Los Angeles Sparks v New York Liberty

2026-07-29 02:00 UTC — WNBA

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Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

40%

60%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Los Angeles Sparks (Local)

Prediction 39.93%2.50fair odd

EV +3.43%

Edge +1.32%

Kelly +2.16%

Growth +0.074%

assuming max odds 2.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

36.98%39.93%40.15%40.30%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.372.432.412.5942%41%41%39%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

New York Liberty (Visit)

Prediction 60.07%1.66fair odd

EV -3.29%

Edge -2.05%

Kelly -5.40%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

59.70%60.07%59.85%63.02%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.521.571.561.6166%64%64%62%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
1xBet	2.59I 38.61%NM 36.98%EV +3.43%E +1.32%K +2.16%G +0.074%	1.52I 65.79%NM 63.02%EV -8.70%E -5.72%K -16.73%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-07-23 04:14
Betr (AU)	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -2.16%E -0.883%K -1.49%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -6.90%E -4.45%K -12.54%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-23 04:24
FanDuel	2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -3.36%E -1.39%K -2.37%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.70%E -3.63%K -9.99%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-07-23 03:59
SportsBet	2.42I 41.32%NM 38.89%EV -3.36%E -1.39%K -2.37%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.11%EV -7.50%E -4.87%K -13.88%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-07-23 03:59
Caesars	2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.16%E -1.73%K -2.97%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.29%E -2.05%K -5.40%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-07-23 05:33
GTbets	2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.16%E -1.73%K -2.97%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.29%E -2.05%K -5.40%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-07-23 06:34
Paddy Power	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -4.96%E -2.08%K -3.59%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.10%E -5.29%K -15.28%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-07-23 03:59
DraftKings	2.37I 42.19%NM 40.30%EV -5.36%E -2.26%K -3.91%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.70%EV -3.89%E -2.43%K -6.49%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-07-23 04:19

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Polymarket	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%	1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%	7.0%	2026-07-23 05:14