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Las Vegas Aces v New York Liberty
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Las Vegas Aces (Local)
Prediction 55.27%1.81fair odd
EV -0.510%
Edge -0.283%
Kelly -0.637%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.63%55.06%55.27%57.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.631.721.711.8061.35%58.13%58.48%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
New York Liberty (Visit)
Prediction 44.73%2.24fair odd
EV -0.257%
Edge -0.115%
Kelly -0.209%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.23
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.97%44.94%44.73%47.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.132.152.2350.00%47.01%46.51%44.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Las Vegas Aces (Local): 55.27%; New York Liberty (Visit): 44.73%. For New York Liberty (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.24. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.23, with an expected value of -0.257%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -0.510%E -0.283%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-24 01:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -0.510%E -0.283%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -10.54%E -5.27%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-23 19:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -0.510%E -0.283%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -10.54%E -5.27%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-23 19:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -0.510%E -0.283%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -10.54%E -5.27%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-23 19:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.17%E -1.22%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-24 02:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.27%E -1.87%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-24 02:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.83%E -2.20%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.84%E -1.78%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-24 01:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.83%E -2.20%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.84%E -1.78%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-23 16:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.83%E -2.20%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.84%E -1.78%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-24 01:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.83%E -2.20%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.84%E -1.78%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-24 01:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.83%E -2.20%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.84%E -1.78%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-24 02:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.83%E -2.20%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.84%E -1.78%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-24 02:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.83%E -2.20%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.84%E -1.78%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-23 22:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.83%E -2.20%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.28%E -2.00%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-23 16:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.83%E -2.20%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-24 02:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.83%E -2.20%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-24 02:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.38%E -2.53%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.18%E -2.44%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-24 01:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.38%E -2.53%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-24 01:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.93%E -2.87%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.84%E -1.78%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-24 01:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.93%E -2.87%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.84%E -1.78%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-24 01:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.93%E -2.87%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.18%E -2.44%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-24 02:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.48%E -3.21%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.60%E -0.727%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-24 02:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.48%E -3.21%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -2.94%E -1.36%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-23 23:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.48%E -3.21%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -2.94%E -1.36%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-23 23:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.48%E -3.21%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -2.94%E -1.36%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-23 23:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.48%E -3.21%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -2.94%E -1.36%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-23 23:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.48%E -3.21%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -2.94%E -1.36%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-23 23:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.48%E -3.21%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -2.94%E -1.36%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-23 23:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.48%E -3.21%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -2.94%E -1.36%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-23 23:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.48%E -3.21%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -2.94%E -1.36%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-23 23:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.48%E -3.21%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -2.94%E -1.36%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-23 23:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.48%E -3.21%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.84%E -1.78%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-23 23:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.48%E -3.21%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.84%E -1.78%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-24 01:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.48%E -3.21%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-24 01:58 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -5.48%E -3.21%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-24 01:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.04%E -3.55%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -3.39%E -1.57%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-24 01:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.04%E -3.55%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.84%E -1.78%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-23 23:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.04%E -3.55%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.84%E -1.78%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-23 23:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.04%E -3.55%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-24 01:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -6.59%E -3.90%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -2.49%E -1.14%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-24 01:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -7.14%E -4.25%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -0.257%E -0.115%K -0.209%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-24 01:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -7.14%E -4.25%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -3.84%E -1.78%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-24 01:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -7.14%E -4.25%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -5.18%E -2.44%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-24 01:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -7.14%E -4.25%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -5.18%E -2.44%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-24 01:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.70%E -4.61%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-23 19:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.70%E -4.61%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-22 21:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.83%EV -9.91%E -6.08%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.17%EV -7.86%E -3.82%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-06-23 23:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14% | 0.7% | 2026-06-24 02:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28% | 0.8% | 2026-06-24 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-06-24 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78% | 1.1% | 2026-06-24 02:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-06-24 02:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36% | 1.5% | 2026-06-24 02:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08% | 2.2% | 2026-06-24 01:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08% | 2.2% | 2026-06-24 02:00 |