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Las Vegas Aces v Minnesota Lynx
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Las Vegas Aces (Local)
Predicción 45.48%2.20momio equitativo
EV -1.30%
Ventaja -0.600%
Kelly -1.11%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.17
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.22%45.57%45.74%48.16%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.892.072.102.1752.91%48.22%47.62%46.08%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Minnesota Lynx (Visitante)
Predicción 54.52%1.83momio equitativo
EV -0.235%
Ventaja -0.128%
Kelly -0.283%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.83
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.84%54.43%54.26%55.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.671.761.741.8359.88%56.86%57.47%54.64%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Las Vegas Aces (Local): 45.48%; Minnesota Lynx (Visitante): 54.52%. Para Minnesota Lynx (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.834. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 1.830, con un valor esperado de -0.235%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -1.30%E -0.600%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -6.23%E -3.62%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-15 23:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.21%E -1.03%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.14%E -2.95%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-15 23:44 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.21%E -1.03%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.14%E -2.95%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-15 11:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.21%E -1.03%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.14%E -2.95%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-15 23:53 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.21%E -1.03%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.14%E -2.95%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-15 16:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.21%E -1.03%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.14%E -2.95%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-15 16:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.21%E -1.03%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.14%E -2.95%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.21%E -1.03%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.14%E -2.95%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-15 20:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.21%E -1.03%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.23%E -3.62%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 23:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.21%E -1.03%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.23%E -3.62%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 23:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.21%E -1.03%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.78%E -3.96%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 23:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -2.67%E -1.25%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -5.14%E -2.95%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-15 15:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.58%E -1.69%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.05%E -2.30%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-16 00:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -4.03%E -1.91%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -5.69%E -3.29%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-15 19:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -4.48%E -2.14%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -1.87%E -1.04%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-15 23:52 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -4.48%E -2.14%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -1.87%E -1.04%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-15 23:53 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -4.48%E -2.14%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -2.96%E -1.66%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-15 23:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.48%E -2.14%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.51%E -1.98%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-15 23:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.48%E -2.14%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.51%E -1.98%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-15 23:14 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.48%E -2.14%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.51%E -1.98%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-15 23:58 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.48%E -2.14%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.14%E -2.95%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 23:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.48%E -2.14%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.69%E -3.29%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 14:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.48%E -2.14%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.69%E -3.29%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 15:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.48%E -2.14%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.69%E -3.29%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 16:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.48%E -2.14%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.69%E -3.29%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 14:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.48%E -2.14%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.78%E -3.96%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-15 19:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.48%E -2.14%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.32%E -4.31%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-15 15:34 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -4.48%E -2.14%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -7.87%E -4.65%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-15 23:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.48%E -2.14%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.96%E -5.36%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 23:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -5.39%E -2.59%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.05%E -2.30%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-15 23:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -5.39%E -2.59%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.05%E -2.30%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-15 23:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.39%E -2.59%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.60%E -2.63%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-15 23:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.76%E -3.30%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.14%E -2.95%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-15 23:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -7.21%E -3.54%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -4.60%E -2.63%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 23:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -7.21%E -3.54%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -4.60%E -2.63%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 23:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.20%EV -9.94%E -5.02%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%EV -7.32%E -4.31%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-15 23:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -10.40%E -5.28%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -0.235%E -0.128%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 23:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -10.40%E -5.28%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -0.235%E -0.128%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 23:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -10.40%E -5.28%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -0.235%E -0.128%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 00:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -10.40%E -5.28%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -0.235%E -0.128%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 00:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -10.40%E -5.28%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -0.235%E -0.128%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 00:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -10.40%E -5.28%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -0.235%E -0.128%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 00:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -10.40%E -5.28%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -0.235%E -0.128%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 23:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -10.40%E -5.28%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -0.235%E -0.128%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 23:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -10.40%E -5.28%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -0.235%E -0.128%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 23:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -10.40%E -5.28%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -0.235%E -0.128%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 23:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.08%EV -14.04%E -7.43%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.92%EV -4.60%E -2.63%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-15 23:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09% | 0.3% | 2026-08-16 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86% | 0.7% | 2026-08-16 00:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86% | 0.7% | 2026-08-16 00:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86% | 0.7% | 2026-08-15 23:59 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 0.9% | 2026-08-15 15:49 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 0.9% | 2026-08-15 15:54 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.97% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.03% | 1.5% | 2026-08-16 00:00 |
| Novig◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.34% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.66% | 1.6% | 2026-08-16 00:00 |