Language:English
Los Angeles Sparks v Las Vegas Aces
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Los Angeles Sparks (Local)
Prediction 47.16%2.12fair odd
EV -1.91%
Edge -0.917%
Kelly -1.77%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.08
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.89%47.29%47.35%48.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.022.042.0852.36%49.42%49.02%48.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Las Vegas Aces (Visit)
Prediction 52.84%1.89fair odd
EV -1.19%
Edge -0.636%
Kelly -1.37%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.87
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.05%52.71%52.65%55.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.791.801.8759.88%55.71%55.56%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Los Angeles Sparks (Local): 47.16%; Las Vegas Aces (Visit): 52.84%. For Las Vegas Aces (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.89. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.87, with an expected value of -1.19%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -1.91%E -0.917%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -5.94%E -3.34%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-10 21:44 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%EV -3.32%E -1.62%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%EV -2.25%E -1.21%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-10 21:48 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -3.32%E -1.62%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -4.36%E -2.41%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-10 21:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.32%E -1.62%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.89%E -2.72%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-10 18:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.32%E -1.62%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.89%E -2.72%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-10 21:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.32%E -1.62%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.89%E -2.72%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-10 19:14 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.32%E -1.62%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.89%E -2.72%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-10 21:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.32%E -1.62%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.89%E -2.72%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-10 17:48 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.32%E -1.62%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.89%E -2.72%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-10 19:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.32%E -1.62%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.89%E -2.72%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-10 21:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -3.32%E -1.62%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -5.42%E -3.03%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-10 21:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -3.32%E -1.62%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -5.42%E -3.03%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-10 21:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -3.32%E -1.62%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -5.42%E -3.03%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-10 21:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -3.32%E -1.62%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -5.42%E -3.03%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-10 21:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -3.32%E -1.62%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -5.42%E -3.03%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-10 21:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -3.32%E -1.62%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -5.42%E -3.03%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-10 21:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -3.32%E -1.62%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -5.42%E -3.03%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-10 21:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -3.32%E -1.62%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -5.42%E -3.03%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-10 21:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -3.32%E -1.62%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -5.42%E -3.03%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-10 21:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -3.32%E -1.62%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -5.42%E -3.03%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-10 21:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -3.32%E -1.62%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -7.00%E -3.98%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-10 21:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -3.32%E -1.62%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -11.76%E -7.04%K -17.55%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-10 21:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -3.79%E -1.86%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.94%E -3.34%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-10 21:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -3.79%E -1.86%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.94%E -3.34%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-10 21:24 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.74%E -2.35%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.83%E -2.10%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-10 21:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.74%E -2.35%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.89%E -2.72%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 21:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.74%E -2.35%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.89%E -2.72%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 21:29 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.74%E -2.35%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.89%E -2.72%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 19:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -5.21%E -2.59%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -4.36%E -2.41%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-10 21:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.68%E -2.84%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.30%E -1.80%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-10 21:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.68%E -2.84%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.30%E -1.80%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-10 21:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.68%E -2.84%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.83%E -2.10%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-10 21:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.68%E -2.84%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.89%E -2.72%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-10 21:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.68%E -2.84%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.89%E -2.72%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-10 21:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.68%E -2.84%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.89%E -2.72%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-10 21:49 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.68%E -2.84%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.89%E -2.72%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-10 20:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.68%E -2.84%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.89%E -2.72%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-10 19:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.68%E -2.84%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.59%E -4.96%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-10 19:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -6.62%E -3.35%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -2.25%E -1.21%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-10 21:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -6.62%E -3.35%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -2.25%E -1.21%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-10 21:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.62%E -3.35%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.89%E -2.72%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-10 21:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -6.62%E -3.35%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -5.94%E -3.34%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 21:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -6.62%E -3.35%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -5.94%E -3.34%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 21:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -8.04%E -4.12%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -1.19%E -0.636%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 21:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.65%EV -9.92%E -5.20%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.35%EV -11.76%E -7.04%K -17.55%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-10 21:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 2.15I 46.51%NM 46.25% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.75% | 0.6% | 2026-05-10 21:49 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 1.0% | 2026-05-10 21:54 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.59% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.41% | 1.5% | 2026-05-10 21:54 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93% | 2.1% | 2026-05-10 21:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.43% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.57% | 2.6% | 2026-05-10 21:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.43% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.57% | 2.6% | 2026-05-10 21:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.43% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.57% | 2.6% | 2026-05-10 21:54 |