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Las Vegas Aces v New York Liberty
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Las Vegas Aces (Local)
Predicción 55.27%1.81momio equitativo
EV -0.510%
Ventaja -0.283%
Kelly -0.637%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.63%55.06%55.27%57.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.631.721.711.8061.35%58.13%58.48%55.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
New York Liberty (Visitante)
Predicción 44.73%2.24momio equitativo
EV -0.257%
Ventaja -0.115%
Kelly -0.209%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.23
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.97%44.94%44.73%47.37%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.002.132.152.2350.00%47.01%46.51%44.84%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Las Vegas Aces (Local): 55.27%; New York Liberty (Visitante): 44.73%. Para New York Liberty (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.24. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.23, con un valor esperado de -0.257%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -0.510%E -0.283%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-24 01:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -0.510%E -0.283%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -10.54%E -5.27%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-23 19:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -0.510%E -0.283%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -10.54%E -5.27%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-23 19:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -0.510%E -0.283%K -0.637%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -10.54%E -5.27%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-23 19:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.17%E -1.22%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-24 02:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.27%E -1.87%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-24 02:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.83%E -2.20%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.84%E -1.78%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-24 01:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.83%E -2.20%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.84%E -1.78%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-23 16:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.83%E -2.20%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.84%E -1.78%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-24 01:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.83%E -2.20%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.84%E -1.78%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-24 01:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.83%E -2.20%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.84%E -1.78%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-24 02:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.83%E -2.20%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.84%E -1.78%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-24 02:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.83%E -2.20%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.84%E -1.78%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-23 22:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.83%E -2.20%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.28%E -2.00%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-23 16:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.83%E -2.20%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-24 02:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.83%E -2.20%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-24 02:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.38%E -2.53%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.18%E -2.44%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-24 01:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.38%E -2.53%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-24 01:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.93%E -2.87%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.84%E -1.78%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-24 01:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.93%E -2.87%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.84%E -1.78%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-24 01:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.93%E -2.87%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.18%E -2.44%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-24 02:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.48%E -3.21%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.60%E -0.727%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-24 02:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.48%E -3.21%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -2.94%E -1.36%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-23 23:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.48%E -3.21%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -2.94%E -1.36%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-23 23:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.48%E -3.21%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -2.94%E -1.36%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-23 23:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.48%E -3.21%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -2.94%E -1.36%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-23 23:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.48%E -3.21%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -2.94%E -1.36%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-23 23:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.48%E -3.21%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -2.94%E -1.36%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-23 23:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.48%E -3.21%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -2.94%E -1.36%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-23 23:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.48%E -3.21%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -2.94%E -1.36%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-23 23:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -5.48%E -3.21%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -2.94%E -1.36%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-23 23:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.48%E -3.21%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.84%E -1.78%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-23 23:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.48%E -3.21%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.84%E -1.78%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-24 01:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.48%E -3.21%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-24 01:58 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -5.48%E -3.21%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-24 01:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -6.04%E -3.55%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -3.39%E -1.57%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-24 01:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.04%E -3.55%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.84%E -1.78%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-23 23:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.04%E -3.55%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.84%E -1.78%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-23 23:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.04%E -3.55%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-24 01:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -6.59%E -3.90%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -2.49%E -1.14%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-24 01:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -7.14%E -4.25%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -0.257%E -0.115%K -0.209%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-24 01:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -7.14%E -4.25%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -3.84%E -1.78%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-24 01:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -7.14%E -4.25%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -5.18%E -2.44%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-24 01:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -7.14%E -4.25%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -5.18%E -2.44%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-24 01:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.70%E -4.61%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-23 19:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.70%E -4.61%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-22 21:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.83%EV -9.91%E -6.08%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.17%EV -7.86%E -3.82%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-06-23 23:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14% | 0.7% | 2026-06-24 02:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28% | 0.8% | 2026-06-24 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-06-24 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78% | 1.1% | 2026-06-24 02:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-06-24 02:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36% | 1.5% | 2026-06-24 02:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08% | 2.2% | 2026-06-24 01:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08% | 2.2% | 2026-06-24 02:00 |