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Indiana Fever v New York Liberty
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Indiana Fever (Local)
Prediction 46.65%2.14fair odd
EV -2.03%
Edge -0.967%
Kelly -1.85%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.26%46.76%46.75%48.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.022.022.1052.36%49.40%49.50%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
New York Liberty (Visit)
Prediction 53.35%1.87fair odd
EV -0.773%
Edge -0.415%
Kelly -0.898%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.86
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.05%53.24%53.25%54.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.791.801.8658.82%55.92%55.56%53.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Indiana Fever (Local): 46.65%; New York Liberty (Visit): 53.35%. For New York Liberty (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.87. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.86, with an expected value of -0.773%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.03%E -0.967%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.97%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-18 23:53 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.03%E -0.967%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.97%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-18 23:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -2.03%E -0.967%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -5.04%E -2.83%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-19 00:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.03%E -0.967%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.57%E -3.15%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-18 23:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -2.96%E -1.42%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -8.24%E -4.79%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-18 06:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -2.96%E -1.42%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -8.24%E -4.79%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-18 06:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -3.90%E -1.89%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -4.51%E -2.52%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-19 00:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -3.90%E -1.89%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -4.51%E -2.52%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-19 00:02 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.36%E -2.13%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.97%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-18 22:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.36%E -2.13%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.97%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-18 22:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.36%E -2.13%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.97%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-18 23:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.36%E -2.13%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.97%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-18 23:49 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.36%E -2.13%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.97%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-18 23:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.36%E -2.13%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.57%E -3.15%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-18 23:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.36%E -2.13%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.57%E -3.15%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-18 23:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.36%E -2.13%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.64%E -3.79%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-19 00:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.36%E -2.13%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.17%E -4.12%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-19 00:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.36%E -2.13%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.17%E -4.12%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-19 00:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.97%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-18 23:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.97%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-18 23:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.97%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-18 23:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.97%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-18 23:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.97%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-18 23:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.97%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-18 23:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.97%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-18 23:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.97%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-18 23:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.97%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-18 23:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.97%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-18 23:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.97%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-18 23:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -6.23%E -3.10%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -3.44%E -1.90%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-18 23:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.70%E -3.35%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.37%E -1.30%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-18 23:58 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.70%E -3.35%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.97%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-18 22:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.70%E -3.35%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.97%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-19 00:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.70%E -3.35%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.97%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-18 22:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.70%E -3.35%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.97%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-18 22:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.70%E -3.35%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.97%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-18 23:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.70%E -3.35%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.97%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-19 00:01 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -6.70%E -3.35%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -9.31%E -5.48%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-19 00:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -6.70%E -3.35%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -9.31%E -5.48%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-19 00:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -7.16%E -3.60%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.69%EV -0.773%E -0.415%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-18 23:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -8.56%E -4.37%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -1.31%E -0.706%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-19 00:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.03%E -4.63%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.97%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-19 00:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -9.50%E -4.89%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -0.773%E -0.415%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-19 00:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.12%EV -9.96%E -5.16%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.88%EV -8.24%E -4.79%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-18 23:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -10.89%E -5.70%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -3.97%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-18 23:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 0.5% | 2026-07-19 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 0.5% | 2026-07-19 00:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 0.5% | 2026-07-19 00:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88% | 0.8% | 2026-07-19 00:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-07-19 00:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-07-19 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02% | 1.2% | 2026-07-19 00:05 |
| Novig◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.24% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76% | 1.5% | 2026-07-19 00:05 |