默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Golden State Valkyries v Phoenix Mercury

开赛时间: 2026-06-10 02:10 UTC

最终结果: Golden State Valkyries 87–81 Phoenix Mercury

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

43 家博彩公司 (15 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Golden State Valkyries (主队)

预测 73.85%1.35公平赔率
EV -1.78%
优势 -1.34%
Kelly -5.39%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.33

博彩公司预测分布
71.26%73.84%73.47%75.90%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.251.301.301.3380.00%76.90%76.92%75.19%最小值均值中位数最大值

Phoenix Mercury (客队)

预测 26.15%3.82公平赔率
EV +4.60%
优势 +1.15%
Kelly +1.53%
增长率 +0.071%

假设最高赔率为 4.00

博彩公司预测分布
24.10%26.16%26.53%28.74%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.103.543.504.0032.26%28.25%28.57%25.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Golden State Valkyries (主队):73.85%;Phoenix Mercury (客队):26.15%。 对于“Phoenix Mercury (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.82。 当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为4.00,对应+4.60%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (43 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
Bet Victor🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -6.21%E -4.89%K -23.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV +4.60%E +1.15%K +1.53%G +0.071%3.7%2026-06-10 01:57
theScore Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.95%E -5.52%K -26.73%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +1.99%E +0.509%K +0.685%G +0.014%5.0%2026-06-10 01:59
Pinnacle🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -5.47%E -4.28%K -19.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV +0.679%E +0.176%K +0.238%G +0.002%4.1%2026-06-10 01:59
BetUS🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.73%E -3.67%K -16.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -0.629%E -0.166%K -0.225%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-10 01:59
Bovada🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.73%E -3.67%K -16.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -1.94%E -0.516%K -0.704%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-10 01:58
BetMGM🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.73%E -3.67%K -16.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -1.94%E -0.516%K -0.704%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-08 19:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.69%E -6.15%K -30.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -1.94%E -0.516%K -0.704%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-10 01:59
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.69%E -6.15%K -30.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -1.94%E -0.516%K -0.704%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-10 01:59
Caesars🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.73%E -3.67%K -16.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.24%E -0.877%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-10 01:59
GTbets🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.00%E -3.07%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -4.55%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-09 23:49
ReBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.73%E -3.67%K -16.32%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.55%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-10 01:59
DraftKings🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.26%E -2.49%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -5.86%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-10 01:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.26%E -2.49%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -5.86%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-10 01:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.26%E -2.49%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -5.86%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-10 01:19
Fanatics🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.00%E -3.07%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.86%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-10 01:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.00%E -3.07%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.86%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-08 19:49
Neds🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.00%E -3.07%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.86%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-08 19:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.73%E -3.67%K -16.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.86%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-09 23:39
MyBookie.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.73%E -3.67%K -16.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.86%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-09 23:48
SportsBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.47%E -4.28%K -19.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -5.86%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-10 01:59
FanDuel🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.26%E -2.49%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -8.47%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-10 01:09
BetAnything🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.26%E -2.49%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -8.47%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-09 23:49
888sport🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.00%E -3.07%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.47%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-09 23:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.00%E -3.07%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.47%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-09 23:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.00%E -3.07%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.47%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-09 23:20
Fliff🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.73%E -3.67%K -16.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.47%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-10 01:59
BoyleSports🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.73%E -3.67%K -16.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.47%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-10 01:48
Unibet (NL)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -1.78%E -1.34%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -11.09%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-10 00:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -1.78%E -1.34%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -11.09%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-10 00:19
LeoVegas🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -1.78%E -1.34%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -11.09%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-10 00:19
Unibet (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -1.78%E -1.34%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -11.09%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-10 00:19
Unibet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -1.78%E -1.34%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -11.09%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-10 00:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -1.78%E -1.34%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -11.09%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-10 00:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -1.78%E -1.34%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -11.09%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-10 00:19
betPARX🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -1.78%E -1.34%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -11.09%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-10 00:09
Bally Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -1.78%E -1.34%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -11.09%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-10 00:09
NordicBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.00%E -3.07%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -11.09%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-09 23:19
Betsson🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.00%E -3.07%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -11.09%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-09 23:19
TAB🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.00%E -3.07%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -11.09%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-09 23:39
TABtouch🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -1.78%E -1.34%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -13.70%E -4.15%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-10 00:19
BetRivers🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -1.78%E -1.34%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -13.70%E -4.15%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-10 00:19
Paddy Power🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -4.73%E -3.67%K -16.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -15.01%E -4.62%K -6.67%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-10 00:19
PMU (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.26%EV -7.69%E -6.15%K -30.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -18.93%E -6.11%K -9.02%G +0.000%12.3%2026-06-10 00:19
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (7)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19%0.5%2026-06-10 01:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19%0.5%2026-06-10 01:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19%0.5%2026-06-10 01:59
Kalshi1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-06-10 01:59
Polymarket1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.2%2026-06-09 22:49
ProphetX1.32I 75.76%NM 74.71%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.29%1.4%2026-06-10 01:59
Novig1.32I 75.76%NM 74.52%3.86I 25.91%NM 25.48%1.7%2026-06-10 01:59