Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.31
assuming max odds 3.90
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Indiana Fever (Local): 73.67%; Dallas Wings (Visit): 26.33%. For Dallas Wings (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.80. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.70%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.00%EV -4.23%E -3.26%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.00%EV +2.70%E +0.692%K +0.931%G +0.025% | 2.6% | 2026-08-14 23:27 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.00%EV -4.23%E -3.26%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.00%EV +2.70%E +0.692%K +0.931%G +0.025% | 2.6% | 2026-08-14 23:28 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.97%E -3.85%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV +0.067%E +0.018%K +0.024%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-14 23:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.97%E -3.85%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV +0.067%E +0.018%K +0.024%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-14 22:33 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.71%E -4.46%K -20.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV +0.067%E +0.018%K +0.024%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-14 23:29 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.44%E -5.07%K -23.86%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -1.25%E -0.333%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 23:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.23%E -3.26%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -2.57%E -0.694%K -0.950%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-14 23:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.71%E -4.46%K -20.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -2.57%E -0.694%K -0.950%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-14 23:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.71%E -4.46%K -20.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -2.57%E -0.694%K -0.950%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-14 23:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.71%E -4.46%K -20.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -2.57%E -0.694%K -0.950%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-14 23:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.71%E -4.46%K -20.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -2.57%E -0.694%K -0.950%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-14 23:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.71%E -4.46%K -20.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -2.57%E -0.694%K -0.950%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-14 23:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.71%E -4.46%K -20.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -2.57%E -0.694%K -0.950%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-14 23:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.71%E -4.46%K -20.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -2.57%E -0.694%K -0.950%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-14 23:24 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.71%E -4.46%K -20.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -2.57%E -0.694%K -0.950%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-14 23:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.71%E -4.46%K -20.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -2.57%E -0.694%K -0.950%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-14 23:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.71%E -4.46%K -20.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -2.57%E -0.694%K -0.950%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-14 23:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.84%EV -4.23%E -3.26%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.16%EV -3.36%E -0.915%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-14 23:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.84%EV -4.23%E -3.26%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.16%EV -3.36%E -0.915%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-14 23:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.97%E -3.85%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -3.88%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 22:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.97%E -3.85%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -3.88%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 23:24 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.44%E -5.07%K -23.86%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -3.88%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-14 23:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.37%EV -3.50%E -2.67%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.63%EV -4.94%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-14 23:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.50%E -2.67%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -5.20%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-14 23:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.50%E -2.67%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -5.20%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-14 23:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.50%E -2.67%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -5.20%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-14 22:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.23%E -3.26%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.20%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-14 22:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.23%E -3.26%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.20%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-14 22:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.97%E -3.85%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.20%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 19:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.97%E -3.85%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.20%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 19:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.97%E -3.85%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.20%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 19:14 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.71%E -4.46%K -20.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -5.20%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 23:19 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.23%E -3.26%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.52%E -1.84%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 23:18 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.50%E -2.67%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 23:14 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.50%E -2.67%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 23:27 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.50%E -2.67%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 23:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.23%E -3.26%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 23:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.97%E -3.85%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-14 23:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.97%E -3.85%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-14 23:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.71%E -4.46%K -20.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-14 22:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.71%E -4.46%K -20.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-14 22:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.00%EV -9.39%E -7.63%K -40.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-14 22:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -3.50%E -2.67%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -9.15%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 23:19 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.23%E -3.26%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -10.47%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-14 22:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.97%E -3.85%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -10.47%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 23:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -7.18%E -5.70%K -27.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.47%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-14 23:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -4.97%E -3.85%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -14.42%E -4.44%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-14 23:30 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 75.05% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.95% | 0.2% | 2026-08-14 23:30 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-08-14 23:25 |
| Novig◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-08-14 23:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77% | 0.9% | 2026-08-14 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67% | 1.3% | 2026-08-14 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67% | 1.3% | 2026-08-14 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67% | 1.3% | 2026-08-14 23:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67% | 1.3% | 2026-08-14 23:30 |