La escuela de los momiosLos Angeles Sparks v Chicago Sky
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Los Angeles Sparks (Local)
Predicción 51.97%1.92momio equitativo
EV -0.731%
Ventaja -0.383%
Kelly -0.804%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.91
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.39%52.25%51.85%54.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.731.811.821.9157.80%55.11%54.95%52.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Chicago Sky (Visitante)
Predicción 48.03%2.08momio equitativo
EV +1.34%
Ventaja +0.634%
Kelly +1.20%
Crecimiento +0.016%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.11
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.48%47.75%48.15%49.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.891.992.002.1152.91%50.13%50.00%47.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.52%EV -8.53%E -4.85%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.48%EV +1.34%E +0.634%K +1.20%G +0.016% | 4.2% | 2026-07-11 02:04 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.52%EV -8.53%E -4.85%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.48%EV +1.34%E +0.634%K +1.20%G +0.016% | 4.2% | 2026-07-11 02:04 |
| Caesars | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -8.01%E -4.52%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV +0.856%E +0.408%K +0.779%G +0.007% | 4.1% | 2026-07-11 01:39 |
| Fanatics | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.45%E -3.58%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.54%E -0.754%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-11 01:44 |
| GTbets | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.45%E -3.58%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.54%E -0.754%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-11 01:44 |
| Bovada | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.45%E -3.58%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.54%E -0.754%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-11 01:33 |
| BetAnything | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.45%E -3.58%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.54%E -0.754%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-11 01:34 |
| SportsBet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -8.53%E -4.85%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -1.54%E -0.754%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-11 01:59 |
| Fliff | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -9.57%E -5.50%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -1.54%E -0.754%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-11 02:04 |
| FanDuel | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -7.49%E -4.21%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -2.03%E -0.993%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-11 02:00 |
| BetUS | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -5.93%E -3.28%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -2.51%E -1.23%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-11 01:45 |
| DraftKings | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.41%E -2.97%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -2.99%E -1.48%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-11 01:39 |
| Bet Victor | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.28%EV -1.25%E -0.658%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.72%EV -3.95%E -1.97%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-11 01:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.89%E -2.67%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.95%E -1.97%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-11 01:47 |
| Unibet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.89%E -2.67%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.95%E -1.97%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-11 02:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.89%E -2.67%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.95%E -1.97%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-11 01:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.89%E -2.67%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.95%E -1.97%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-11 02:04 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.89%E -2.67%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.95%E -1.97%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-11 02:04 |
| betPARX | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.89%E -2.67%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.95%E -1.97%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-11 02:04 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.89%E -2.67%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.95%E -1.97%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-11 02:04 |
| Bally Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.89%E -2.67%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.95%E -1.97%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-11 02:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.89%E -2.67%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.95%E -1.97%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-11 02:04 |
| BetMGM | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.89%E -2.67%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.95%E -1.97%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-11 02:04 |
| 888sport | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.45%E -3.58%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.95%E -1.97%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-11 01:09 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.45%E -3.58%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.95%E -1.97%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-11 01:09 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.45%E -3.58%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.95%E -1.97%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-11 01:09 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.45%E -3.58%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.95%E -1.97%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-11 01:49 |
| TAB | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.45%E -3.58%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.95%E -1.97%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-11 01:39 |
| Paddy Power | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -10.09%E -5.83%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -3.95%E -1.97%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-10 19:53 |
| Pinnacle | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.69%EV -3.33%E -1.79%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -4.43%E -2.22%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-11 02:00 |
| Neds | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.89%E -2.67%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.91%E -2.48%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-10 15:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.89%E -2.67%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.91%E -2.48%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-10 15:54 |
| BetRivers | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -5.41%E -2.97%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -5.39%E -2.73%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-11 02:04 |
| TABtouch | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -5.41%E -2.97%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -5.39%E -2.73%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-11 02:04 |
| ReBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.85%E -2.08%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.87%E -2.99%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-11 01:54 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.85%E -2.08%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.87%E -2.99%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-11 01:59 |
| theScore Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.81%E -1.50%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.35%E -3.26%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-11 02:04 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.85%E -2.08%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.35%E -3.26%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-11 01:54 |
| Betway | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.89%E -2.67%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.35%E -3.26%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-11 01:59 |
| NordicBet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -5.41%E -2.97%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -6.35%E -3.26%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-11 00:55 |
| Betsson | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -5.41%E -2.97%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -6.35%E -3.26%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-11 00:55 |
| 1xBet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -0.731%E -0.383%K -0.804%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -6.83%E -3.52%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-11 00:44 |
| Bet Right | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -5.41%E -2.97%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -6.83%E -3.52%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-11 01:49 |
| BoyleSports | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.89%E -2.67%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.27%E -4.33%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-11 01:54 |
| LeoVegas | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.45%E -3.58%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -8.75%E -4.60%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-11 02:04 |
| Coolbet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.45%E -3.58%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -8.75%E -4.60%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-11 02:04 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.07%EV -9.57%E -5.50%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.93%EV -9.23%E -4.88%K -10.37%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-11 02:04 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.25% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.75% | 0.4% | 2026-07-11 02:04 |
| Matchbook | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50% | 0.5% | 2026-07-11 02:04 |
| Kalshi | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-07-10 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.03% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.97% | 1.4% | 2026-07-11 02:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.03% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.97% | 1.4% | 2026-07-11 02:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.78% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.22% | 1.7% | 2026-07-11 02:04 |
| Polymarket | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67% | 3.0% | 2026-07-11 02:04 |
| ProphetX | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.81% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.19% | 3.8% | 2026-07-11 02:04 |