L’École des cotes

Indiana Fever v New York Liberty

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-19 00:07 UTC

Score final : Indiana Fever 108–88 New York Liberty

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

45 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Indiana Fever (Local)

Prévision 46.65%2.14cote équitable
EV -2.03%
Avantage -0.967%
Kelly -1.85%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.26%46.76%46.75%48.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.912.022.022.1052.36%49.40%49.50%47.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

New York Liberty (Visiteur)

Prévision 53.35%1.87cote équitable
EV -0.773%
Avantage -0.415%
Kelly -0.898%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.86

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.05%53.24%53.25%54.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.701.791.801.8658.82%55.92%55.56%53.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.03%E -0.967%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.97%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-18 23:53
betano_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.03%E -0.967%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.97%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-18 23:55
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -2.03%E -0.967%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -5.04%E -2.83%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-19 00:05
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.03%E -0.967%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.57%E -3.15%K -7.24%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-18 23:55
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -2.96%E -1.42%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -8.24%E -4.79%K -11.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-18 06:24
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -2.96%E -1.42%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -8.24%E -4.79%K -11.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-18 06:25
LowVig.ag2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -3.90%E -1.89%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -4.51%E -2.52%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-19 00:00
BetOnline.ag2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -3.90%E -1.89%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -4.51%E -2.52%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-19 00:02
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.36%E -2.13%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.97%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-18 22:05
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.36%E -2.13%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.97%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-18 22:05
GTbets2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.36%E -2.13%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.97%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-18 23:45
Bovada2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.36%E -2.13%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.97%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-18 23:49
BetAnything2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.36%E -2.13%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.97%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-18 23:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.36%E -2.13%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.57%E -3.15%K -7.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 23:50
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.36%E -2.13%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.57%E -3.15%K -7.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 23:50
MyBookie.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.36%E -2.13%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.64%E -3.79%K -8.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-19 00:04
Hard Rock Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.36%E -2.13%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.17%E -4.12%K -9.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-19 00:00
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.36%E -2.13%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.17%E -4.12%K -9.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-19 00:00
Bet Right2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.97%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 23:50
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.97%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 23:45
BetRivers2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.97%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 23:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.97%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 23:45
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.97%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 23:45
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.97%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 23:45
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.97%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 23:45
Svenska Spel2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.97%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 23:45
betPARX2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.97%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 23:45
Bally Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.97%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 23:45
ATG (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.76%E -2.85%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.97%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 23:45
ReBet2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -6.23%E -3.10%K -6.17%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -3.44%E -1.90%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 23:50
Caesars2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.70%E -3.35%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.37%E -1.30%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-18 23:58
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.70%E -3.35%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.97%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-18 22:25
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.70%E -3.35%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.97%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-19 00:00
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.70%E -3.35%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.97%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-18 22:25
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.70%E -3.35%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.97%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-18 22:25
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.70%E -3.35%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.97%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-18 23:50
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.70%E -3.35%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.97%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-19 00:01
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -6.70%E -3.35%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -9.31%E -5.48%K -13.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-19 00:05
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -6.70%E -3.35%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -9.31%E -5.48%K -13.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-19 00:04
Pinnacle1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -7.16%E -3.60%K -7.24%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.69%EV -0.773%E -0.415%K -0.898%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-18 23:50
FanDuel1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -8.56%E -4.37%K -8.92%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -1.31%E -0.706%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 00:05
Fliff1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.03%E -4.63%K -9.50%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.97%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-19 00:05
SportsBet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -9.50%E -4.89%K -10.10%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -0.773%E -0.415%K -0.898%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 00:05
PMU (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.12%EV -9.96%E -5.16%K -10.71%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.88%EV -8.24%E -4.79%K -11.45%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-18 23:45
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -10.89%E -5.70%K -11.97%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -3.97%E -2.21%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-18 23:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%0.5%2026-07-19 00:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%0.5%2026-07-19 00:05
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%0.5%2026-07-19 00:05
ProphetX2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%0.8%2026-07-19 00:05
Kalshi2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-07-19 00:05
Polymarket1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-07-19 00:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%1.2%2026-07-19 00:05
Novig2.00I 50.00%NM 49.24%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76%1.5%2026-07-19 00:05