Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Indiana Fever v Dallas Wings

Início: 2026-08-14 23:33 UTC

Final: Indiana Fever 98–87 Dallas Wings

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

47 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Indiana Fever (Local)

Previsão 73.67%1.36odd justa
EV -3.50%
Vantagem -2.67%
Kelly -11.28%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.31

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
71.59%73.70%73.70%75.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.231.291.291.3181.30%77.53%77.52%76.34%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Dallas Wings (Visitante)

Previsão 26.33%3.80odd justa
EV +2.70%
Vantagem +0.692%
Kelly +0.931%
Crescimento +0.025%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.00%26.30%26.30%28.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.253.613.603.9030.77%27.66%27.78%25.64%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Indiana Fever (Local): 73.67%; Dallas Wings (Visitante): 26.33%. Para Dallas Wings (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.80. 5 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.90, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.70%.

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
betano_uk🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 75.00%EV -4.23%E -3.26%K -14.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.00%EV +2.70%E +0.692%K +0.931%G +0.025%2.6%2026-08-14 23:27
Bet Victor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 75.00%EV -4.23%E -3.26%K -14.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.00%EV +2.70%E +0.692%K +0.931%G +0.025%2.6%2026-08-14 23:28
Unibet (UK)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.97%E -3.85%K -17.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV +0.067%E +0.018%K +0.024%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-14 23:30
BetMGM🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.97%E -3.85%K -17.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV +0.067%E +0.018%K +0.024%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-14 22:33
theScore Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.71%E -4.46%K -20.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV +0.067%E +0.018%K +0.024%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-14 23:29
ReBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.44%E -5.07%K -23.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -1.25%E -0.333%K -0.454%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 23:29
BetUS🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.23%E -3.26%K -14.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -2.57%E -0.694%K -0.950%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-14 23:24
Unibet (SE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.71%E -4.46%K -20.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -2.57%E -0.694%K -0.950%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 23:24
Unibet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.71%E -4.46%K -20.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -2.57%E -0.694%K -0.950%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 23:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.71%E -4.46%K -20.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -2.57%E -0.694%K -0.950%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 23:24
Svenska Spel🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.71%E -4.46%K -20.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -2.57%E -0.694%K -0.950%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 23:24
Unibet (NL)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.71%E -4.46%K -20.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -2.57%E -0.694%K -0.950%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 23:24
TABtouch🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.71%E -4.46%K -20.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -2.57%E -0.694%K -0.950%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 23:24
BetRivers🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.71%E -4.46%K -20.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -2.57%E -0.694%K -0.950%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 23:24
Bally Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.71%E -4.46%K -20.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -2.57%E -0.694%K -0.950%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 23:24
betPARX🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.71%E -4.46%K -20.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -2.57%E -0.694%K -0.950%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 23:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.71%E -4.46%K -20.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -2.57%E -0.694%K -0.950%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 23:24
LowVig.ag🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.84%EV -4.23%E -3.26%K -14.11%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.16%EV -3.36%E -0.915%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-14 23:24
BetOnline.ag🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.84%EV -4.23%E -3.26%K -14.11%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.16%EV -3.36%E -0.915%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-14 23:24
Fanatics🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.97%E -3.85%K -17.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -3.88%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 22:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.97%E -3.85%K -17.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -3.88%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 23:24
Fliff🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.44%E -5.07%K -23.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -3.88%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-14 23:30
Pinnacle🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.37%EV -3.50%E -2.67%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.63%EV -4.94%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-14 23:10
DraftKings🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.50%E -2.67%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -5.20%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-14 23:19
GTbets🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.50%E -2.67%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -5.20%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-14 23:00
Bovada🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.50%E -2.67%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -5.20%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-14 22:54
Neds🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.23%E -3.26%K -14.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.20%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-14 22:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.23%E -3.26%K -14.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.20%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-14 22:34
888sport🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.97%E -3.85%K -17.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.20%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 19:14
888sport (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.97%E -3.85%K -17.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.20%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 19:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.97%E -3.85%K -17.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.20%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 19:14
Coolbet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.71%E -4.46%K -20.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -5.20%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 23:19
MyBookie.ag🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.23%E -3.26%K -14.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.52%E -1.84%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 23:18
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.50%E -2.67%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 23:14
Caesars🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.50%E -2.67%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 23:27
BetAnything🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.50%E -2.67%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 23:04
Bet Right🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.23%E -3.26%K -14.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 23:24
SportsBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.97%E -3.85%K -17.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-14 23:30
Betway🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.97%E -3.85%K -17.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-14 23:30
Betsson🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.71%E -4.46%K -20.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 22:54
NordicBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.71%E -4.46%K -20.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 22:54
PMU (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.00%EV -9.39%E -7.63%K -40.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -7.83%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-14 22:29
FanDuel🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -3.50%E -2.67%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -9.15%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 23:19
TAB🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.23%E -3.26%K -14.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -10.47%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 22:59
BoyleSports🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.97%E -3.85%K -17.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -10.47%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 23:30
LeoVegas🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -7.18%E -5.70%K -27.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.47%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-14 23:30
Paddy Power🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -4.97%E -3.85%K -17.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -14.42%E -4.44%K -6.41%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-14 23:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX◎1.33I 75.19%NM 75.05%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.95%0.2%2026-08-14 23:30
Polymarket◎1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-08-14 23:25
Novig◎1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-08-14 23:30
Kalshi◎1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77%0.9%2026-08-14 23:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%1.3%2026-08-14 23:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%1.3%2026-08-14 23:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%1.3%2026-08-14 23:30
Matchbook◎1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%1.3%2026-08-14 23:30