K -20.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -0.752%E -0.221%K -0.313%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 19:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.53%E -4.95%K -20.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -0.752%E -0.221%K -0.313%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 19:35
Bally Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.53%E -4.95%K -20.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -0.752%E -0.221%K -0.313%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 19:35
betPARX🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.53%E -4.95%K -20.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -0.752%E -0.221%K -0.313%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 19:35
Fliff🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -7.24%E -5.53%K -23.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -2.21%E -0.660%K -0.941%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-09 19:25
ReBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.24%EV -5.12%E -3.82%K -15.04%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.76%EV -3.09%E -0.930%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-09 19:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.70%E -2.72%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.67%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-09 19:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.70%E -2.72%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.67%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-09 19:00
BetUS🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.70%E -2.72%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.67%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-09 18:59
BetAnything🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.70%E -2.72%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.67%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-09 19:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.12%E -3.82%K -15.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.67%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-09 18:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.82%E -4.38%K -17.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.67%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-09 19:25
GTbets🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.53%E -4.95%K -20.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -3.67%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-09 19:40
Caesars🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.84%EV -4.41%E -3.26%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.16%EV -4.26%E -1.30%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-09 19:00
FanDuel🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.12%E -3.82%K -15.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.13%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 18:50
Bet Right🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.12%E -3.82%K -15.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.13%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 18:10
SportsBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.82%E -4.38%K -17.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.13%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-09 18:54
Coolbet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.82%E -4.38%K -17.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.13%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-09 18:29
NordicBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.53%E -4.95%K -20.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -5.13%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-09 19:25
Betsson🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.53%E -4.95%K -20.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -5.13%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-09 19:24
PMU (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.06%EV -10.78%E -8.56%K -41.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -5.13%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-09 19:39
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 69.57%EV -0.867%E -0.619%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.43%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-09 19:18
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 69.57%EV -0.867%E -0.619%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.43%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-09 19:18
TAB🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.12%E -3.82%K -15.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 19:05
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.82%E -4.38%K -17.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-09 19:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -0.867%E -0.619%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -8.05%E -2.56%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-09 19:34
theScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -2.28%E -1.65%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -8.05%E -2.56%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-09 19:30
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.70%E -2.72%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 19:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.70%E -2.72%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 19:29
MyBookie.ag🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -4.41%E -3.26%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -10.97%E -3.60%K -5.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 19:40
Betway🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.70%E -2.72%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -12.43%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 19:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.70%E -2.72%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -12.43%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 19:35
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.82%E -4.38%K -17.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -12.43%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-09 18:55
LeoVegas🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -4.41%E -3.26%K -12.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -15.35%E -5.29%K -8.08%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-09 19:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.35I 74.07%NM 73.63%3.77I 26.53%NM 26.37%0.6%2026-08-09 19:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-08-09 19:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-08-09 19:35
Matchbook1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-08-09 19:39
Polymarket1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-08-09 19:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85%1.2%2026-08-09 19:40
ProphetX1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42%1.3%2026-08-09 19:40
Kalshi1.33I 75.19%NM 73.56%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.44%2.2%2026-08-09 19:40