Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Las Vegas Aces v Washington Mystics

2026-08-12 02:00 UTC — WNBA

Head to Head

40 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Las Vegas Aces (Local)

Prediction 73.42%1.36fair odd
EV -3.08%
Edge -2.33%
Kelly -9.63%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.32

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.43%73.41%73.39%74.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.291.291.3280.00%77.28%77.52%75.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Washington Mystics (Visit)

Prediction 26.58%3.76fair odd
EV -1.67%
Edge -0.451%
Kelly -0.618%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.85%26.59%26.61%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.523.503.7031.25%28.42%28.57%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Las Vegas Aces (Local): 73.42%; Washington Mystics (Visit): 26.58%. For Washington Mystics (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.76. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.70, with an expected value of -1.67%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.73%EV -3.08%E -2.33%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.27%EV -6.45%E -1.83%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-10 00:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -3.08%E -2.33%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -8.31%E -2.41%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-10 01:15
Neds🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -3.08%E -2.33%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -8.31%E -2.41%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-10 01:15
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.81%E -2.91%K -12.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.33%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-10 01:10
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.55%E -3.50%K -15.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -3.00%E -0.821%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-10 02:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.55%E -3.50%K -15.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.33%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-10 01:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.55%E -3.50%K -15.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.66%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-10 01:15
Bet Right🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.55%E -3.50%K -15.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.66%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-10 01:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.55%E -3.50%K -15.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.98%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-10 01:54
Unibet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.55%E -3.50%K -15.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.98%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-10 01:54
BetRivers🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.55%E -3.50%K -15.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.98%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-10 01:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.55%E -3.50%K -15.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.98%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-10 01:55
TABtouch🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.55%E -3.50%K -15.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.98%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-10 01:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.55%E -3.50%K -15.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.98%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-10 01:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.55%E -3.50%K -15.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.98%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-10 01:54
betPARX🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.55%E -3.50%K -15.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.98%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-10 01:54
Bally Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.55%E -3.50%K -15.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.98%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-10 01:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.55%E -3.50%K -15.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.98%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-10 01:55
theScore Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.28%E -4.10%K -18.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -1.67%E -0.451%K -0.618%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-10 01:55
DraftKings🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.28%E -4.10%K -18.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -1.67%E -0.451%K -0.618%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-09 21:00
Caesars🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.28%E -4.10%K -18.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -1.67%E -0.451%K -0.618%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-10 02:49
GTbets🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.28%E -4.10%K -18.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -1.67%E -0.451%K -0.618%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-10 02:49
Fanatics🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.28%E -4.10%K -18.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -3.00%E -0.821%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-10 02:50
888sport🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.28%E -4.10%K -18.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.33%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 01:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.28%E -4.10%K -18.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.33%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 01:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.28%E -4.10%K -18.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.33%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 01:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.28%E -4.10%K -18.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.33%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 02:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.28%E -4.10%K -18.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.33%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 02:04
FanDuel🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.28%E -4.10%K -18.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.98%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-10 02:40
Coolbet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.28%E -4.10%K -18.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.98%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-10 01:15
BoyleSports🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.28%E -4.10%K -18.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.98%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-10 02:05
Bet Victor🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -5.28%E -4.10%K -18.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -12.30%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-10 01:20
betano_uk🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -5.28%E -4.10%K -18.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -12.30%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-10 01:20
Paddy Power🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -5.28%E -4.10%K -18.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -13.63%E -4.19%K -6.06%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-10 02:34
SportsBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -6.02%E -4.70%K -21.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -4.33%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-10 02:35
NordicBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.02%E -4.70%K -21.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.98%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-09 21:05
Betsson🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.02%E -4.70%K -21.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.98%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-09 21:05
ReBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.00%EV -6.02%E -4.70%K -21.49%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.00%EV -8.05%E -2.33%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-10 01:54
LeoVegas🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.43%EV -6.02%E -4.70%K -21.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -14.96%E -4.67%K -6.80%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-10 01:54
PMU (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.53%EV -8.22%E -6.58%K -32.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -12.30%E -3.73%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-10 01:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-08-10 02:40
Polymarket1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-08-10 01:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-08-10 01:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-08-10 01:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-08-10 01:25