Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.11
assuming max odds 11.50
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Las Vegas Aces (Local): 89.70%; Toronto Tempo (Visit): 10.30%. For Toronto Tempo (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.71. 13 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 11.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +18.40%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.63%EV -5.81%E -5.53%K -116.20%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.37%EV +18.40%E +1.60%K +1.75%G +0.322% | 3.9% | 2026-08-29 02:03 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.81%E -5.53%K -116.20%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +13.25%E +1.20%K +1.32%G +0.176% | 4.3% | 2026-08-29 02:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.71%E -6.45%K -167.68%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +13.25%E +1.20%K +1.32%G +0.176% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 02:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.71%E -6.45%K -167.68%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +13.25%E +1.20%K +1.32%G +0.176% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 02:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.14%EV -5.81%E -5.53%K -116.20%G +0.000% | 10.80I 9.26%NM 8.86%EV +11.19%E +1.04%K +1.14%G +0.128% | 4.5% | 2026-08-29 01:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -5.81%E -5.53%K -116.20%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV +8.10%E +0.772%K +0.853%G +0.069% | 4.8% | 2026-08-29 02:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.63%EV -4.91%E -4.63%K -81.88%G +0.000% | 10.25I 9.76%NM 9.37%EV +5.53%E +0.539%K +0.598%G +0.033% | 4.1% | 2026-08-29 02:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.33%EV -4.02%E -3.75%K -57.37%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.67%EV +2.95%E +0.295%K +0.328%G +0.010% | 3.5% | 2026-08-29 01:49 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.33%EV -4.02%E -3.75%K -57.37%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.67%EV +2.95%E +0.295%K +0.328%G +0.010% | 3.5% | 2026-08-29 01:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.91%E -4.63%K -81.88%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +2.95%E +0.295%K +0.328%G +0.010% | 4.3% | 2026-08-29 02:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.81%E -5.53%K -116.20%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +2.95%E +0.295%K +0.328%G +0.010% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 01:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.71%E -6.45%K -167.68%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +2.95%E +0.295%K +0.328%G +0.010% | 6.2% | 2026-08-29 01:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.55%EV -6.71%E -6.45%K -167.68%G +0.000% | 9.97I 10.03%NM 9.45%EV +2.64%E +0.265%K +0.295%G +0.008% | 6.2% | 2026-08-29 02:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.91%E -4.63%K -81.88%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -2.19%E -0.231%K -0.258%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-29 01:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.91%E -4.63%K -81.88%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -2.19%E -0.231%K -0.258%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-29 02:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -6.71%E -6.45%K -167.68%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -2.19%E -0.231%K -0.258%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-29 01:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.53%EV -3.12%E -2.89%K -38.99%G +0.000% | 9.24I 10.82%NM 10.47%EV -4.87%E -0.527%K -0.591%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-29 02:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -3.12%E -2.89%K -38.99%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV -7.34%E -0.816%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-29 01:49 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.02%E -3.75%K -57.37%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -7.34%E -0.816%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-29 02:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.02%E -3.75%K -57.37%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -7.34%E -0.816%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-29 01:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.02%E -3.75%K -57.37%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -7.34%E -0.816%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-29 01:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.02%E -3.75%K -57.37%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -7.34%E -0.816%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-29 01:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.91%E -4.63%K -81.88%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -7.34%E -0.816%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 01:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.91%E -4.63%K -81.88%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -7.34%E -0.816%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 01:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.91%E -4.63%K -81.88%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -7.34%E -0.816%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 01:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.91%E -4.63%K -81.88%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -7.34%E -0.816%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 01:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.91%E -4.63%K -81.88%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -7.34%E -0.816%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 02:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.91%E -4.63%K -81.88%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -7.34%E -0.816%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 01:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.91%E -4.63%K -81.88%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -7.34%E -0.816%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 01:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.81%E -5.53%K -116.20%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -7.34%E -0.816%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 01:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.81%E -5.53%K -116.20%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -7.34%E -0.816%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 01:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -6.71%E -6.45%K -167.68%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -7.34%E -0.816%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-29 02:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.23%EV -3.12%E -2.89%K -38.99%G +0.000% | 8.95I 11.17%NM 10.77%EV -7.86%E -0.878%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-29 01:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.23%EV -3.12%E -2.89%K -38.99%G +0.000% | 8.95I 11.17%NM 10.77%EV -7.86%E -0.878%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-29 01:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -3.12%E -2.89%K -38.99%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -12.49%E -1.47%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-29 01:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.02%E -3.75%K -57.37%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -12.49%E -1.47%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 02:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.02%E -3.75%K -57.37%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -12.49%E -1.47%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 02:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.02%E -3.75%K -57.37%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -12.49%E -1.47%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 02:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.02%E -3.75%K -57.37%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -12.49%E -1.47%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 02:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.02%E -3.75%K -57.37%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -12.49%E -1.47%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 02:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.91%E -4.63%K -81.88%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -12.49%E -1.47%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-29 02:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.91%E -4.63%K -81.88%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -12.49%E -1.47%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-29 01:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.19%EV -7.60%E -7.38%K -253.47%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.81%EV -12.49%E -1.47%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-29 02:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 89.29%EV -8.50%E -8.33%K -425.06%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.71%EV -12.49%E -1.47%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-29 01:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -5.81%E -5.53%K -116.20%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -17.64%E -2.20%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-29 01:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -4.91%E -4.63%K -81.88%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -22.79%E -3.04%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-29 02:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.67%EV -0.428%E -0.385%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.22I 13.85%NM 13.33%EV -25.67%E -3.56%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-29 01:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 87.38%EV -6.71%E -6.45%K -167.68%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.62%EV -25.87%E -3.59%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-29 02:05 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 91.07% | 11.11I 9.00%NM 8.93% | 0.7% | 2026-08-29 01:45 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.83% | 10.80I 9.26%NM 9.17% | 1.0% | 2026-08-29 02:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.14% | 11.11I 9.00%NM 8.86% | 1.6% | 2026-08-29 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.06% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.94% | 1.7% | 2026-08-29 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.06% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.94% | 1.7% | 2026-08-29 02:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 90.70% | 10.53I 9.50%NM 9.30% | 2.1% | 2026-08-29 02:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.07I 93.46%NM 91.14% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.86% | 2.5% | 2026-08-29 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79% | 3.4% | 2026-08-29 02:05 |