Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Indiana Fever v Atlanta Dream

Kickoff: 2026-06-04 23:00 UTC

Final: Indiana Fever 83–71 Atlanta Dream

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

40 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Indiana Fever (Local)

Prediction 50.26%1.99fair odd
EV -1.99%
Edge -1.02%
Kelly -2.09%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.93%50.50%50.00%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.781.891.911.9556.18%52.98%52.36%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Atlanta Dream (Visit)

Prediction 49.74%2.01fair odd
EV -0.524%
Edge -0.262%
Kelly -0.524%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.37%49.50%50.00%51.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.781.921.912.0056.18%52.20%52.36%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Indiana Fever (Local): 50.26%; Atlanta Dream (Visit): 49.74%. For Atlanta Dream (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.01. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.00, with an expected value of -0.524%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.99%E -1.02%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.01%E -1.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-04 22:50
Pinnacle🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -2.99%E -1.55%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -4.01%E -2.08%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-04 22:20
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.09%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.62%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-04 20:19
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.09%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.62%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-04 22:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.09%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.62%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-04 22:10
GTbets🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.09%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.62%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-04 22:29
LeoVegas🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.09%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.62%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-04 22:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.09%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.62%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-04 22:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.09%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.62%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-04 22:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.09%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.62%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-04 22:40
Unibet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.09%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.62%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-04 22:39
Bally Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.09%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.62%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-04 22:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.09%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.62%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-04 22:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.09%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.62%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-04 22:39
betPARX🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.09%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.62%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-04 22:39
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.09%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.62%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-04 22:10
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.09%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.62%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-04 20:39
BetUS🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.09%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.62%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-04 21:50
ReBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.00%E -2.09%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -5.50%E -2.89%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-04 22:29
MyBookie.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.00%E -2.09%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -5.50%E -2.89%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-04 22:28
Fliff🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.00%E -2.09%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.98%E -4.91%K -10.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-04 22:39
TAB🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.37%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.50%E -2.89%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-04 22:29
DraftKings🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.01%E -2.65%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.01%E -2.08%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-04 18:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.01%E -2.65%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.01%E -2.08%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-04 22:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.01%E -2.65%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.01%E -2.08%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-04 22:50
BetRivers🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.01%E -2.65%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.99%E -3.17%K -6.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-04 22:40
TABtouch🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.01%E -2.65%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.99%E -3.17%K -6.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-04 22:39
FanDuel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.51%E -2.93%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -3.51%E -1.81%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-04 22:50
SportsBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.51%E -2.93%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.50%E -2.35%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-04 22:50
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.51%E -2.93%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.49%E -3.45%K -7.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-04 22:10
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.51%E -2.93%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.49%E -3.45%K -7.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-04 22:10
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.01%E -3.21%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.01%E -1.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-04 16:57
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.01%E -3.21%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.01%E -1.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-04 22:09
Neds🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -6.01%E -3.21%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.51%E -1.81%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-04 22:08
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -6.01%E -3.21%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.51%E -1.81%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-04 22:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -9.53%E -5.29%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -0.524%E -0.262%K -0.524%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-04 01:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -9.53%E -5.29%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -0.524%E -0.262%K -0.524%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-04 01:40
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -9.53%E -5.29%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -0.524%E -0.262%K -0.524%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-04 01:40
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -9.53%E -5.29%K -11.91%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.00%E -2.62%K -5.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-04 22:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.00%EV -10.53%E -5.92%K -13.51%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.00%EV -11.47%E -6.44%K -14.70%G +0.000%12.4%2026-06-04 22:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%0.5%2026-06-04 22:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%0.5%2026-06-04 22:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%0.5%2026-06-04 22:50
Novig1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-06-04 22:50
ProphetX1.99I 50.25%NM 49.87%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.13%0.8%2026-06-04 22:50
Polymarket2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-06-04 22:50
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-06-04 22:50