Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Sparks v New York Liberty

Kickoff: 2026-06-22 00:02 UTC

Final: Los Angeles Sparks 98–97 New York Liberty

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

46 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Sparks (Local)

Prediction 34.02%2.94fair odd
EV +0.368%
Edge +0.125%
Kelly +0.189%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.40%34.09%34.12%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.762.752.9540.82%36.29%36.43%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New York Liberty (Visit)

Prediction 65.98%1.52fair odd
EV -1.69%
Edge -1.14%
Kelly -3.46%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.49

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.64%65.91%65.88%67.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.391.451.451.4971.94%68.91%68.97%67.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Los Angeles Sparks (Local): 34.02%; New York Liberty (Visit): 65.98%. For Los Angeles Sparks (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.94. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.95, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.368%.

Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bet Victor🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.95%EV +0.368%E +0.125%K +0.189%G +0.001%1.45I 68.97%NM 67.05%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-21 23:59
Bovada🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV +0.368%E +0.125%K +0.189%G +0.001%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -5.65%E -3.95%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-21 23:59
Pinnacle🎯2.91I 34.36%NM 33.10%EV -0.993%E -0.341%K -0.520%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.90%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-21 23:59
theScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -1.33%E -0.460%K -0.702%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-21 23:59
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.33%E -0.460%K -0.702%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.63%E -5.45%K -19.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-21 23:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.33%E -0.460%K -0.702%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.63%E -5.45%K -19.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-21 23:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.33%E -0.460%K -0.702%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.63%E -5.45%K -19.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-21 23:59
Fliff🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.40%EV -1.33%E -0.460%K -0.702%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.60%EV -8.29%E -5.97%K -21.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-21 23:59
BetOnline.ag🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -2.69%E -0.942%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-21 23:59
LowVig.ag🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -2.69%E -0.942%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-21 23:59
Caesars🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.03%E -1.06%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.35%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-21 23:51
BetAnything🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.03%E -1.06%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.35%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-21 23:59
Betway🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.03%E -1.06%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.65%E -3.95%K -13.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-21 23:59
DraftKings🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -3.67%E -2.52%K -7.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-22 00:00
Fanatics🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-21 23:59
GTbets🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-22 00:00
BetMGM🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-21 23:59
BetUS🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-21 23:59
Betr (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-21 23:59
Bet Right🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-21 23:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-21 23:59
Neds🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-21 23:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 23:59
MyBookie.ag🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.76%EV -6.78%E -2.47%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.24%EV -3.67%E -2.52%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-21 23:58
ReBet🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 34.84%EV -7.12%E -2.61%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.16%EV -3.67%E -2.52%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-21 23:59
Coolbet🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 34.53%EV -7.12%E -2.61%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.47%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-21 23:59
FanDuel🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -7.46%E -2.74%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -3.01%E -2.05%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-22 00:00
SportsBet🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 34.70%EV -7.80%E -2.88%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.30%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-21 23:59
TAB🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.14%E -3.01%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-22 00:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.14%E -3.01%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-21 23:59
Betsson🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.14%E -3.01%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.35%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-21 23:59
NordicBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.14%E -3.01%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.35%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-22 00:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -9.84%E -3.71%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -1.69%E -1.14%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 23:59
Unibet (NL)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -9.84%E -3.71%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -1.69%E -1.14%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 23:59
Unibet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -9.84%E -3.71%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -1.69%E -1.14%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-22 00:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -9.84%E -3.71%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -1.69%E -1.14%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 23:59
LeoVegas🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -9.84%E -3.71%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -1.69%E -1.14%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-22 00:00
Bally Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -9.84%E -3.71%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -1.69%E -1.14%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 23:59
Svenska Spel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -9.84%E -3.71%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -1.69%E -1.14%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 23:59
betPARX🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -9.84%E -3.71%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -1.69%E -1.14%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-22 00:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -9.84%E -3.71%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -1.69%E -1.14%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 23:59
BetRivers🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -10.52%E -4.00%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -1.69%E -1.14%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-21 23:59
TABtouch🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -10.52%E -4.00%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -1.69%E -1.14%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-21 23:59
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.86%E -4.14%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-21 23:59
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.86%E -4.14%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-22 00:00
PMU (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -16.64%E -6.79%K -11.48%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.64%EV -7.63%E -5.45%K -19.08%G +0.000%12.2%2026-06-21 23:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%0.7%2026-06-22 00:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%0.7%2026-06-22 00:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%0.7%2026-06-22 00:00
Matchbook3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%0.7%2026-06-22 00:00
Polymarket3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31%0.9%2026-06-22 00:00
Kalshi3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31%0.9%2026-06-22 00:00
Novig3.17I 31.55%NM 31.24%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.76%1.0%2026-06-22 00:00
ProphetX3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.28%1.7%2026-06-22 00:00