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Las Vegas Aces v Toronto Tempo
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Las Vegas Aces (Local)
Predicción 89.70%1.11momio equitativo
EV -0.428%
Ventaja -0.385%
Kelly -3.89%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.11
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
86.67%89.77%89.54%91.63%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.021.061.061.1198.04%94.40%94.34%90.09%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Toronto Tempo (Visitante)
Predicción 10.30%9.71momio equitativo
EV +18.40%
Ventaja +1.60%
Kelly +1.75%
Crecimiento +0.322%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 11.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
8.37%10.23%10.46%13.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
7.209.209.0011.5013.89%10.87%11.11%8.70%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Las Vegas Aces (Local): 89.70%; Toronto Tempo (Visitante): 10.30%. Para Toronto Tempo (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 9.71. 13 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 11.50, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +18.40%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.63%EV -5.81%E -5.53%K -116.20%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.37%EV +18.40%E +1.60%K +1.75%G +0.322% | 3.9% | 2026-08-29 02:03 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -5.81%E -5.53%K -116.20%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +13.25%E +1.20%K +1.32%G +0.176% | 4.3% | 2026-08-29 02:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.71%E -6.45%K -167.68%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +13.25%E +1.20%K +1.32%G +0.176% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 02:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.71%E -6.45%K -167.68%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +13.25%E +1.20%K +1.32%G +0.176% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 02:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.14%EV -5.81%E -5.53%K -116.20%G +0.000% | 10.80I 9.26%NM 8.86%EV +11.19%E +1.04%K +1.14%G +0.128% | 4.5% | 2026-08-29 01:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -5.81%E -5.53%K -116.20%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV +8.10%E +0.772%K +0.853%G +0.069% | 4.8% | 2026-08-29 02:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.63%EV -4.91%E -4.63%K -81.88%G +0.000% | 10.25I 9.76%NM 9.37%EV +5.53%E +0.539%K +0.598%G +0.033% | 4.1% | 2026-08-29 02:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.33%EV -4.02%E -3.75%K -57.37%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.67%EV +2.95%E +0.295%K +0.328%G +0.010% | 3.5% | 2026-08-29 01:49 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.33%EV -4.02%E -3.75%K -57.37%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.67%EV +2.95%E +0.295%K +0.328%G +0.010% | 3.5% | 2026-08-29 01:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.91%E -4.63%K -81.88%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +2.95%E +0.295%K +0.328%G +0.010% | 4.3% | 2026-08-29 02:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.81%E -5.53%K -116.20%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +2.95%E +0.295%K +0.328%G +0.010% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 01:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.71%E -6.45%K -167.68%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +2.95%E +0.295%K +0.328%G +0.010% | 6.2% | 2026-08-29 01:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.55%EV -6.71%E -6.45%K -167.68%G +0.000% | 9.97I 10.03%NM 9.45%EV +2.64%E +0.265%K +0.295%G +0.008% | 6.2% | 2026-08-29 02:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.91%E -4.63%K -81.88%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -2.19%E -0.231%K -0.258%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-29 01:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.91%E -4.63%K -81.88%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -2.19%E -0.231%K -0.258%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-29 02:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -6.71%E -6.45%K -167.68%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -2.19%E -0.231%K -0.258%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-29 01:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.53%EV -3.12%E -2.89%K -38.99%G +0.000% | 9.24I 10.82%NM 10.47%EV -4.87%E -0.527%K -0.591%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-29 02:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -3.12%E -2.89%K -38.99%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV -7.34%E -0.816%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-29 01:49 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.02%E -3.75%K -57.37%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -7.34%E -0.816%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-29 02:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.02%E -3.75%K -57.37%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -7.34%E -0.816%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-29 01:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.02%E -3.75%K -57.37%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -7.34%E -0.816%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-29 01:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -4.02%E -3.75%K -57.37%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV -7.34%E -0.816%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-29 01:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.91%E -4.63%K -81.88%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -7.34%E -0.816%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 01:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.91%E -4.63%K -81.88%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -7.34%E -0.816%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 01:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.91%E -4.63%K -81.88%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -7.34%E -0.816%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 01:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.91%E -4.63%K -81.88%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -7.34%E -0.816%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 01:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.91%E -4.63%K -81.88%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -7.34%E -0.816%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 02:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.91%E -4.63%K -81.88%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -7.34%E -0.816%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 01:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.91%E -4.63%K -81.88%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -7.34%E -0.816%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 01:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.81%E -5.53%K -116.20%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -7.34%E -0.816%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 01:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.81%E -5.53%K -116.20%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -7.34%E -0.816%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 01:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -6.71%E -6.45%K -167.68%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -7.34%E -0.816%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-29 02:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.23%EV -3.12%E -2.89%K -38.99%G +0.000% | 8.95I 11.17%NM 10.77%EV -7.86%E -0.878%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-29 01:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.23%EV -3.12%E -2.89%K -38.99%G +0.000% | 8.95I 11.17%NM 10.77%EV -7.86%E -0.878%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-29 01:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -3.12%E -2.89%K -38.99%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -12.49%E -1.47%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-29 01:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.02%E -3.75%K -57.37%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -12.49%E -1.47%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 02:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.02%E -3.75%K -57.37%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -12.49%E -1.47%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 02:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.02%E -3.75%K -57.37%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -12.49%E -1.47%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 02:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.02%E -3.75%K -57.37%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -12.49%E -1.47%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 02:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -4.02%E -3.75%K -57.37%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -12.49%E -1.47%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 02:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.91%E -4.63%K -81.88%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -12.49%E -1.47%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-29 02:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.91%E -4.63%K -81.88%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -12.49%E -1.47%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-29 01:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.19%EV -7.60%E -7.38%K -253.47%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.81%EV -12.49%E -1.47%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-29 02:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 89.29%EV -8.50%E -8.33%K -425.06%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.71%EV -12.49%E -1.47%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-29 01:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -5.81%E -5.53%K -116.20%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -17.64%E -2.20%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-29 01:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -4.91%E -4.63%K -81.88%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -22.79%E -3.04%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-29 02:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.67%EV -0.428%E -0.385%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 7.22I 13.85%NM 13.33%EV -25.67%E -3.56%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-29 01:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 87.38%EV -6.71%E -6.45%K -167.68%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.62%EV -25.87%E -3.59%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-29 02:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 91.07% | 11.11I 9.00%NM 8.93% | 0.7% | 2026-08-29 01:45 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.83% | 10.80I 9.26%NM 9.17% | 1.0% | 2026-08-29 02:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.14% | 11.11I 9.00%NM 8.86% | 1.6% | 2026-08-29 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.06% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.94% | 1.7% | 2026-08-29 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.06% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.94% | 1.7% | 2026-08-29 02:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 90.70% | 10.53I 9.50%NM 9.30% | 2.1% | 2026-08-29 02:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.07I 93.46%NM 91.14% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.86% | 2.5% | 2026-08-29 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79% | 3.4% | 2026-08-29 02:05 |