Language:English
Las Vegas Aces v Minnesota Lynx
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Las Vegas Aces (Local)
Prediction 45.48%2.20fair odd
EV -1.30%
Edge -0.600%
Kelly -1.11%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.17
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.22%45.57%45.74%48.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.892.072.102.1752.91%48.22%47.62%46.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Minnesota Lynx (Visit)
Prediction 54.52%1.83fair odd
EV -0.235%
Edge -0.128%
Kelly -0.283%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.83
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.84%54.43%54.26%55.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.761.741.8359.88%56.86%57.47%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Las Vegas Aces (Local): 45.48%; Minnesota Lynx (Visit): 54.52%. For Minnesota Lynx (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.834. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.830, with an expected value of -0.235%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -1.30%E -0.600%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -6.23%E -3.62%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-15 23:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.21%E -1.03%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.14%E -2.95%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-15 23:44 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.21%E -1.03%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.14%E -2.95%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-15 11:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.21%E -1.03%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.14%E -2.95%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-15 23:53 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.21%E -1.03%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.14%E -2.95%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-15 16:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.21%E -1.03%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.14%E -2.95%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-15 16:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.21%E -1.03%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.14%E -2.95%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.21%E -1.03%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.14%E -2.95%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-15 20:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.21%E -1.03%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.23%E -3.62%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 23:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.21%E -1.03%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.23%E -3.62%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 23:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.21%E -1.03%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.78%E -3.96%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 23:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -2.67%E -1.25%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -5.14%E -2.95%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-15 15:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.58%E -1.69%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.05%E -2.30%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-16 00:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -4.03%E -1.91%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -5.69%E -3.29%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-15 19:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -4.48%E -2.14%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -1.87%E -1.04%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-15 23:52 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -4.48%E -2.14%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -1.87%E -1.04%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-15 23:53 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -4.48%E -2.14%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -2.96%E -1.66%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-15 23:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.48%E -2.14%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.51%E -1.98%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-15 23:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.48%E -2.14%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.51%E -1.98%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-15 23:14 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.48%E -2.14%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.51%E -1.98%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-15 23:58 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.48%E -2.14%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.14%E -2.95%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 23:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.48%E -2.14%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.69%E -3.29%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 14:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.48%E -2.14%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.69%E -3.29%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 15:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.48%E -2.14%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.69%E -3.29%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 16:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.48%E -2.14%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.69%E -3.29%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 14:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.48%E -2.14%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.78%E -3.96%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-15 19:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.48%E -2.14%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.32%E -4.31%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-15 15:34 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -4.48%E -2.14%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -7.87%E -4.65%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-15 23:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.48%E -2.14%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.96%E -5.36%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 23:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -5.39%E -2.59%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.05%E -2.30%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-15 23:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -5.39%E -2.59%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.05%E -2.30%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-15 23:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.39%E -2.59%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.60%E -2.63%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-15 23:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.76%E -3.30%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.14%E -2.95%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-15 23:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -7.21%E -3.54%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -4.60%E -2.63%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 23:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -7.21%E -3.54%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -4.60%E -2.63%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 23:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.20%EV -9.94%E -5.02%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -7.32%E -4.31%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-15 23:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -10.40%E -5.28%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -0.235%E -0.128%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 23:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -10.40%E -5.28%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -0.235%E -0.128%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 23:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -10.40%E -5.28%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -0.235%E -0.128%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 00:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -10.40%E -5.28%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -0.235%E -0.128%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 00:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -10.40%E -5.28%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -0.235%E -0.128%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 00:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -10.40%E -5.28%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -0.235%E -0.128%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 00:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -10.40%E -5.28%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -0.235%E -0.128%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 23:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -10.40%E -5.28%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -0.235%E -0.128%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 23:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -10.40%E -5.28%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -0.235%E -0.128%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 23:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -10.40%E -5.28%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -0.235%E -0.128%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 23:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.08%EV -14.04%E -7.43%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.92%EV -4.60%E -2.63%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-15 23:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09% | 0.3% | 2026-08-16 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86% | 0.7% | 2026-08-16 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86% | 0.7% | 2026-08-16 00:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86% | 0.7% | 2026-08-15 23:59 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 0.9% | 2026-08-15 15:49 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 0.9% | 2026-08-15 15:54 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.97% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.03% | 1.5% | 2026-08-16 00:00 |
| Novig◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.34% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.66% | 1.6% | 2026-08-16 00:00 |