A Escola das Odds

Los Angeles Sparks v New York Liberty

Início: 2026-06-22 00:02 UTC

Final: Los Angeles Sparks 98–97 New York Liberty

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

46 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Los Angeles Sparks (Local)

Previsão 34.02%2.94odd justa
EV +0.368%
Vantagem +0.125%
Kelly +0.189%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.95

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
32.40%34.09%34.12%36.36%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.452.762.752.9540.82%36.29%36.43%33.90%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

New York Liberty (Visitante)

Previsão 65.98%1.52odd justa
EV -1.69%
Vantagem -1.14%
Kelly -3.46%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.49

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
63.64%65.91%65.88%67.60%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.391.451.451.4971.94%68.91%68.97%67.11%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (46 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Bet Victor2.95I 33.90%NM 32.95%EV +0.368%E +0.125%K +0.189%G +0.001%1.45I 68.97%NM 67.05%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-21 23:59
Bovada2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV +0.368%E +0.125%K +0.189%G +0.001%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -5.65%E -3.95%K -13.15%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-21 23:59
Pinnacle2.91I 34.36%NM 33.10%EV -0.993%E -0.341%K -0.520%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.90%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-21 23:59
theScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -1.33%E -0.460%K -0.702%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-21 23:59
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.33%E -0.460%K -0.702%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.63%E -5.45%K -19.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-21 23:59
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.33%E -0.460%K -0.702%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.63%E -5.45%K -19.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-21 23:59
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.33%E -0.460%K -0.702%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.63%E -5.45%K -19.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-21 23:59
Fliff2.90I 34.48%NM 32.40%EV -1.33%E -0.460%K -0.702%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.60%EV -8.29%E -5.97%K -21.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-21 23:59
BetOnline.ag2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -2.69%E -0.942%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-21 23:59
LowVig.ag2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -2.69%E -0.942%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-21 23:59
Caesars2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.03%E -1.06%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.35%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-21 23:51
BetAnything2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.03%E -1.06%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.35%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-21 23:59
Betway2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.03%E -1.06%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.65%E -3.95%K -13.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-21 23:59
DraftKings2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -3.67%E -2.52%K -7.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-22 00:00
Fanatics2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-21 23:59
GTbets2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-22 00:00
BetMGM2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-21 23:59
BetUS2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-21 23:59
Betr (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-21 23:59
Bet Right2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-21 23:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-21 23:59
Neds2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.74%E -1.69%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-21 23:59
Unibet (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 23:59
MyBookie.ag2.74I 36.50%NM 34.76%EV -6.78%E -2.47%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.24%EV -3.67%E -2.52%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-21 23:58
ReBet2.73I 36.63%NM 34.84%EV -7.12%E -2.61%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.16%EV -3.67%E -2.52%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-21 23:59
Coolbet2.73I 36.63%NM 34.53%EV -7.12%E -2.61%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.47%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-21 23:59
FanDuel2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -7.46%E -2.74%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -3.01%E -2.05%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-22 00:00
SportsBet2.71I 36.90%NM 34.70%EV -7.80%E -2.88%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.30%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-21 23:59
TAB2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.14%E -3.01%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-22 00:00
Hard Rock Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.14%E -3.01%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.33%E -2.99%K -9.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-21 23:59
Betsson2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.14%E -3.01%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.35%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-21 23:59
NordicBet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.14%E -3.01%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.35%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-22 00:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -9.84%E -3.71%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -1.69%E -1.14%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 23:59
Unibet (NL)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -9.84%E -3.71%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -1.69%E -1.14%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 23:59
Unibet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -9.84%E -3.71%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -1.69%E -1.14%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-22 00:00
Unibet (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -9.84%E -3.71%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -1.69%E -1.14%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 23:59
LeoVegas2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -9.84%E -3.71%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -1.69%E -1.14%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-22 00:00
Bally Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -9.84%E -3.71%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -1.69%E -1.14%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 23:59
Svenska Spel2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -9.84%E -3.71%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -1.69%E -1.14%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 23:59
betPARX2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -9.84%E -3.71%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -1.69%E -1.14%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-22 00:00
ATG (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -9.84%E -3.71%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -1.69%E -1.14%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-21 23:59
BetRivers2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -10.52%E -4.00%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -1.69%E -1.14%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-21 23:59
TABtouch2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -10.52%E -4.00%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -1.69%E -1.14%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-21 23:59
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.86%E -4.14%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-21 23:59
BoyleSports2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.86%E -4.14%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.99%E -3.47%K -11.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-22 00:00
PMU (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -16.64%E -6.79%K -11.48%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.64%EV -7.63%E -5.45%K -19.08%G +0.000%12.2%2026-06-21 23:59
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%0.7%2026-06-22 00:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%0.7%2026-06-22 00:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%0.7%2026-06-22 00:00
Matchbook3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%0.7%2026-06-22 00:00
Polymarket3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31%0.9%2026-06-22 00:00
Kalshi3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31%0.9%2026-06-22 00:00
Novig3.17I 31.55%NM 31.24%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.76%1.0%2026-06-22 00:00
ProphetX3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.28%1.7%2026-06-22 00:00