The School of Odds

Indiana Fever v New York Liberty

2026-07-19 00:00 UTC — WNBA

Head to Head

22 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Indiana Fever (Local)

Prediction 47.72%2.10fair odd
EV -2.18%
Edge -1.06%
Kelly -2.08%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.34%47.65%47.78%48.65%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.901.992.002.0553%50%50%49%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

New York Liberty (Visit)

Prediction 52.28%1.91fair odd
EV -3.27%
Edge -1.77%
Kelly -3.85%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.35%52.35%52.22%53.66%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.731.801.801.8558%55%56%54%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -2.18%E -1.06%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -7.46%E -4.21%K -9.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 03:35
FanDuel2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -2.66%E -1.30%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.93%E -3.90%K -8.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-17 03:35
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.57%E -2.28%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.32%E -2.36%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-17 05:15
Unibet (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.57%E -2.28%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.32%E -2.36%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-17 04:15
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.57%E -2.28%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.32%E -2.36%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-17 04:14
Hard Rock Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.57%E -2.28%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.32%E -2.36%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-17 03:45
GTbets2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.57%E -2.28%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.32%E -2.36%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-17 03:50
MyBookie.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.57%E -2.28%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.84%E -2.66%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-17 04:18
Bet Right2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.57%E -2.28%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.84%E -2.66%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-17 03:44
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.57%E -2.28%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.89%E -3.27%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-17 02:45
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.57%E -2.28%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.89%E -3.27%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-17 02:45
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.57%E -2.28%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.89%E -3.27%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-17 02:45
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.57%E -2.28%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.89%E -3.27%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-17 02:50
Fliff2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.57%E -2.28%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.46%E -4.21%K -9.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-17 03:35
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.57%E -2.28%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.55%E -5.52%K -13.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-17 03:34
DraftKings1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.52%E -2.79%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.27%E -1.77%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-17 03:45
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.52%E -2.79%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.89%E -3.27%K -7.36%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-17 04:15
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.52%E -2.79%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.89%E -3.27%K -7.36%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-17 04:15
Coolbet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.52%E -2.79%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.89%E -3.27%K -7.36%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-17 03:45
ReBet1.96I 51.02%NM 47.73%EV -6.48%E -3.30%K -6.75%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.27%EV -6.41%E -3.58%K -8.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-17 04:15
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.95%E -3.57%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.89%E -3.27%K -7.36%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-17 03:45
LeoVegas1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -9.34%E -4.92%K -10.38%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -5.89%E -3.27%K -7.36%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-17 04:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-07-17 05:15
Polymarket2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-07-17 04:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-07-17 07:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-07-17 07:30