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Las Vegas Aces v Golden State Valkyries
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Las Vegas Aces (Local)
Prediction 59.61%1.68fair odd
EV -0.449%
Edge -0.269%
Kelly -0.670%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.67
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.93%59.58%59.82%61.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.591.591.6767.57%62.96%62.89%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Golden State Valkyries (Visit)
Prediction 40.39%2.48fair odd
EV +0.567%
Edge +0.228%
Kelly +0.381%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 2.49
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.97%40.42%40.18%42.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.372.402.4944.44%42.15%41.67%40.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Las Vegas Aces (Local): 59.61%; Golden State Valkyries (Visit): 40.39%. For Golden State Valkyries (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.48. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.49, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.567%.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -5.22%E -3.28%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV +0.567%E +0.228%K +0.381%G +0.002% | 3.1% | 2026-06-21 19:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -5.22%E -3.28%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV +0.567%E +0.228%K +0.381%G +0.002% | 3.1% | 2026-06-21 19:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -4.03%E -2.50%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.05%E -0.428%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-06-21 20:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -4.03%E -2.50%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.05%E -0.428%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-06-21 20:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -5.22%E -3.28%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -1.05%E -0.428%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-21 19:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -5.22%E -3.28%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -1.05%E -0.428%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-21 19:58 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.41%E -4.08%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -1.05%E -0.428%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-21 20:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.41%E -4.08%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -1.05%E -0.428%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-21 19:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -5.22%E -3.28%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -1.86%E -0.764%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-21 19:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -5.22%E -3.28%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -2.26%E -0.934%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-21 19:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.03%E -2.50%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.07%E -1.28%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-21 19:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.22%E -3.28%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.07%E -1.28%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-21 19:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.81%E -3.68%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.07%E -1.28%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-21 20:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.81%E -3.68%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.07%E -1.28%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-21 19:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.41%E -4.08%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.07%E -1.28%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-21 20:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.41%E -4.08%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.07%E -1.28%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-21 19:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.41%E -4.08%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.07%E -1.28%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-21 19:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.41%E -4.08%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.07%E -1.28%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-21 20:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.41%E -4.08%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.07%E -1.28%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-21 20:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.41%E -4.08%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.07%E -1.28%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-21 19:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.41%E -4.08%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.07%E -1.28%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-21 20:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.41%E -4.08%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.07%E -1.28%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-21 20:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.41%E -4.08%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.07%E -1.28%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-21 20:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.41%E -4.08%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.07%E -1.28%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-21 20:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.41%E -4.08%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.07%E -1.28%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-21 20:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.41%E -4.08%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.07%E -1.28%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-21 20:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -5.22%E -3.28%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -3.88%E -1.63%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-21 20:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -6.41%E -4.08%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -4.28%E -1.81%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-21 19:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -1.64%E -0.994%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -5.09%E -2.16%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-21 19:58 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.43%E -2.12%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.09%E -2.16%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-21 19:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.22%E -3.28%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.09%E -2.16%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-21 19:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.81%E -3.68%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.09%E -2.16%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-21 19:58 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.81%E -3.68%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.09%E -2.16%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-21 19:59 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.03%E -2.50%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.90%E -2.53%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-21 20:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.03%E -2.50%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.90%E -2.53%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-21 19:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -0.449%E -0.269%K -0.670%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -7.11%E -3.09%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-06-21 20:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.03%E -2.50%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.11%E -3.09%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-21 19:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.03%E -2.50%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.11%E -3.09%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-21 19:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.03%E -2.50%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.11%E -3.09%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-21 19:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.62%E -2.89%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.11%E -3.09%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-21 19:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.62%E -2.89%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.11%E -3.09%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-21 19:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.43%E -2.12%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.13%E -4.06%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-21 20:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.43%E -2.12%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.13%E -4.06%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-21 19:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.41%E -4.08%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.13%E -4.06%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-21 19:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.41%E -4.08%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.13%E -4.06%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-21 19:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.32%EV -11.77%E -7.96%K -24.53%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.68%EV -9.13%E -4.06%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-06-21 19:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23% | 0.3% | 2026-06-21 20:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23% | 0.3% | 2026-06-21 20:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23% | 0.3% | 2026-06-21 20:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 0.5% | 2026-06-21 20:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76% | 0.8% | 2026-06-21 20:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.2% | 2026-06-21 20:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46% | 2.6% | 2026-06-21 20:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88% | 2.9% | 2026-06-21 20:00 |