Language:English
Golden State Valkyries v Washington Mystics
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Golden State Valkyries (Local)
Prediction 76.72%1.30fair odd
EV -1.80%
Edge -1.41%
Kelly -6.43%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.28
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.85%76.65%76.78%77.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.191.241.241.2884.03%80.56%80.65%78.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Washington Mystics (Visit)
Prediction 23.28%4.30fair odd
EV -0.816%
Edge -0.192%
Kelly -0.250%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.26
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.65%23.35%23.22%25.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.054.104.2626.67%24.69%24.39%23.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Golden State Valkyries (Local): 76.72%; Washington Mystics (Visit): 23.28%. For Washington Mystics (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.30. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.26, with an expected value of -0.816%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.85%EV -1.80%E -1.41%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.81I 26.25%NM 25.15%EV -11.29%E -2.96%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-18 23:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -2.57%E -2.02%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -8.03%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-18 20:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.27%EV -3.34%E -2.65%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV -5.71%E -1.41%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-19 00:29 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -3.34%E -2.65%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -11.53%E -3.03%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-19 00:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.31%EV -4.10%E -3.28%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.69%EV -0.816%E -0.192%K -0.250%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-19 00:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.27%EV -4.10%E -3.28%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.73%EV -1.05%E -0.247%K -0.323%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-19 00:29 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.27%EV -4.10%E -3.28%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.73%EV -1.05%E -0.247%K -0.323%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-19 00:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.10%E -3.28%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -2.21%E -0.527%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-18 21:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.10%E -3.28%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -2.21%E -0.527%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-19 00:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.10%E -3.28%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -2.21%E -0.527%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-19 00:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -4.10%E -3.28%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -3.14%E -0.756%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-19 00:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -4.10%E -3.28%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -3.14%E -0.756%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-19 00:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.10%E -3.28%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -4.54%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-19 00:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.10%E -3.28%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -4.54%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-18 16:38 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.10%E -3.28%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.87%E -1.72%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-18 15:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.10%E -3.28%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.87%E -1.72%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-18 15:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.10%E -3.28%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.87%E -1.72%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-18 15:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.10%E -3.28%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.87%E -1.72%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-18 22:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.10%E -3.28%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.87%E -1.72%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-18 17:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.10%E -3.28%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.87%E -1.72%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-19 00:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.10%E -3.28%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.87%E -1.72%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-19 00:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.87%E -3.93%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -2.21%E -0.527%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-19 00:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.87%E -3.93%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.54%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-18 23:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.87%E -3.93%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.54%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-19 00:14 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.87%E -3.93%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.54%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-19 00:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.87%E -3.93%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.54%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-19 00:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.87%E -3.93%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.54%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-18 22:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.87%E -3.93%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.54%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-18 22:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.87%E -3.93%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.54%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-19 00:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.87%E -3.93%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.54%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-18 22:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.87%E -3.93%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.54%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-19 00:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.87%E -3.93%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.54%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-18 21:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.87%E -3.93%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.54%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-19 00:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.87%E -3.93%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.54%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-18 22:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.87%E -3.93%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.54%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-18 22:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -4.87%E -3.93%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -12.69%E -3.38%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-19 00:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.64%E -4.58%K -24.51%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.21%E -0.527%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-19 00:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -6.40%E -5.25%K -29.11%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -3.38%E -0.814%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-18 23:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -6.40%E -5.25%K -29.11%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -5.71%E -1.41%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-19 00:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -6.40%E -5.25%K -29.11%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -5.71%E -1.41%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-19 00:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.40%E -5.25%K -29.11%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.87%E -1.72%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-19 00:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.40%E -5.25%K -29.11%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -9.20%E -2.36%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-19 00:14 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -6.40%E -5.25%K -29.11%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -11.53%E -3.03%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-19 00:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.40%E -5.25%K -29.11%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -12.69%E -3.38%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-18 16:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.40%E -5.25%K -29.11%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -12.69%E -3.38%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-19 00:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 76.62%EV -8.71%E -7.32%K -45.82%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.38%EV -9.20%E -2.36%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-18 21:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 0.7% | 2026-07-19 00:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 0.7% | 2026-07-19 00:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 0.7% | 2026-07-19 00:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 0.7% | 2026-07-19 00:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74% | 1.1% | 2026-07-18 05:45 |
| Novig◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74% | 1.1% | 2026-07-19 00:29 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.40% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.60% | 1.7% | 2026-07-19 00:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.98% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 24.02% | 2.8% | 2026-07-19 00:30 |