La escuela de los momios

Las Vegas Aces v Golden State Valkyries

Inicio: 2026-06-21 20:05 UTC

Final: Las Vegas Aces 92–73 Golden State Valkyries

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

46 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Las Vegas Aces (Local)

Predicción 59.61%1.68momio equitativo
EV -0.449%
Ventaja -0.269%
Kelly -0.670%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.67

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.93%59.58%59.82%61.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.481.591.591.6767.57%62.96%62.89%59.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Golden State Valkyries (Visitante)

Predicción 40.39%2.48momio equitativo
EV +0.567%
Ventaja +0.228%
Kelly +0.381%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.49

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.97%40.42%40.18%42.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.372.402.4944.44%42.15%41.67%40.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
BetOnline.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -5.22%E -3.28%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV +0.567%E +0.228%K +0.381%G +0.002%3.1%2026-06-21 19:59
LowVig.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -5.22%E -3.28%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV +0.567%E +0.228%K +0.381%G +0.002%3.1%2026-06-21 19:59
BetUS1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -4.03%E -2.50%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.05%E -0.428%K -0.723%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-21 20:00
BetAnything1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -4.03%E -2.50%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -1.05%E -0.428%K -0.723%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-21 20:00
GTbets1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -5.22%E -3.28%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -1.05%E -0.428%K -0.723%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-21 19:59
Bovada1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -5.22%E -3.28%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -1.05%E -0.428%K -0.723%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-21 19:58
DraftKings1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.41%E -4.08%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -1.05%E -0.428%K -0.723%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-21 20:00
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -6.41%E -4.08%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -1.05%E -0.428%K -0.723%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-21 19:59
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -5.22%E -3.28%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -1.86%E -0.764%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-21 19:59
1xBet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -5.22%E -3.28%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -2.26%E -0.934%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-21 19:45
Pinnacle1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.03%E -2.50%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.07%E -1.28%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-21 19:59
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.22%E -3.28%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.07%E -1.28%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-21 19:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.81%E -3.68%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.07%E -1.28%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-21 20:00
Neds1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.81%E -3.68%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.07%E -1.28%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-21 19:59
Bet Right1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.41%E -4.08%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.07%E -1.28%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-21 20:00
LeoVegas1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.41%E -4.08%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.07%E -1.28%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-21 19:59
Unibet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.41%E -4.08%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.07%E -1.28%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-21 19:59
Unibet (NL)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.41%E -4.08%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.07%E -1.28%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-21 20:00
Unibet (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.41%E -4.08%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.07%E -1.28%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-21 20:00
TABtouch1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.41%E -4.08%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.07%E -1.28%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-21 19:59
BetRivers1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.41%E -4.08%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.07%E -1.28%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-21 20:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.41%E -4.08%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.07%E -1.28%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-21 20:00
ATG (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.41%E -4.08%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.07%E -1.28%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-21 20:00
Bally Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.41%E -4.08%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.07%E -1.28%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-21 20:00
Svenska Spel1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.41%E -4.08%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.07%E -1.28%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-21 20:00
betPARX1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.41%E -4.08%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.07%E -1.28%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-21 20:00
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -5.22%E -3.28%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -3.88%E -1.63%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-21 20:00
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -6.41%E -4.08%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -4.28%E -1.81%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-21 19:59
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -1.64%E -0.994%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -5.09%E -2.16%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-21 19:58
Hard Rock Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.43%E -2.12%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.09%E -2.16%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-21 19:59
Betr (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.22%E -3.28%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.09%E -2.16%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-21 19:59
TAB1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.81%E -3.68%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.09%E -2.16%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-21 19:58
Coolbet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.81%E -3.68%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.09%E -2.16%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-21 19:59
MyBookie.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.03%E -2.50%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.90%E -2.53%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-21 20:00
ReBet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.03%E -2.50%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.90%E -2.53%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-21 19:59
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -0.449%E -0.269%K -0.670%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -7.11%E -3.09%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-21 20:00
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.03%E -2.50%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.11%E -3.09%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-21 19:59
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.03%E -2.50%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.11%E -3.09%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-21 19:59
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.03%E -2.50%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.11%E -3.09%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-21 19:59
NordicBet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.62%E -2.89%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.11%E -3.09%K -5.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-21 19:59
Betsson1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.62%E -2.89%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.11%E -3.09%K -5.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-21 19:59
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.43%E -2.12%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.13%E -4.06%K -7.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-21 20:00
Betway1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.43%E -2.12%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.13%E -4.06%K -7.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-21 19:59
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.41%E -4.08%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.13%E -4.06%K -7.30%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-21 19:59
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.41%E -4.08%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.13%E -4.06%K -7.30%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-21 19:59
PMU (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 60.32%EV -11.77%E -7.96%K -24.53%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.68%EV -9.13%E -4.06%K -7.30%G +0.000%12.0%2026-06-21 19:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (8)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23%0.3%2026-06-21 20:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23%0.3%2026-06-21 20:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23%0.3%2026-06-21 20:00
Matchbook1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%0.5%2026-06-21 20:00
ProphetX1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%0.8%2026-06-21 20:00
Polymarket1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-06-21 20:00
Novig1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%2.6%2026-06-21 20:00
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%2.9%2026-06-21 20:00