Language:English
Indiana Fever v Connecticut Sun
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Indiana Fever (Local)
Prediction 91.95%1.09fair odd
EV -3.46%
Edge -3.29%
Kelly -69.15%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
88.90%91.87%91.98%93.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.021.041.041.0598.04%96.17%96.15%95.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Connecticut Sun (Visit)
Prediction 8.05%12.41fair odd
EV +12.77%
Edge +0.912%
Kelly +0.982%
Growth +0.125%
assuming max odds 14.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
6.79%8.13%8.02%11.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.2511.4211.0014.0012.12%8.75%9.09%7.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Indiana Fever (Local): 91.95%; Connecticut Sun (Visit): 8.05%. For Connecticut Sun (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 12.41. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 14.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +12.77%.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 93.09%EV -4.38%E -4.21%K -109.43%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.91%EV +12.77%E +0.912%K +0.982%G +0.125% | 3.3% | 2026-08-28 23:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -6.22%E -6.09%K -310.80%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +12.77%E +0.912%K +0.982%G +0.125% | 5.2% | 2026-08-28 23:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.10%EV -5.30%E -5.14%K -176.55%G +0.000% | 13.90I 7.19%NM 6.90%EV +11.96%E +0.861%K +0.927%G +0.111% | 4.3% | 2026-08-28 23:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.85%EV -4.38%E -4.21%K -109.43%G +0.000% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.15%EV +8.74%E +0.647%K +0.699%G +0.061% | 3.6% | 2026-08-28 22:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -3.46%E -3.29%K -69.15%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +4.71%E +0.363%K +0.393%G +0.019% | 2.9% | 2026-08-28 21:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -3.46%E -3.29%K -69.15%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +4.71%E +0.363%K +0.393%G +0.019% | 2.9% | 2026-08-28 23:23 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -3.46%E -3.29%K -69.15%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +4.71%E +0.363%K +0.393%G +0.019% | 2.9% | 2026-08-28 23:21 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -4.38%E -4.21%K -109.43%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +4.71%E +0.363%K +0.393%G +0.019% | 3.8% | 2026-08-28 23:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.39%EV -3.46%E -3.29%K -69.15%G +0.000% | 12.75I 7.84%NM 7.61%EV +2.70%E +0.212%K +0.230%G +0.006% | 3.1% | 2026-08-28 23:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.30%E -5.14%K -176.55%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +0.686%E +0.055%K +0.060%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-28 21:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.30%E -5.14%K -176.55%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +0.686%E +0.055%K +0.060%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-28 21:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.98%EV -3.46%E -3.29%K -69.15%G +0.000% | 12.05I 8.30%NM 8.02%EV -2.94%E -0.244%K -0.266%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-28 23:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.38%E -4.21%K -109.43%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -3.34%E -0.278%K -0.304%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-28 23:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.38%E -4.21%K -109.43%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -3.34%E -0.278%K -0.304%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-28 21:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.93%EV -3.46%E -3.29%K -69.15%G +0.000% | 11.96I 8.36%NM 8.07%EV -3.66%E -0.306%K -0.334%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-28 15:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.93%EV -3.46%E -3.29%K -69.15%G +0.000% | 11.96I 8.36%NM 8.07%EV -3.66%E -0.306%K -0.334%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-28 15:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.63%EV -3.46%E -3.29%K -69.15%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.37%EV -7.37%E -0.641%K -0.702%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-28 16:01 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.63%EV -3.46%E -3.29%K -69.15%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.37%EV -7.37%E -0.641%K -0.702%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-28 15:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.54%EV -4.38%E -4.21%K -109.43%G +0.000% | 11.25I 8.89%NM 8.46%EV -9.38%E -0.834%K -0.915%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-28 22:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.38%E -4.21%K -109.43%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -11.40%E -1.04%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-28 22:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.38%E -4.21%K -109.43%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -11.40%E -1.04%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-28 22:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.38%E -4.21%K -109.43%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -11.40%E -1.04%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-28 22:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.38%E -4.21%K -109.43%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -11.40%E -1.04%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-28 22:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.38%E -4.21%K -109.43%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -11.40%E -1.04%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-28 22:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.38%E -4.21%K -109.43%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -11.40%E -1.04%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-28 21:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.38%E -4.21%K -109.43%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -11.40%E -1.04%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-28 21:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.38%E -4.21%K -109.43%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -11.40%E -1.04%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-28 21:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.38%E -4.21%K -109.43%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -11.40%E -1.04%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-28 21:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.38%E -4.21%K -109.43%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -11.40%E -1.04%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-28 21:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.38%E -4.21%K -109.43%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -11.40%E -1.04%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-28 21:31 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.38%E -4.21%K -109.43%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -11.40%E -1.04%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-28 21:31 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.38%E -4.21%K -109.43%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -11.40%E -1.04%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-28 21:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.38%E -4.21%K -109.43%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -11.40%E -1.04%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-28 21:31 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.38%E -4.21%K -109.43%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -11.40%E -1.04%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-28 21:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.30%E -5.14%K -176.55%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -11.40%E -1.04%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-28 21:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.30%E -5.14%K -176.55%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -11.40%E -1.04%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-28 21:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.14%EV -3.46%E -3.29%K -69.15%G +0.000% | 10.80I 9.26%NM 8.86%EV -13.01%E -1.20%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-28 23:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.22%EV -4.38%E -4.21%K -109.43%G +0.000% | 10.80I 9.26%NM 8.78%EV -13.01%E -1.20%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-28 23:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -3.46%E -3.29%K -69.15%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -15.42%E -1.47%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-28 22:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.38%E -4.21%K -109.43%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -19.45%E -1.95%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-28 23:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.38%E -4.21%K -109.43%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -19.45%E -1.95%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-28 21:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -5.30%E -5.14%K -176.55%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -19.45%E -1.95%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-28 23:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.53%EV -6.22%E -6.09%K -310.80%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.47%EV -21.46%E -2.20%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-28 23:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -4.38%E -4.21%K -109.43%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -23.48%E -2.47%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-28 21:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.22%EV -5.30%E -5.14%K -176.55%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.78%EV -23.48%E -2.47%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-28 23:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 88.90%EV -5.30%E -5.14%K -176.55%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.10%EV -33.55%E -4.07%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-28 23:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.60% | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.40% | 0.8% | 2026-08-28 23:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.55% | 15.38I 6.50%NM 6.45% | 0.8% | 2026-08-28 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60% | 1.0% | 2026-08-28 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60% | 1.0% | 2026-08-28 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60% | 1.0% | 2026-08-28 23:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.19% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.81% | 1.2% | 2026-08-28 23:30 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.09% | 14.29I 7.00%NM 6.91% | 1.3% | 2026-08-28 21:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 93.16% | 14.29I 7.00%NM 6.84% | 2.2% | 2026-08-28 23:25 |