Language:English
Los Angeles Sparks v New York Liberty
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Los Angeles Sparks (Local)
Prediction 36.18%2.76fair odd
EV -0.862%
Edge -0.315%
Kelly -0.495%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.74
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.45%36.25%36.13%37.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.632.652.7440.82%37.99%37.74%36.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
New York Liberty (Visit)
Prediction 63.82%1.57fair odd
EV -2.36%
Edge -1.54%
Kelly -4.45%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.53
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.50%63.75%63.87%65.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.491.491.5370.42%67.10%67.11%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Los Angeles Sparks (Local): 36.18%; New York Liberty (Visit): 63.82%. For Los Angeles Sparks (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.76. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.74, with an expected value of -0.862%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.45%EV -0.862%E -0.315%K -0.495%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.55%EV -8.10%E -5.63%K -18.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-29 01:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.24%EV -1.59%E -0.583%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.76%EV -5.55%E -3.75%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-29 01:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -1.59%E -0.583%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -6.19%E -4.21%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-29 01:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -2.31%E -0.855%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -3.63%E -2.41%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-29 01:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -2.31%E -0.855%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -3.63%E -2.41%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-29 01:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.31%E -0.855%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.27%E -2.85%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-29 01:49 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.31%E -0.855%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.27%E -2.85%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-29 01:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -2.31%E -0.855%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.91%E -3.30%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-29 01:56 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -2.31%E -0.855%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -4.91%E -3.30%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-29 00:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.12%EV -3.39%E -1.27%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.88%EV -3.63%E -2.41%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-29 01:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.82%EV -3.39%E -1.27%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.18%EV -4.91%E -3.30%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-28 23:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -4.12%E -1.55%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.63%E -2.41%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-29 01:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -4.12%E -1.55%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -3.63%E -2.41%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-29 01:59 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.12%E -1.55%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.27%E -2.85%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-29 01:48 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.12%E -1.55%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.27%E -2.85%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-29 01:48 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.12%E -1.55%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.27%E -2.85%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-28 17:03 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.12%E -1.55%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.91%E -3.30%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-29 01:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.12%E -1.55%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.91%E -3.30%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-29 01:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.12%E -1.55%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.91%E -3.30%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-29 01:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.12%E -1.55%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.91%E -3.30%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-29 01:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.12%E -1.55%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.91%E -3.30%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-29 01:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.12%E -1.55%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.91%E -3.30%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-29 01:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.12%E -1.55%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.91%E -3.30%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-29 01:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.12%E -1.55%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.91%E -3.30%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-29 01:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.12%E -1.55%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.55%E -3.75%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 01:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.12%E -1.55%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.55%E -3.75%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 02:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -4.12%E -1.55%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -7.46%E -5.15%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-29 01:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -4.84%E -1.84%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.55%E -3.75%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 01:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -4.84%E -1.84%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -5.55%E -3.75%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 01:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -4.84%E -1.84%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -6.19%E -4.21%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-29 01:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.20%E -1.99%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.10%E -5.63%K -18.41%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-29 01:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -5.93%E -2.28%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.36%E -1.54%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-29 01:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -5.93%E -2.28%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -2.36%E -1.54%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-28 21:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -5.93%E -2.28%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.00%E -1.97%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-28 23:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.93%E -2.28%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.27%E -2.85%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 17:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.93%E -2.28%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.27%E -2.85%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 17:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.93%E -2.28%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.27%E -2.85%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 12:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.93%E -2.28%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.27%E -2.85%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 12:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.93%E -2.28%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.27%E -2.85%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 12:19 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.93%E -2.28%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.55%E -3.75%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 22:34 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.83%EV -6.29%E -2.43%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.17%EV -3.63%E -2.41%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-29 00:59 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.83%EV -6.29%E -2.43%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.17%EV -3.63%E -2.41%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-29 01:18 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.74%E -3.03%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.27%E -2.85%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-29 01:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.74%E -3.03%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.55%E -3.75%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-28 22:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.74%E -3.03%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.55%E -3.75%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-28 22:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.77%EV -7.74%E -3.03%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.23%EV -9.38%E -6.60%K -22.33%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-29 01:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.55%E -3.82%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.27%E -2.85%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-28 22:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -11.35%E -4.63%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -6.19%E -4.21%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-29 01:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20% | 0.5% | 2026-07-29 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20% | 0.5% | 2026-07-29 01:59 |
| Novig◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35% | 0.9% | 2026-07-29 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.30% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.70% | 1.3% | 2026-07-29 02:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.30% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.70% | 1.3% | 2026-07-29 01:59 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68% | 2.0% | 2026-07-29 02:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68% | 2.0% | 2026-07-29 01:59 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.00% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.00% | 2.1% | 2026-07-29 02:00 |
Discuss this game on odds.forum
No published comments yet.