Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Indiana Fever v Connecticut Sun

Início: 2026-08-28 23:34 UTC

Final: Indiana Fever 111–91 Connecticut Sun

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

46 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Indiana Fever (Local)

Previsão 91.95%1.09odd justa
EV -3.46%
Vantagem -3.29%
Kelly -69.15%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.05

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
88.90%91.87%91.98%93.21%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.021.041.041.0598.04%96.17%96.15%95.24%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Connecticut Sun (Visitante)

Previsão 8.05%12.41odd justa
EV +12.77%
Vantagem +0.912%
Kelly +0.982%
Crescimento +0.125%

pressupondo odds máximas de 14.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
6.79%8.13%8.02%11.10%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
8.2511.4211.0014.0012.12%8.75%9.09%7.14%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Indiana Fever (Local): 91.95%; Connecticut Sun (Visitante): 8.05%. Para Connecticut Sun (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 12.41. 11 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 14.00, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +12.77%.

Odds das casas de apostas (46 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Unibet (UK)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 93.09%EV -4.38%E -4.21%K -109.43%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.91%EV +12.77%E +0.912%K +0.982%G +0.125%3.3%2026-08-28 23:30
theScore Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -6.22%E -6.09%K -310.80%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +12.77%E +0.912%K +0.982%G +0.125%5.2%2026-08-28 23:30
Fliff🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.10%EV -5.30%E -5.14%K -176.55%G +0.000%13.90I 7.19%NM 6.90%EV +11.96%E +0.861%K +0.927%G +0.111%4.3%2026-08-28 23:10
Caesars🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.85%EV -4.38%E -4.21%K -109.43%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.15%EV +8.74%E +0.647%K +0.699%G +0.061%3.6%2026-08-28 22:25
Fanatics🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -3.46%E -3.29%K -69.15%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +4.71%E +0.363%K +0.393%G +0.019%2.9%2026-08-28 21:15
Bet Victor🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -3.46%E -3.29%K -69.15%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +4.71%E +0.363%K +0.393%G +0.019%2.9%2026-08-28 23:23
betano_uk🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -3.46%E -3.29%K -69.15%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +4.71%E +0.363%K +0.393%G +0.019%2.9%2026-08-28 23:21
DraftKings🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.59%EV -4.38%E -4.21%K -109.43%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.41%EV +4.71%E +0.363%K +0.393%G +0.019%3.8%2026-08-28 23:20
Pinnacle🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 92.39%EV -3.46%E -3.29%K -69.15%G +0.000%12.75I 7.84%NM 7.61%EV +2.70%E +0.212%K +0.230%G +0.006%3.1%2026-08-28 23:25
Neds🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.30%E -5.14%K -176.55%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +0.686%E +0.055%K +0.060%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-28 21:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -5.30%E -5.14%K -176.55%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV +0.686%E +0.055%K +0.060%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-28 21:30
GTbets🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.98%EV -3.46%E -3.29%K -69.15%G +0.000%12.05I 8.30%NM 8.02%EV -2.94%E -0.244%K -0.266%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-28 23:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.38%E -4.21%K -109.43%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -3.34%E -0.278%K -0.304%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-28 23:20
BetMGM🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -4.38%E -4.21%K -109.43%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV -3.34%E -0.278%K -0.304%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-28 21:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.93%EV -3.46%E -3.29%K -69.15%G +0.000%11.96I 8.36%NM 8.07%EV -3.66%E -0.306%K -0.334%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-28 15:44
BetOnline.ag🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.93%EV -3.46%E -3.29%K -69.15%G +0.000%11.96I 8.36%NM 8.07%EV -3.66%E -0.306%K -0.334%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-28 15:00
BetUS🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.63%EV -3.46%E -3.29%K -69.15%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.37%EV -7.37%E -0.641%K -0.702%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-28 16:01
BetAnything🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.63%EV -3.46%E -3.29%K -69.15%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.37%EV -7.37%E -0.641%K -0.702%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-28 15:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.54%EV -4.38%E -4.21%K -109.43%G +0.000%11.25I 8.89%NM 8.46%EV -9.38%E -0.834%K -0.915%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-28 22:50
888sport🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.38%E -4.21%K -109.43%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -11.40%E -1.04%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 22:20
ReBet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.38%E -4.21%K -109.43%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -11.40%E -1.04%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 22:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.38%E -4.21%K -109.43%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -11.40%E -1.04%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 22:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.38%E -4.21%K -109.43%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -11.40%E -1.04%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 22:20
Bet Right🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.38%E -4.21%K -109.43%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -11.40%E -1.04%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 22:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.38%E -4.21%K -109.43%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -11.40%E -1.04%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 21:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.38%E -4.21%K -109.43%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -11.40%E -1.04%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 21:30
Unibet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.38%E -4.21%K -109.43%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -11.40%E -1.04%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 21:30
TABtouch🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.38%E -4.21%K -109.43%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -11.40%E -1.04%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 21:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.38%E -4.21%K -109.43%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -11.40%E -1.04%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 21:30
BetRivers🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.38%E -4.21%K -109.43%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -11.40%E -1.04%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 21:31
Bally Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.38%E -4.21%K -109.43%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -11.40%E -1.04%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 21:31
betPARX🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.38%E -4.21%K -109.43%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -11.40%E -1.04%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 21:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.38%E -4.21%K -109.43%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -11.40%E -1.04%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 21:31
ATG (SE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.38%E -4.21%K -109.43%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -11.40%E -1.04%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-28 21:30
Betsson🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.30%E -5.14%K -176.55%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -11.40%E -1.04%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-28 21:10
NordicBet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.30%E -5.14%K -176.55%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -11.40%E -1.04%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-28 21:05
FanDuel🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.14%EV -3.46%E -3.29%K -69.15%G +0.000%10.80I 9.26%NM 8.86%EV -13.01%E -1.20%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-28 23:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.22%EV -4.38%E -4.21%K -109.43%G +0.000%10.80I 9.26%NM 8.78%EV -13.01%E -1.20%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-28 23:05
Bovada🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -3.46%E -3.29%K -69.15%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -15.42%E -1.47%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-28 22:24
SportsBet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.38%E -4.21%K -109.43%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -19.45%E -1.95%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-28 23:00
TAB🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -4.38%E -4.21%K -109.43%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -19.45%E -1.95%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-28 21:20
Betway🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -5.30%E -5.14%K -176.55%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -19.45%E -1.95%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-28 23:30
Coolbet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 90.53%EV -6.22%E -6.09%K -310.80%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.47%EV -21.46%E -2.20%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-28 23:30
Paddy Power🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -4.38%E -4.21%K -109.43%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -23.48%E -2.47%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-28 21:09
BoyleSports🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.22%EV -5.30%E -5.14%K -176.55%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.78%EV -23.48%E -2.47%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-28 23:30
LeoVegas🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 88.90%EV -5.30%E -5.14%K -176.55%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.10%EV -33.55%E -4.07%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-28 23:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎1.06I 94.34%NM 93.60%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.40%0.8%2026-08-28 23:30
Novig◎1.06I 94.34%NM 93.55%15.38I 6.50%NM 6.45%0.8%2026-08-28 23:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60%1.0%2026-08-28 23:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60%1.0%2026-08-28 23:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60%1.0%2026-08-28 23:30
ProphetX◎1.06I 94.34%NM 93.19%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.81%1.2%2026-08-28 23:30
Polymarket◎1.06I 94.34%NM 93.09%14.29I 7.00%NM 6.91%1.3%2026-08-28 21:00
Kalshi◎1.05I 95.24%NM 93.16%14.29I 7.00%NM 6.84%2.2%2026-08-28 23:25