Los Angeles Sparks v Chicago Sky

2026-07-11 02:10 — WNBA

Head to Head

23 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

54%

46%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Los Angeles Sparks (Local)

Prediction 54.23%1.84fair odd

EV -2.39%

Edge -1.33%

Kelly -2.99%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

53.05%54.12%54.26%55.70%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.671.751.751.80MINMEANMEDIANMAX

All estimators

Consensus probabilities

53.05%1.885Min

55.70%1.795Max

54.12%1.848Mean

54.26%1.843Median

54.23%1.844IQM

54.10%1.848Margin-weighted

Chicago Sky (Visit)

Prediction 45.77%2.18fair odd

EV -3.88%

Edge -1.85%

Kelly -3.53%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

44.30%45.88%45.74%46.95%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.002.072.082.10MINMEANMEDIANMAX

All estimators

Consensus probabilities

44.30%2.257Min

46.95%2.130Max

45.88%2.180Mean

45.74%2.186Median

45.77%2.185IQM

45.90%2.179Margin-weighted

Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Los Angeles Sparks (Local) ▼	Chicago Sky (Visit)	Margin	Updated
DraftKings	1.80I 55.56% NM 53.25%EV -2.39% E -1.33% K -2.99% G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78% NM 46.75%EV -6.17% E -3.01% K -5.87% G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-07-09 01:50
Fanatics	1.80I 55.56% NM 53.25%EV -2.39% E -1.33% K -2.99% G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78% NM 46.75%EV -6.17% E -3.01% K -5.87% G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-07-09 01:50
1xBet	1.78I 56.18% NM 53.89%EV -3.47% E -1.95% K -4.45% G +0.000%	2.08I 48.08% NM 46.11%EV -4.79% E -2.30% K -4.44% G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-07-09 02:05
theScore Bet	1.77I 56.50% NM 54.26%EV -4.02% E -2.27% K -5.22% G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62% NM 45.74%EV -3.88% E -1.85% K -3.53% G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-07-09 03:34
Betway	1.77I 56.50% NM 54.26%EV -4.02% E -2.27% K -5.22% G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62% NM 45.74%EV -3.88% E -1.85% K -3.53% G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-07-09 03:34
Hard Rock Bet	1.77I 56.50% NM 54.26%EV -4.02% E -2.27% K -5.22% G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62% NM 45.74%EV -3.88% E -1.85% K -3.53% G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-07-09 03:35
Fliff	1.77I 56.50% NM 53.05%EV -4.02% E -2.27% K -5.22% G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00% NM 46.95%EV -8.46% E -4.23% K -8.46% G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-07-09 02:10
MyBookie.ag	1.76I 56.82% NM 54.05%EV -4.56% E -2.59% K -6.00% G +0.000%	2.07I 48.31% NM 45.95%EV -5.25% E -2.54% K -4.91% G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-09 06:23
FanDuel	1.75I 57.14% NM 54.55%EV -5.10% E -2.91% K -6.80% G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62% NM 45.45%EV -3.88% E -1.85% K -3.53% G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-07-09 03:25
Unibet (UK)	1.75I 57.14% NM 54.31%EV -5.10% E -2.91% K -6.80% G +0.000%	2.08I 48.08% NM 45.69%EV -4.79% E -2.30% K -4.44% G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-07-09 03:34
Bet Right	1.75I 57.14% NM 54.31%EV -5.10% E -2.91% K -6.80% G +0.000%	2.08I 48.08% NM 45.69%EV -4.79% E -2.30% K -4.44% G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-07-09 06:24
SportsBet	1.75I 57.14% NM 54.31%EV -5.10% E -2.91% K -6.80% G +0.000%	2.08I 48.08% NM 45.69%EV -4.79% E -2.30% K -4.44% G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-07-09 03:25
NordicBet	1.75I 57.14% NM 53.83%EV -5.10% E -2.91% K -6.80% G +0.000%	2.04I 49.02% NM 46.17%EV -6.62% E -3.25% K -6.37% G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-07-09 03:29
Betsson	1.75I 57.14% NM 53.83%EV -5.10% E -2.91% K -6.80% G +0.000%	2.04I 49.02% NM 46.17%EV -6.62% E -3.25% K -6.37% G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-07-09 03:30
ReBet	1.74I 57.47% NM 53.85%EV -5.64% E -3.24% K -7.63% G +0.000%	2.03I 49.26% NM 46.15%EV -7.08% E -3.49% K -6.88% G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-07-09 06:19
888sport	1.73I 57.80% NM 54.83%EV -6.19% E -3.58% K -8.47% G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62% NM 45.17%EV -3.88% E -1.85% K -3.53% G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-09 06:20
Mr Green (SE)	1.73I 57.80% NM 54.83%EV -6.19% E -3.58% K -8.47% G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62% NM 45.17%EV -3.88% E -1.85% K -3.53% G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-09 06:20
888sport (SE)	1.73I 57.80% NM 54.83%EV -6.19% E -3.58% K -8.47% G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62% NM 45.17%EV -3.88% E -1.85% K -3.53% G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-09 06:20
Betr (AU)	1.73I 57.80% NM 54.83%EV -6.19% E -3.58% K -8.47% G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62% NM 45.17%EV -3.88% E -1.85% K -3.53% G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-09 06:24
Coolbet	1.73I 57.80% NM 54.47%EV -6.19% E -3.58% K -8.47% G +0.000%	2.07I 48.31% NM 45.53%EV -5.25% E -2.54% K -4.91% G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-07-09 06:55
BoyleSports	1.73I 57.80% NM 54.23%EV -6.19% E -3.58% K -8.47% G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78% NM 45.77%EV -6.17% E -3.01% K -5.87% G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-07-09 03:35
LeoVegas	1.70I 58.82% NM 54.05%EV -7.81% E -4.60% K -11.16% G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00% NM 45.95%EV -8.46% E -4.23% K -8.46% G +0.000%	8.8%	2026-07-09 06:20
Paddy Power	1.67I 59.88% NM 55.70%EV -9.44% E -5.65% K -14.09% G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62% NM 44.30%EV -3.88% E -1.85% K -3.53% G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-07-09 03:25

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (5)

Bookmaker	Los Angeles Sparks (Local)	Chicago Sky (Visit)	Margin ▲	Updated
Kalshi	1.85I 54.05% NM 52.93%	2.08I 48.08% NM 47.07%	2.1%	2026-07-09 07:05
Polymarket	1.79I 55.87% NM 53.75%	2.08I 48.08% NM 46.25%	3.9%	2026-07-09 07:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)	1.62I 61.73% NM 55.74%	2.04I 49.02% NM 44.26%	10.7%	2026-07-09 07:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)	1.62I 61.73% NM 55.74%	2.04I 49.02% NM 44.26%	10.7%	2026-07-09 07:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)	1.62I 61.73% NM 55.74%	2.04I 49.02% NM 44.26%	10.7%	2026-07-09 07:30