La escuela de los momios

Minnesota Lynx v Chicago Sky

Inicio: 2026-05-17 23:03 UTC

Final: Minnesota Lynx 79–86 Chicago Sky

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

45 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Minnesota Lynx (Local)

Predicción 67.69%1.48momio equitativo
EV -1.85%
Ventaja -1.28%
Kelly -4.11%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.22%67.55%67.44%68.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.301.401.401.4576.92%71.38%71.43%68.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Chicago Sky (Visitante)

Predicción 32.31%3.09momio equitativo
EV -1.45%
Ventaja -0.476%
Kelly -0.708%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.05

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.15%32.45%32.56%34.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.952.983.0537.04%33.86%33.56%32.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42%EV -1.85%E -1.28%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%EV -3.07%E -1.02%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-17 22:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -2.53%E -1.76%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -7.91%E -2.78%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-17 23:00
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -2.53%E -1.76%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -7.91%E -2.78%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-17 23:00
Betsson1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -2.53%E -1.76%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -12.76%E -4.73%K -7.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 23:00
LowVig.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.21%E -2.24%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -4.68%E -1.59%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-17 23:00
BetOnline.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.21%E -2.24%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -4.68%E -1.59%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-17 23:01
BetUS1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.21%E -2.24%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -4.68%E -1.59%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-17 22:59
Betway1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.21%E -2.24%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -7.91%E -2.78%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 23:00
FanDuel1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -3.21%E -2.24%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -8.24%E -2.90%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 23:00
Unibet (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.88%E -2.73%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.30%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 23:00
Betr (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.88%E -2.73%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.30%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 23:00
SportsBet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.43%EV -3.88%E -2.73%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.57%EV -9.21%E -3.28%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 23:00
Bovada1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -4.56%E -3.23%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -1.45%E -0.476%K -0.708%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-17 23:00
Pinnacle1.41I 70.92%NM 68.31%EV -4.56%E -3.23%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.69%EV -1.77%E -0.583%K -0.870%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-17 22:59
BetAnything1.41I 70.92%NM 68.17%EV -4.56%E -3.23%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.83%EV -2.42%E -0.801%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-17 22:59
DraftKings1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.56%E -3.23%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -3.07%E -1.02%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 23:00
Fanatics1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -4.56%E -3.23%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -3.07%E -1.02%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 23:00
GTbets1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.56%E -3.23%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.68%E -1.59%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 22:56
Bet Right1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -4.56%E -3.23%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -5.65%E -1.94%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 23:00
Caesars1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -1.45%E -0.476%K -0.708%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-17 22:58
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.07%E -1.02%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 23:00
theScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.07%E -1.02%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 23:00
ReBet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.09%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -3.71%E -1.25%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 22:58
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.30%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 22:59
Coolbet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.30%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 22:58
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.30%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 22:59
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.30%E -2.17%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 22:59
Hard Rock Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.09%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.53%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 23:00
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.24%E -3.74%K -13.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -11.14%E -4.05%K -6.37%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 23:00
MyBookie.ag1.39I 71.94%NM 68.62%EV -5.91%E -4.25%K -15.16%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.38%EV -1.77%E -0.583%K -0.870%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 22:59
BetRivers1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.59%E -4.78%K -17.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.45%E -0.476%K -0.708%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 23:00
Unibet (NL)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.59%E -4.78%K -17.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.45%E -0.476%K -0.708%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 23:00
TABtouch1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.59%E -4.78%K -17.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.45%E -0.476%K -0.708%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 23:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.59%E -4.78%K -17.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.45%E -0.476%K -0.708%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 23:01
LeoVegas1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.59%E -4.78%K -17.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.45%E -0.476%K -0.708%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 23:00
Unibet (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.59%E -4.78%K -17.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.45%E -0.476%K -0.708%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 23:00
Unibet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.59%E -4.78%K -17.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.45%E -0.476%K -0.708%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 23:00
Svenska Spel1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.59%E -4.78%K -17.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.45%E -0.476%K -0.708%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 23:00
Bally Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.59%E -4.78%K -17.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.45%E -0.476%K -0.708%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 23:00
betPARX1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.59%E -4.78%K -17.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.45%E -0.476%K -0.708%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 22:59
ATG (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.59%E -4.78%K -17.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -1.45%E -0.476%K -0.708%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 23:00
TAB1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.59%E -4.78%K -17.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -3.07%E -1.02%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 23:00
NordicBet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -6.59%E -4.78%K -17.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -4.68%E -1.59%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-17 22:59
Fliff1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -7.94%E -5.84%K -22.06%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -7.91%E -2.78%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-17 23:00
PMU (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 68.29%EV -12.00%E -9.23%K -40.02%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.71%EV -9.53%E -3.40%K -5.29%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-17 23:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig1.46I 68.49%NM 68.19%3.13I 31.95%NM 31.81%0.4%2026-05-17 23:01
Polymarket1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69%0.9%2026-05-17 23:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.2%2026-05-17 23:00
Kalshi1.43I 69.93%NM 68.57%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.43%2.0%2026-05-17 23:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.42I 70.42%NM 68.93%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.07%2.2%2026-05-17 23:01
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 68.93%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.07%2.2%2026-05-17 23:00
ProphetX1.40I 71.43%NM 69.57%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.43%2.7%2026-05-17 23:01