Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Indiana Fever v Atlanta Dream

Início: 2026-06-04 23:00 UTC

Final: Indiana Fever 83–71 Atlanta Dream

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

40 casas de apostas (13 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Indiana Fever (Local)

Previsão 50.26%1.99odd justa
EV -1.99%
Vantagem -1.02%
Kelly -2.09%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.95

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.93%50.50%50.00%52.63%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.781.891.911.9556.18%52.98%52.36%51.28%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Atlanta Dream (Visitante)

Previsão 49.74%2.01odd justa
EV -0.524%
Vantagem -0.262%
Kelly -0.524%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.37%49.50%50.00%51.07%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.781.921.912.0056.18%52.20%52.36%50.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Indiana Fever (Local): 50.26%; Atlanta Dream (Visitante): 49.74%. Para Atlanta Dream (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.01. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.00, com valor esperado de -0.524%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (40 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.99%E -1.02%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.01%E -1.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-04 22:50
Pinnacle🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -2.99%E -1.55%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -4.01%E -2.08%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-04 22:20
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.09%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.62%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-04 20:19
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.09%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.62%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-04 22:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.09%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.62%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-04 22:10
GTbets🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.09%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.62%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-04 22:29
LeoVegas🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.09%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.62%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-04 22:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.09%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.62%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-04 22:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.09%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.62%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-04 22:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.09%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.62%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-04 22:40
Unibet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.09%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.62%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-04 22:39
Bally Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.09%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.62%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-04 22:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.09%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.62%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-04 22:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.09%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.62%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-04 22:39
betPARX🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.09%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.62%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-04 22:39
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.09%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.62%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-04 22:10
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.09%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.62%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-04 20:39
BetUS🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.09%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.00%E -2.62%K -5.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-04 21:50
ReBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.00%E -2.09%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -5.50%E -2.89%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-04 22:29
MyBookie.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.00%E -2.09%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -5.50%E -2.89%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-04 22:28
Fliff🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.00%E -2.09%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.98%E -4.91%K -10.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-04 22:39
TAB🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.50%E -2.37%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.50%E -2.89%K -6.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-04 22:29
DraftKings🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.01%E -2.65%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.01%E -2.08%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-04 18:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.01%E -2.65%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.01%E -2.08%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-04 22:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.01%E -2.65%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.01%E -2.08%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-04 22:50
BetRivers🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.01%E -2.65%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.99%E -3.17%K -6.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-04 22:40
TABtouch🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.01%E -2.65%K -5.62%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.99%E -3.17%K -6.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-04 22:39
FanDuel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.51%E -2.93%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -3.51%E -1.81%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-04 22:50
SportsBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.51%E -2.93%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.50%E -2.35%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-04 22:50
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.51%E -2.93%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.49%E -3.45%K -7.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-04 22:10
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.51%E -2.93%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.49%E -3.45%K -7.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-04 22:10
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.01%E -3.21%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.01%E -1.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-04 16:57
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.01%E -3.21%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.01%E -1.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-04 22:09
Neds🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -6.01%E -3.21%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.51%E -1.81%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-04 22:08
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -6.01%E -3.21%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.51%E -1.81%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-04 22:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -9.53%E -5.29%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -0.524%E -0.262%K -0.524%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-04 01:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -9.53%E -5.29%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -0.524%E -0.262%K -0.524%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-04 01:40
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -9.53%E -5.29%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -0.524%E -0.262%K -0.524%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-04 01:40
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -9.53%E -5.29%K -11.91%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.00%E -2.62%K -5.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-04 22:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.00%EV -10.53%E -5.92%K -13.51%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.00%EV -11.47%E -6.44%K -14.70%G +0.000%12.4%2026-06-04 22:39
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%0.5%2026-06-04 22:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%0.5%2026-06-04 22:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%0.5%2026-06-04 22:50
Novig1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-06-04 22:50
ProphetX1.99I 50.25%NM 49.87%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.13%0.8%2026-06-04 22:50
Polymarket2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-06-04 22:50
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-06-04 22:50