Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Sparks v Chicago Sky

Kickoff: 2026-07-11 02:10 UTC

Final: Los Angeles Sparks 102–87 Chicago Sky

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

47 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Sparks (Local)

Prediction 51.97%1.92fair odd
EV -0.731%
Edge -0.383%
Kelly -0.804%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.39%52.25%51.85%54.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.811.821.9157.80%55.11%54.95%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chicago Sky (Visit)

Prediction 48.03%2.08fair odd
EV +1.34%
Edge +0.634%
Kelly +1.20%
Growth +0.016%

assuming max odds 2.11

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.48%47.75%48.15%49.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.891.992.002.1152.91%50.13%50.00%47.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
LowVig.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 54.52%EV -8.53%E -4.85%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.48%EV +1.34%E +0.634%K +1.20%G +0.016%4.2%2026-07-11 02:04
BetOnline.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 54.52%EV -8.53%E -4.85%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.48%EV +1.34%E +0.634%K +1.20%G +0.016%4.2%2026-07-11 02:04
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -8.01%E -4.52%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV +0.856%E +0.408%K +0.779%G +0.007%4.1%2026-07-11 01:39
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.45%E -3.58%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.54%E -0.754%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 01:44
GTbets1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.45%E -3.58%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.54%E -0.754%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 01:44
Bovada1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.45%E -3.58%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.54%E -0.754%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 01:33
BetAnything1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.45%E -3.58%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.54%E -0.754%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 01:34
SportsBet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -8.53%E -4.85%K -11.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -1.54%E -0.754%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-11 01:59
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -9.57%E -5.50%K -12.93%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -1.54%E -0.754%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-11 02:04
FanDuel1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -7.49%E -4.21%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -2.03%E -0.993%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 02:00
BetUS1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -5.93%E -3.28%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -2.51%E -1.23%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-11 01:45
DraftKings1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.41%E -2.97%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -2.99%E -1.48%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-11 01:39
Bet Victor1.90I 52.63%NM 51.28%EV -1.25%E -0.658%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.72%EV -3.95%E -1.97%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-11 01:49
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.89%E -2.67%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.95%E -1.97%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 01:47
Unibet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.89%E -2.67%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.95%E -1.97%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 02:00
Unibet (NL)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.89%E -2.67%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.95%E -1.97%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 01:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.89%E -2.67%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.95%E -1.97%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 02:04
Unibet (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.89%E -2.67%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.95%E -1.97%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 02:04
betPARX1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.89%E -2.67%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.95%E -1.97%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 02:04
Svenska Spel1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.89%E -2.67%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.95%E -1.97%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 02:04
Bally Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.89%E -2.67%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.95%E -1.97%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 02:00
ATG (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.89%E -2.67%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.95%E -1.97%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 02:04
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.89%E -2.67%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.95%E -1.97%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-11 02:04
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.45%E -3.58%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.95%E -1.97%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-11 01:09
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.45%E -3.58%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.95%E -1.97%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-11 01:09
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.45%E -3.58%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.95%E -1.97%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-11 01:09
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.45%E -3.58%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.95%E -1.97%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-11 01:49
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.45%E -3.58%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.95%E -1.97%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-11 01:39
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -10.09%E -5.83%K -13.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -3.95%E -1.97%K -3.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-10 19:53
Pinnacle1.86I 53.76%NM 51.69%EV -3.33%E -1.79%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -4.43%E -2.22%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-11 02:00
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.89%E -2.67%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.91%E -2.48%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 15:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.89%E -2.67%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.91%E -2.48%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-10 15:54
BetRivers1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -5.41%E -2.97%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -5.39%E -2.73%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-11 02:04
TABtouch1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -5.41%E -2.97%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -5.39%E -2.73%K -5.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-11 02:04
ReBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.85%E -2.08%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.87%E -2.99%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 01:54
MyBookie.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.85%E -2.08%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.87%E -2.99%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 01:59
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.81%E -1.50%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.35%E -3.26%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-11 02:04
Unibet (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.85%E -2.08%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.35%E -3.26%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 01:54
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.89%E -2.67%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.35%E -3.26%K -6.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-11 01:59
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -5.41%E -2.97%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -6.35%E -3.26%K -6.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-11 00:55
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -5.41%E -2.97%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -6.35%E -3.26%K -6.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-11 00:55
1xBet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -0.731%E -0.383%K -0.804%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -6.83%E -3.52%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-11 00:44
Bet Right1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -5.41%E -2.97%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -6.83%E -3.52%K -7.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-11 01:49
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.89%E -2.67%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.27%E -4.33%K -9.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-11 01:54
LeoVegas1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.45%E -3.58%K -8.06%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -8.75%E -4.60%K -9.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-11 02:04
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.45%E -3.58%K -8.06%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -8.75%E -4.60%K -9.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-11 02:04
PMU (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.07%EV -9.57%E -5.50%K -12.93%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 47.93%EV -9.23%E -4.88%K -10.37%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-11 02:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.87I 53.48%NM 53.25%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.75%0.4%2026-07-11 02:04
Matchbook1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-07-11 02:04
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-07-10 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.03%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.97%1.4%2026-07-11 02:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.03%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.97%1.4%2026-07-11 02:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.90I 52.63%NM 51.78%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.22%1.7%2026-07-11 02:04
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%3.0%2026-07-11 02:04
ProphetX1.86I 53.76%NM 51.81%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.19%3.8%2026-07-11 02:04