L’École des cotes

Los Angeles Sparks v New York Liberty

2026-07-29 02:00 UTC — WNBA

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Los Angeles Sparks (Local)

Prévision 38.46%2.60cote équitable
EV +1.16%
Avantage +0.439%
Kelly +0.709%
Croissance +0.008%

avec la cote maximale 2.63

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.47%38.58%38.39%39.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.452.452.6343.48%40.86%40.82%38.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

New York Liberty (Visiteur)

Prévision 61.54%1.63cote équitable
EV -2.77%
Avantage -1.75%
Kelly -4.78%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.58

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.05%61.42%61.61%63.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.471.541.541.5868.03%64.85%64.72%63.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
1xBet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.47%EV +1.16%E +0.439%K +0.709%G +0.008%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.53%EV -7.08%E -4.69%K -13.88%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-23 13:20
Caesars2.52I 39.68%NM 38.24%EV -3.08%E -1.22%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -4.00%E -2.56%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-24 16:38
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.84%E -1.54%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.39%E -2.16%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-23 16:25
GTbets2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.84%E -1.54%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.00%E -2.56%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-24 16:39
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.84%E -1.54%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.00%E -2.56%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-26 02:05
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.84%E -1.54%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.23%E -3.40%K -9.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-23 16:25
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.84%E -1.54%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.85%E -3.82%K -11.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-23 22:34
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.84%E -1.54%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.85%E -3.82%K -11.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-23 16:25
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.84%E -1.54%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.85%E -3.82%K -11.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-23 16:25
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.84%E -1.54%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.85%E -3.82%K -11.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-23 16:25
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.84%E -1.54%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.85%E -3.82%K -11.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-26 02:09
Coolbet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -3.84%E -1.54%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -6.46%E -4.25%K -12.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-24 02:30
DraftKings2.49I 40.16%NM 38.37%EV -4.23%E -1.70%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.63%EV -4.62%E -2.98%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-24 16:40
Betsson2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -4.61%E -1.86%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -6.46%E -4.25%K -12.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-23 16:25
NordicBet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -4.61%E -1.86%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -6.46%E -4.25%K -12.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-23 16:25
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.77%E -2.35%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.39%E -2.16%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-23 22:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.77%E -2.35%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.00%E -2.56%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-23 14:25
Unibet (NL)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.77%E -2.35%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.00%E -2.56%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-23 14:25
Unibet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.77%E -2.35%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.00%E -2.56%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-23 14:25
Bally Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.77%E -2.35%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.00%E -2.56%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-23 14:25
Svenska Spel2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.77%E -2.35%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.00%E -2.56%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-23 14:25
ATG (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.77%E -2.35%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.00%E -2.56%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-23 14:25
Unibet (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.77%E -2.35%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.00%E -2.56%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-23 14:24
betPARX2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.77%E -2.35%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.00%E -2.56%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-23 14:23
Hard Rock Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.77%E -2.35%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.85%E -3.82%K -11.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-23 17:19
ReBet2.44I 40.98%NM 38.38%EV -6.15%E -2.52%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.62%EV -6.46%E -4.25%K -12.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-26 02:04
BetRivers2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.54%E -2.69%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.00%E -2.56%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-23 14:25
TABtouch2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.54%E -2.69%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.00%E -2.56%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-23 14:25
FanDuel2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -6.92%E -2.86%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -3.39%E -2.16%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-23 03:59
SportsBet2.42I 41.32%NM 38.89%EV -6.92%E -2.86%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.11%EV -5.23%E -3.40%K -9.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-23 15:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -7.69%E -3.20%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -2.77%E -1.75%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-23 22:29
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -7.69%E -3.20%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -2.77%E -1.75%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-23 22:29
Paddy Power2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.46%E -3.55%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.85%E -3.82%K -11.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-23 03:59
LeoVegas2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -9.61%E -4.09%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -7.69%E -5.13%K -15.39%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-23 16:24
PMU (FR)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.01%EV -10.38%E -4.46%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 60.99%EV -8.31%E -5.58%K -16.96%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-23 14:24
betano_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -11.54%E -5.02%K -8.87%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -5.85%E -3.82%K -11.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-25 16:23
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -11.54%E -5.02%K -8.87%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -5.85%E -3.82%K -11.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-25 16:20
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.99%EV -11.54%E -5.02%K -8.87%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.01%EV -9.54%E -6.49%K -20.30%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-23 16:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Polymarket2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%4.1%2026-07-26 02:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-07-23 07:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-07-23 07:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-07-23 07:30