Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Minnesota Lynx v Chicago Sky

Kickoff: 2026-05-17 23:03 UTC

Final: Minnesota Lynx 79–86 Chicago Sky

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

45 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Minnesota Lynx (Local)

Prediction 67.69%1.48fair odd
EV -1.85%
Edge -1.28%
Kelly -4.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.22%67.55%67.44%68.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.401.401.4576.92%71.38%71.43%68.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chicago Sky (Visit)

Prediction 32.31%3.09fair odd
EV -1.45%
Edge -0.476%
Kelly -0.708%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.15%32.45%32.56%34.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.952.983.0537.04%33.86%33.56%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Minnesota Lynx (Local): 67.69%; Chicago Sky (Visit): 32.31%. For Chicago Sky (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.09. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.05, with an expected value of -1.45%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42%EV -1.85%E -1.28%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%EV -3.07%E -1.02%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-17 22:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -2.53%E -1.76%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -7.91%E -2.78%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-17 23:00
Neds🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -2.53%E -1.76%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -7.91%E -2.78%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-17 23:00
Betsson🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -2.53%E -1.76%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -12.76%E -4.73%K -7.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 23:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.21%E -2.24%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -4.68%E -1.59%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-17 23:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.21%E -2.24%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -4.68%E -1.59%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-17 23:01
BetUS🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.21%E -2.24%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -4.68%E -1.59%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-17 22:59
Betway🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.21%E -2.24%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.91%E -2.78%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 23:00
FanDuel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -3.21%E -2.24%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -8.24%E -2.90%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 23:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.88%E -2.73%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.30%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 23:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.88%E -2.73%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.30%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 23:00
SportsBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.43%EV -3.88%E -2.73%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.57%EV -9.21%E -3.28%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 23:00
Bovada🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -4.56%E -3.23%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -1.45%E -0.476%K -0.708%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-17 23:00
Pinnacle🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.31%EV -4.56%E -3.23%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.69%EV -1.77%E -0.583%K -0.870%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-17 22:59
BetAnything🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.17%EV -4.56%E -3.23%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.83%EV -2.42%E -0.801%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-17 22:59
DraftKings🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.56%E -3.23%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -3.07%E -1.02%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 23:00
Fanatics🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.56%E -3.23%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -3.07%E -1.02%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 23:00
GTbets🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.56%E -3.23%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.68%E -1.59%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 22:56
Bet Right🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -4.56%E -3.23%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -5.65%E -1.94%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 23:00
Caesars🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -1.45%E -0.476%K -0.708%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-17 22:58
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.07%E -1.02%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 23:00
theScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.07%E -1.02%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 23:00
ReBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.09%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -3.71%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 22:58
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.30%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 22:59
Coolbet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.30%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 22:58
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.30%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 22:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.30%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 22:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.09%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.53%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 23:00
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -11.14%E -4.05%K -6.37%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 23:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.62%EV -5.91%E -4.25%K -15.16%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.38%EV -1.77%E -0.583%K -0.870%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 22:59
BetRivers🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.59%E -4.78%K -17.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.45%E -0.476%K -0.708%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 23:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.59%E -4.78%K -17.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.45%E -0.476%K -0.708%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 23:00
TABtouch🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.59%E -4.78%K -17.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.45%E -0.476%K -0.708%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 23:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.59%E -4.78%K -17.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.45%E -0.476%K -0.708%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 23:01
LeoVegas🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.59%E -4.78%K -17.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.45%E -0.476%K -0.708%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 23:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.59%E -4.78%K -17.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.45%E -0.476%K -0.708%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 23:00
Unibet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.59%E -4.78%K -17.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.45%E -0.476%K -0.708%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 23:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.59%E -4.78%K -17.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.45%E -0.476%K -0.708%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 23:00
Bally Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.59%E -4.78%K -17.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.45%E -0.476%K -0.708%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 23:00
betPARX🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.59%E -4.78%K -17.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.45%E -0.476%K -0.708%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 22:59
ATG (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.59%E -4.78%K -17.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.45%E -0.476%K -0.708%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 23:00
TAB🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.59%E -4.78%K -17.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.07%E -1.02%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 23:00
NordicBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.59%E -4.78%K -17.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -4.68%E -1.59%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 22:59
Fliff🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -7.94%E -5.84%K -22.06%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -7.91%E -2.78%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-17 23:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.29%EV -12.00%E -9.23%K -40.02%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.71%EV -9.53%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-17 23:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.46I 68.49%NM 68.19%3.13I 31.95%NM 31.81%0.4%2026-05-17 23:01
Polymarket1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69%0.9%2026-05-17 23:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.2%2026-05-17 23:00
Kalshi1.43I 69.93%NM 68.57%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.43%2.0%2026-05-17 23:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.42I 70.42%NM 68.93%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.07%2.2%2026-05-17 23:01
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 68.93%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.07%2.2%2026-05-17 23:00
ProphetX1.40I 71.43%NM 69.57%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.43%2.7%2026-05-17 23:01