L’École des cotes

Los Angeles Sparks v Las Vegas Aces

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-10 22:00 UTC

Score final : Los Angeles Sparks 78–105 Las Vegas Aces

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

45 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Los Angeles Sparks (Local)

Prévision 47.16%2.12cote équitable
EV -1.91%
Avantage -0.917%
Kelly -1.77%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.08

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.89%47.29%47.35%48.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.912.022.042.0852.36%49.42%49.02%48.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Las Vegas Aces (Visiteur)

Prévision 52.84%1.89cote équitable
EV -1.19%
Avantage -0.636%
Kelly -1.37%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.87

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.05%52.71%52.65%55.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.671.791.801.8759.88%55.71%55.56%53.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
1xBet2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -1.91%E -0.917%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -5.94%E -3.34%K -7.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-10 21:44
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%EV -3.32%E -1.62%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%EV -2.25%E -1.21%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-10 21:48
Pinnacle2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -3.32%E -1.62%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -4.36%E -2.41%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-10 21:34
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.32%E -1.62%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.89%E -2.72%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-10 18:45
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.32%E -1.62%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.89%E -2.72%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-10 21:29
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.32%E -1.62%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.89%E -2.72%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-10 19:14
GTbets2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.32%E -1.62%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.89%E -2.72%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-10 21:39
Bovada2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.32%E -1.62%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.89%E -2.72%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-10 17:48
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.32%E -1.62%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.89%E -2.72%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-10 19:19
BetUS2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.32%E -1.62%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.89%E -2.72%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-10 21:39
LeoVegas2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -3.32%E -1.62%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -5.42%E -3.03%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-10 21:55
TABtouch2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -3.32%E -1.62%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -5.42%E -3.03%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-10 21:54
LeoVegas (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -3.32%E -1.62%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -5.42%E -3.03%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-10 21:55
Unibet (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -3.32%E -1.62%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -5.42%E -3.03%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-10 21:54
Unibet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -3.32%E -1.62%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -5.42%E -3.03%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-10 21:54
betPARX2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -3.32%E -1.62%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -5.42%E -3.03%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-10 21:54
Svenska Spel2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -3.32%E -1.62%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -5.42%E -3.03%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-10 21:55
Bally Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -3.32%E -1.62%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -5.42%E -3.03%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-10 21:55
Unibet (NL)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -3.32%E -1.62%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -5.42%E -3.03%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-10 21:54
ATG (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -3.32%E -1.62%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -5.42%E -3.03%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-10 21:54
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -3.32%E -1.62%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -7.00%E -3.98%K -9.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 21:54
Fliff2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -3.32%E -1.62%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -11.76%E -7.04%K -17.55%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-10 21:19
FanDuel2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -3.79%E -1.86%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.94%E -3.34%K -7.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-10 21:54
BetRivers2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -3.79%E -1.86%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.94%E -3.34%K -7.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-10 21:24
BetAnything2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.74%E -2.35%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.83%E -2.10%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-10 21:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.74%E -2.35%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.89%E -2.72%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 21:29
Neds2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.74%E -2.35%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.89%E -2.72%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 21:29
MyBookie.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.74%E -2.35%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.89%E -2.72%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 19:09
ReBet2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -5.21%E -2.59%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -4.36%E -2.41%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 21:55
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.68%E -2.84%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.30%E -1.80%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-10 21:54
Hard Rock Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.68%E -2.84%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.30%E -1.80%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-10 21:54
Bet Right2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.68%E -2.84%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.83%E -2.10%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-10 21:54
Unibet (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.68%E -2.84%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.89%E -2.72%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 21:54
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.68%E -2.84%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.89%E -2.72%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 21:54
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.68%E -2.84%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.89%E -2.72%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 21:49
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.68%E -2.84%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.89%E -2.72%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 20:24
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.68%E -2.84%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.89%E -2.72%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 19:14
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.68%E -2.84%K -5.68%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.59%E -4.96%K -11.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-10 19:14
LowVig.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -6.62%E -3.35%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -2.25%E -1.21%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-10 21:49
BetOnline.ag1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -6.62%E -3.35%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -2.25%E -1.21%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-10 21:49
Coolbet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.62%E -3.35%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.89%E -2.72%K -6.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-10 21:54
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -6.62%E -3.35%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -5.94%E -3.34%K -7.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 21:54
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -6.62%E -3.35%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -5.94%E -3.34%K -7.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 21:55
Caesars1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -8.04%E -4.12%K -8.46%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -1.19%E -0.636%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 21:49
PMU (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.65%EV -9.92%E -5.20%K -10.91%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.35%EV -11.76%E -7.04%K -17.55%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-10 21:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig2.15I 46.51%NM 46.25%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.75%0.6%2026-05-10 21:49
Polymarket2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-05-10 21:54
ProphetX2.16I 46.30%NM 45.59%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.41%1.5%2026-05-10 21:54
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.1%2026-05-10 21:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.43%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.57%2.6%2026-05-10 21:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.43%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.57%2.6%2026-05-10 21:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.43%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.57%2.6%2026-05-10 21:54