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Las Vegas Aces v Washington Mystics
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Las Vegas Aces (Local)
Prediction 70.02%1.43fair odd
EV +0.132%
Edge +0.092%
Kelly +0.307%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.43
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.05%69.88%70.16%70.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.371.371.4375.19%73.03%72.99%69.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Washington Mystics (Visit)
Prediction 29.98%3.34fair odd
EV +0.425%
Edge +0.127%
Kelly +0.181%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 3.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.03%30.12%29.84%32.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.113.103.3534.48%32.20%32.26%29.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Las Vegas Aces (Local): 70.02%; Washington Mystics (Visit): 29.98%. For Washington Mystics (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.34. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.35, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.425%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.97%EV -4.07%E -2.97%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03%EV +0.425%E +0.127%K +0.181%G +0.001% | 2.8% | 2026-08-12 01:53 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.66%EV -4.07%E -2.97%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34%EV -1.07%E -0.325%K -0.467%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-12 02:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -4.07%E -2.97%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -2.57%E -0.791%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-12 01:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.77%E -3.51%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.57%E -0.791%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-12 01:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.77%E -3.51%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.57%E -0.791%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-12 01:58 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.87%E -5.17%K -20.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.57%E -0.791%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-12 01:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.74%EV -6.17%E -4.60%K -18.15%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.26%EV -2.87%E -0.886%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-12 01:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -4.07%E -2.97%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -3.47%E -1.08%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-12 01:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -4.07%E -2.97%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -3.47%E -1.08%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-12 01:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.31%EV -4.77%E -3.51%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.69%EV -3.47%E -1.08%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-11 19:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.07%E -2.97%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -4.07%E -1.27%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-12 01:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.07%E -2.97%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -4.07%E -1.27%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-12 01:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.77%E -3.51%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.07%E -1.27%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-11 19:28 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -6.17%E -4.60%K -18.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -4.07%E -1.27%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-12 01:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -6.17%E -4.60%K -18.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -4.07%E -1.27%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-12 01:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.87%E -5.17%K -20.82%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.07%E -1.27%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-12 01:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.67%EV -3.37%E -2.44%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.33%EV -4.97%E -1.57%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-12 01:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.37%E -2.44%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -5.57%E -1.77%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-12 01:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.37%E -2.44%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -5.57%E -1.77%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-12 01:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.37%E -2.44%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.07%E -2.28%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-12 01:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.07%E -2.97%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -7.07%E -2.28%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 01:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.77%E -3.51%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.07%E -2.28%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-11 16:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.77%E -3.51%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.07%E -2.28%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-11 16:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.77%E -3.51%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.07%E -2.28%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-11 16:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.87%E -5.17%K -20.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.07%E -2.28%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-12 02:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.06%EV -3.37%E -2.44%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV -7.67%E -2.49%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-12 01:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.37%EV -4.77%E -3.51%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.63%EV -7.67%E -2.49%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-12 02:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.37%E -2.44%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.57%E -2.81%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 01:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.37%E -2.44%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.57%E -2.81%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 01:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.37%E -2.44%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.57%E -2.81%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 01:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.37%E -2.44%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.57%E -2.81%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 01:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.37%E -2.44%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.57%E -2.81%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 01:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.37%E -2.44%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.57%E -2.81%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 02:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.37%E -2.44%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.57%E -2.81%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 02:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.37%E -2.44%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.57%E -2.81%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 02:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.37%E -2.44%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.57%E -2.81%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 01:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.37%E -2.44%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.57%E -2.81%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-12 02:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.86%EV -4.07%E -2.97%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.14%EV -9.17%E -3.03%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-12 01:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -1.97%E -1.41%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -10.07%E -3.36%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-12 01:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.37%E -2.44%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -10.07%E -3.36%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-12 01:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.87%E -5.17%K -20.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.07%E -3.36%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-11 20:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.93%EV -6.87%E -5.17%K -20.82%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -11.57%E -3.92%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-12 01:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.05%EV +0.132%E +0.092%K +0.307%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.95%EV -12.76%E -4.39%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-12 01:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -0.568%E -0.400%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -13.06%E -4.51%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-12 01:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -0.568%E -0.400%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -13.06%E -4.51%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-12 01:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -1.97%E -1.41%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -13.06%E -4.51%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-12 02:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.56%EV -6.87%E -5.17%K -20.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -13.06%E -4.51%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-12 01:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 0.7% | 2026-08-12 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 0.8% | 2026-08-12 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 0.8% | 2026-08-12 01:59 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75% | 1.0% | 2026-08-12 01:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94% | 1.2% | 2026-08-12 02:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.53% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47% | 1.3% | 2026-08-12 02:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.40% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.60% | 1.5% | 2026-08-12 02:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.55% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.45% | 2.0% | 2026-08-12 01:55 |