A Escola das Odds

Golden State Valkyries v Phoenix Mercury

Início: 2026-06-10 02:10 UTC

Final: Golden State Valkyries 87–81 Phoenix Mercury

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

43 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Golden State Valkyries (Local)

Previsão 73.85%1.35odd justa
EV -1.78%
Vantagem -1.34%
Kelly -5.39%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.33

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
71.26%73.84%73.47%75.90%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.251.301.301.3380.00%76.90%76.92%75.19%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Phoenix Mercury (Visitante)

Previsão 26.15%3.82odd justa
EV +4.60%
Vantagem +1.15%
Kelly +1.53%
Crescimento +0.071%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.10%26.16%26.53%28.74%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.103.543.504.0032.26%28.25%28.57%25.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (43 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Bet Victor1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -6.21%E -4.89%K -23.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV +4.60%E +1.15%K +1.53%G +0.071%3.7%2026-06-10 01:57
theScore Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.95%E -5.52%K -26.73%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +1.99%E +0.509%K +0.685%G +0.014%5.0%2026-06-10 01:59
Pinnacle1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -5.47%E -4.28%K -19.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV +0.679%E +0.176%K +0.238%G +0.002%4.1%2026-06-10 01:59
BetUS1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.73%E -3.67%K -16.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -0.629%E -0.166%K -0.225%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-10 01:59
Bovada1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.73%E -3.67%K -16.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -1.94%E -0.516%K -0.704%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-10 01:58
BetMGM1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.73%E -3.67%K -16.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -1.94%E -0.516%K -0.704%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-08 19:50
Unibet (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.69%E -6.15%K -30.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -1.94%E -0.516%K -0.704%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-10 01:59
Betway1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.69%E -6.15%K -30.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -1.94%E -0.516%K -0.704%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-10 01:59
Caesars1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.73%E -3.67%K -16.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.24%E -0.877%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-10 01:59
GTbets1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.00%E -3.07%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -4.55%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-09 23:49
ReBet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.73%E -3.67%K -16.32%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.55%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-10 01:59
DraftKings1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.26%E -2.49%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -5.86%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-10 01:29
LowVig.ag1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.26%E -2.49%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -5.86%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-10 01:19
BetOnline.ag1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.26%E -2.49%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -5.86%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-10 01:19
Fanatics1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.00%E -3.07%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.86%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-10 01:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.00%E -3.07%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.86%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-08 19:49
Neds1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.00%E -3.07%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.86%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-08 19:50
Hard Rock Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.73%E -3.67%K -16.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.86%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-09 23:39
MyBookie.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.73%E -3.67%K -16.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.86%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-09 23:48
SportsBet1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.47%E -4.28%K -19.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -5.86%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-10 01:59
FanDuel1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.26%E -2.49%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -8.47%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-10 01:09
BetAnything1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.26%E -2.49%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -8.47%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-09 23:49
888sport1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.00%E -3.07%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.47%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-09 23:20
Mr Green (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.00%E -3.07%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.47%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-09 23:19
888sport (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.00%E -3.07%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.47%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-09 23:20
Fliff1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.73%E -3.67%K -16.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.47%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-10 01:59
BoyleSports1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.73%E -3.67%K -16.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.47%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-10 01:48
Unibet (NL)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -1.78%E -1.34%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -11.09%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-10 00:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -1.78%E -1.34%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -11.09%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-10 00:19
LeoVegas1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -1.78%E -1.34%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -11.09%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-10 00:19
Unibet (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -1.78%E -1.34%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -11.09%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-10 00:19
Unibet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -1.78%E -1.34%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -11.09%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-10 00:19
ATG (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -1.78%E -1.34%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -11.09%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-10 00:19
Svenska Spel1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -1.78%E -1.34%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -11.09%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-10 00:19
betPARX1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -1.78%E -1.34%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -11.09%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-10 00:09
Bally Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -1.78%E -1.34%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -11.09%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-10 00:09
NordicBet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.00%E -3.07%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -11.09%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-09 23:19
Betsson1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.00%E -3.07%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -11.09%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-09 23:19
TAB1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.00%E -3.07%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -11.09%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-09 23:39
TABtouch1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -1.78%E -1.34%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -13.70%E -4.15%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-10 00:19
BetRivers1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -1.78%E -1.34%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -13.70%E -4.15%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-10 00:19
Paddy Power1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -4.73%E -3.67%K -16.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -15.01%E -4.62%K -6.67%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-10 00:19
PMU (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 71.26%EV -7.69%E -6.15%K -30.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -18.93%E -6.11%K -9.02%G +0.000%12.3%2026-06-10 00:19
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19%0.5%2026-06-10 01:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19%0.5%2026-06-10 01:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19%0.5%2026-06-10 01:59
Kalshi1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-06-10 01:59
Polymarket1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.2%2026-06-09 22:49
ProphetX1.32I 75.76%NM 74.71%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.29%1.4%2026-06-10 01:59
Novig1.32I 75.76%NM 74.52%3.86I 25.91%NM 25.48%1.7%2026-06-10 01:59