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Golden State Valkyries v Washington Mystics
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Golden State Valkyries (Local)
Predicción 76.72%1.30momio equitativo
EV -1.80%
Ventaja -1.41%
Kelly -6.43%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.28
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
74.85%76.65%76.78%77.35%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.191.241.241.2884.03%80.56%80.65%78.13%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Washington Mystics (Visitante)
Predicción 23.28%4.30momio equitativo
EV -0.816%
Ventaja -0.192%
Kelly -0.250%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.26
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.65%23.35%23.22%25.15%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.754.054.104.2626.67%24.69%24.39%23.47%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Golden State Valkyries (Local): 76.72%; Washington Mystics (Visitante): 23.28%. Para Washington Mystics (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.30. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 4.26, con un valor esperado de -0.816%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.85%EV -1.80%E -1.41%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.81I 26.25%NM 25.15%EV -11.29%E -2.96%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-18 23:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -2.57%E -2.02%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -8.03%E -2.03%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-18 20:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.27%EV -3.34%E -2.65%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV -5.71%E -1.41%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-19 00:29 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -3.34%E -2.65%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -11.53%E -3.03%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-19 00:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.31%EV -4.10%E -3.28%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.69%EV -0.816%E -0.192%K -0.250%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-19 00:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.27%EV -4.10%E -3.28%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.73%EV -1.05%E -0.247%K -0.323%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-19 00:29 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.27%EV -4.10%E -3.28%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.73%EV -1.05%E -0.247%K -0.323%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-19 00:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.10%E -3.28%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -2.21%E -0.527%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-18 21:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.10%E -3.28%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -2.21%E -0.527%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-19 00:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -4.10%E -3.28%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -2.21%E -0.527%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-19 00:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -4.10%E -3.28%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -3.14%E -0.756%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-19 00:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -4.10%E -3.28%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -3.14%E -0.756%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-19 00:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.10%E -3.28%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -4.54%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-19 00:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.10%E -3.28%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -4.54%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-18 16:38 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.10%E -3.28%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.87%E -1.72%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-18 15:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.10%E -3.28%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.87%E -1.72%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-18 15:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.10%E -3.28%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.87%E -1.72%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-18 15:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.10%E -3.28%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.87%E -1.72%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-18 22:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.10%E -3.28%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.87%E -1.72%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-18 17:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.10%E -3.28%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.87%E -1.72%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-19 00:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.10%E -3.28%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.87%E -1.72%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-19 00:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.87%E -3.93%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -2.21%E -0.527%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-19 00:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.87%E -3.93%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.54%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-18 23:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.87%E -3.93%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.54%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-19 00:14 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.87%E -3.93%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.54%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-19 00:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.87%E -3.93%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.54%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-19 00:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.87%E -3.93%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.54%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-18 22:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.87%E -3.93%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.54%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-18 22:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.87%E -3.93%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.54%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-19 00:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.87%E -3.93%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.54%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-18 22:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.87%E -3.93%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.54%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-19 00:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.87%E -3.93%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.54%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-18 21:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.87%E -3.93%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.54%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-19 00:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.87%E -3.93%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.54%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-18 22:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.87%E -3.93%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -4.54%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-18 22:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -4.87%E -3.93%K -20.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -12.69%E -3.38%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-19 00:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.64%E -4.58%K -24.51%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.21%E -0.527%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-19 00:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -6.40%E -5.25%K -29.11%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -3.38%E -0.814%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-18 23:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -6.40%E -5.25%K -29.11%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -5.71%E -1.41%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-19 00:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -6.40%E -5.25%K -29.11%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -5.71%E -1.41%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-19 00:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.40%E -5.25%K -29.11%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -6.87%E -1.72%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-19 00:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.40%E -5.25%K -29.11%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -9.20%E -2.36%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-19 00:14 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -6.40%E -5.25%K -29.11%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -11.53%E -3.03%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-19 00:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.40%E -5.25%K -29.11%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -12.69%E -3.38%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-18 16:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.40%E -5.25%K -29.11%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -12.69%E -3.38%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-19 00:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 76.62%EV -8.71%E -7.32%K -45.82%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.38%EV -9.20%E -2.36%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-18 21:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 0.7% | 2026-07-19 00:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 0.7% | 2026-07-19 00:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 0.7% | 2026-07-19 00:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 0.7% | 2026-07-19 00:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74% | 1.1% | 2026-07-18 05:45 |
| Novig◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74% | 1.1% | 2026-07-19 00:29 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.40% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.60% | 1.7% | 2026-07-19 00:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.98% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 24.02% | 2.8% | 2026-07-19 00:30 |