Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Minnesota Lynx v Dallas Wings

Início: 2026-08-09 19:42 UTC

Final: Minnesota Lynx 103–90 Dallas Wings

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

47 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Minnesota Lynx (Local)

Previsão 70.81%1.41odd justa
EV -0.867%
Vantagem -0.619%
Kelly -2.17%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
68.24%70.79%70.83%73.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.261.341.331.4079.37%74.75%75.19%71.43%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Dallas Wings (Visitante)

Previsão 29.19%3.43odd justa
EV +5.09%
Vantagem +1.41%
Kelly +1.96%
Crescimento +0.099%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.68%29.21%29.17%31.76%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.903.283.303.6034.48%30.46%30.30%27.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Minnesota Lynx (Local): 70.81%; Dallas Wings (Visitante): 29.19%. Para Dallas Wings (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.43. 5 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.60, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +5.09%.

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -7.24%E -5.53%K -23.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +5.09%E +1.41%K +1.96%G +0.099%4.1%2026-08-09 19:15
Bovada🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -5.82%E -4.38%K -17.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV +2.17%E +0.619%K +0.867%G +0.019%3.8%2026-08-09 19:25
Neds🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -6.53%E -4.95%K -20.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV +0.707%E +0.205%K +0.289%G +0.002%4.7%2026-08-09 19:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -6.53%E -4.95%K -20.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV +0.707%E +0.205%K +0.289%G +0.002%4.7%2026-08-09 19:10
Pinnacle🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.91%EV -5.12%E -3.82%K -15.04%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.09%EV +0.123%E +0.036%K +0.051%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-09 19:34
DraftKings🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -5.12%E -3.82%K -15.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -0.752%E -0.221%K -0.313%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-09 19:15
Fanatics🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.82%E -4.38%K -17.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -0.752%E -0.221%K -0.313%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-09 19:15
Unibet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.53%E -4.95%K -20.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -0.752%E -0.221%K -0.313%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 19:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.53%E -4.95%K -20.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -0.752%E -0.221%K -0.313%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 19:40
TABtouch🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.53%E -4.95%K -20.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -0.752%E -0.221%K -0.313%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 19:35
BetRivers🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.53%E -4.95%K -20.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -0.752%E -0.221%K -0.313%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 19:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.53%E -4.95%K -20.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -0.752%E -0.221%K -0.313%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 19:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.53%E -4.95%K -20.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -0.752%E -0.221%K -0.313%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 19:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.53%E -4.95%K -20.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -0.752%E -0.221%K -0.313%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 19:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.53%E -4.95%K -20.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -0.752%E -0.221%K -0.313%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 19:35
Bally Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.53%E -4.95%K -20.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -0.752%E -0.221%K -0.313%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 19:35
betPARX🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.53%E -4.95%K -20.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -0.752%E -0.221%K -0.313%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 19:35
Fliff🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -7.24%E -5.53%K -23.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -2.21%E -0.660%K -0.941%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-09 19:25
ReBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.24%EV -5.12%E -3.82%K -15.04%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.76%EV -3.09%E -0.930%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-09 19:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.70%E -2.72%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.67%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-09 19:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.70%E -2.72%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.67%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-09 19:00
BetUS🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.70%E -2.72%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.67%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-09 18:59
BetAnything🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.70%E -2.72%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.67%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-09 19:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.12%E -3.82%K -15.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.67%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-09 18:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.82%E -4.38%K -17.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.67%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-09 19:25
GTbets🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.53%E -4.95%K -20.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -3.67%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-09 19:40
Caesars🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.84%EV -4.41%E -3.26%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.16%EV -4.26%E -1.30%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-09 19:00
FanDuel🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.12%E -3.82%K -15.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.13%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 18:50
Bet Right🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.12%E -3.82%K -15.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.13%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 18:10
SportsBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.82%E -4.38%K -17.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.13%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-09 18:54
Coolbet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.82%E -4.38%K -17.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.13%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-09 18:29
NordicBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.53%E -4.95%K -20.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -5.13%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-09 19:25
Betsson🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.53%E -4.95%K -20.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -5.13%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-09 19:24
PMU (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.06%EV -10.78%E -8.56%K -41.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -5.13%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-09 19:39
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 69.57%EV -0.867%E -0.619%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.43%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-09 19:18
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 69.57%EV -0.867%E -0.619%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.43%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-09 19:18
TAB🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.12%E -3.82%K -15.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 19:05
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.82%E -4.38%K -17.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-09 19:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -0.867%E -0.619%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -8.05%E -2.56%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-09 19:34
theScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -2.28%E -1.65%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -8.05%E -2.56%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-09 19:30
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.70%E -2.72%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 19:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.70%E -2.72%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 19:29
MyBookie.ag🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -4.41%E -3.26%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -10.97%E -3.60%K -5.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 19:40
Betway🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.70%E -2.72%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -12.43%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 19:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.70%E -2.72%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -12.43%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 19:35
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.82%E -4.38%K -17.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -12.43%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-09 18:55
LeoVegas🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -4.41%E -3.26%K -12.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -15.35%E -5.29%K -8.08%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-09 19:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig◎1.35I 74.07%NM 73.63%3.77I 26.53%NM 26.37%0.6%2026-08-09 19:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-08-09 19:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-08-09 19:35
Matchbook◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-08-09 19:39
Polymarket◎1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-08-09 19:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85%1.2%2026-08-09 19:40
ProphetX◎1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42%1.3%2026-08-09 19:40
Kalshi◎1.33I 75.19%NM 73.56%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.44%2.2%2026-08-09 19:40