默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Las Vegas Aces v Washington Mystics

开赛时间: 2026-08-12 02:03 UTC

最终结果: Las Vegas Aces 86–76 Washington Mystics

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

47 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Las Vegas Aces (主队)

预测 70.02%1.43公平赔率
EV +0.132%
优势 +0.092%
Kelly +0.307%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.43

博彩公司预测分布
67.05%69.88%70.16%70.97%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.331.371.371.4375.19%73.03%72.99%69.93%最小值均值中位数最大值

Washington Mystics (客队)

预测 29.98%3.34公平赔率
EV +0.425%
优势 +0.127%
Kelly +0.181%
增长率 +0.001%

假设最高赔率为 3.35

博彩公司预测分布
29.03%30.12%29.84%32.95%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.903.113.103.3534.48%32.20%32.26%29.85%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Las Vegas Aces (主队):70.02%;Washington Mystics (客队):29.98%。 对于“Washington Mystics (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.34。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为3.35,对应+0.425%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (47 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
betano_uk🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.97%EV -4.07%E -2.97%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03%EV +0.425%E +0.127%K +0.181%G +0.001%2.8%2026-08-12 01:53
Bet Victor🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.66%EV -4.07%E -2.97%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34%EV -1.07%E -0.325%K -0.467%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-12 02:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -4.07%E -2.97%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -2.57%E -0.791%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-12 01:59
theScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.77%E -3.51%K -13.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.57%E -0.791%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-12 01:59
Bovada🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.77%E -3.51%K -13.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.57%E -0.791%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-12 01:58
Betway🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.87%E -5.17%K -20.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.57%E -0.791%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-12 01:59
ReBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.74%EV -6.17%E -4.60%K -18.15%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.26%EV -2.87%E -0.886%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-12 01:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -4.07%E -2.97%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -3.47%E -1.08%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-12 01:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.15%EV -4.07%E -2.97%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.85%EV -3.47%E -1.08%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-12 01:49
Caesars🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.31%EV -4.77%E -3.51%K -13.25%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.69%EV -3.47%E -1.08%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-11 19:54
GTbets🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.07%E -2.97%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -4.07%E -1.27%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-12 01:49
BetUS🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.07%E -2.97%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -4.07%E -1.27%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-12 01:50
Fanatics🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.77%E -3.51%K -13.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.07%E -1.27%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-11 19:28
NordicBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -6.17%E -4.60%K -18.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -4.07%E -1.27%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-12 01:20
Betsson🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -6.17%E -4.60%K -18.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -4.07%E -1.27%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-12 01:25
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.87%E -5.17%K -20.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.07%E -1.27%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-12 01:19
Pinnacle🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.67%EV -3.37%E -2.44%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.33%EV -4.97%E -1.57%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-12 01:55
DraftKings🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.37%E -2.44%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -5.57%E -1.77%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-12 01:39
BetAnything🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.37%E -2.44%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -5.57%E -1.77%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-12 01:44
FanDuel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.37%E -2.44%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.07%E -2.28%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-12 01:59
Bet Right🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.07%E -2.97%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -7.07%E -2.28%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 01:35
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.77%E -3.51%K -13.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.07%E -2.28%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-11 16:34
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.77%E -3.51%K -13.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.07%E -2.28%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-11 16:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.77%E -3.51%K -13.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.07%E -2.28%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-11 16:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.87%E -5.17%K -20.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.07%E -2.28%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-12 02:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.06%EV -3.37%E -2.44%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV -7.67%E -2.49%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-12 01:45
SportsBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.37%EV -4.77%E -3.51%K -13.25%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.63%EV -7.67%E -2.49%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-12 02:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.37%E -2.44%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.57%E -2.81%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 01:59
Unibet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.37%E -2.44%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.57%E -2.81%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 01:59
BetRivers🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.37%E -2.44%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.57%E -2.81%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 01:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.37%E -2.44%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.57%E -2.81%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 01:59
TABtouch🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.37%E -2.44%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.57%E -2.81%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 01:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.37%E -2.44%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.57%E -2.81%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 02:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.37%E -2.44%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.57%E -2.81%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 02:00
betPARX🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.37%E -2.44%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.57%E -2.81%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 02:00
Bally Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.37%E -2.44%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.57%E -2.81%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 01:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.37%E -2.44%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.57%E -2.81%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 02:00
Coolbet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.86%EV -4.07%E -2.97%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.14%EV -9.17%E -3.03%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-12 01:44
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -1.97%E -1.41%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -10.07%E -3.36%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-12 01:40
TAB🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.37%E -2.44%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -10.07%E -3.36%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-12 01:34
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.87%E -5.17%K -20.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.07%E -3.36%K -5.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-11 20:15
LeoVegas🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.93%EV -6.87%E -5.17%K -20.82%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -11.57%E -3.92%K -5.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-12 01:20
1xBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.05%EV +0.132%E +0.092%K +0.307%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.95%EV -12.76%E -4.39%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-12 01:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -0.568%E -0.400%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -13.06%E -4.51%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-12 01:44
Neds🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -0.568%E -0.400%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -13.06%E -4.51%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-12 01:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -1.97%E -1.41%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -13.06%E -4.51%K -6.88%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-12 02:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.56%EV -6.87%E -5.17%K -20.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -13.06%E -4.51%K -6.88%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-12 01:59
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (8)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook◎1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-08-12 02:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-08-12 02:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-08-12 01:59
Polymarket◎1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75%1.0%2026-08-12 01:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%1.2%2026-08-12 02:00
ProphetX◎1.40I 71.43%NM 70.53%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47%1.3%2026-08-12 02:00
Novig◎1.40I 71.43%NM 70.40%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.60%1.5%2026-08-12 02:00
Kalshi◎1.39I 71.94%NM 70.55%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.45%2.0%2026-08-12 01:55