La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Golden State Valkyries v Phoenix Mercury
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Golden State Valkyries (Local)
Predicción 73.85%1.35momio equitativo
EV -1.78%
Ventaja -1.34%
Kelly -5.39%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.33
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
71.26%73.84%73.47%75.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.251.301.301.3380.00%76.90%76.92%75.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Phoenix Mercury (Visitante)
Predicción 26.15%3.82momio equitativo
EV +4.60%
Ventaja +1.15%
Kelly +1.53%
Crecimiento +0.071%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.10%26.16%26.53%28.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.543.504.0032.26%28.25%28.57%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (43 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -6.21%E -4.89%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV +4.60%E +1.15%K +1.53%G +0.071% | 3.7% | 2026-06-10 01:57 |
| theScore Bet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.95%E -5.52%K -26.73%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +1.99%E +0.509%K +0.685%G +0.014% | 5.0% | 2026-06-10 01:59 |
| Pinnacle | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -5.47%E -4.28%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV +0.679%E +0.176%K +0.238%G +0.002% | 4.1% | 2026-06-10 01:59 |
| BetUS | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.73%E -3.67%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -0.629%E -0.166%K -0.225%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-10 01:59 |
| Bovada | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.73%E -3.67%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -1.94%E -0.516%K -0.704%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-10 01:58 |
| BetMGM | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.73%E -3.67%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -1.94%E -0.516%K -0.704%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-08 19:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.69%E -6.15%K -30.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -1.94%E -0.516%K -0.704%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-10 01:59 |
| Betway | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.69%E -6.15%K -30.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -1.94%E -0.516%K -0.704%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-10 01:59 |
| Caesars | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.73%E -3.67%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.24%E -0.877%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-10 01:59 |
| GTbets | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -4.00%E -3.07%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -4.55%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-09 23:49 |
| ReBet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.73%E -3.67%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.55%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-10 01:59 |
| DraftKings | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.26%E -2.49%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -5.86%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-10 01:29 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.26%E -2.49%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -5.86%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-10 01:19 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.26%E -2.49%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -5.86%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-10 01:19 |
| Fanatics | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.00%E -3.07%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.86%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-10 01:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.00%E -3.07%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.86%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-08 19:49 |
| Neds | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.00%E -3.07%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.86%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-08 19:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.73%E -3.67%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.86%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-09 23:39 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.73%E -3.67%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.86%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-09 23:48 |
| SportsBet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.47%E -4.28%K -19.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -5.86%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-10 01:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.26%E -2.49%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -8.47%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-10 01:09 |
| BetAnything | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -3.26%E -2.49%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -8.47%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-09 23:49 |
| 888sport | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.00%E -3.07%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.47%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-09 23:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.00%E -3.07%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.47%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-09 23:19 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.00%E -3.07%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.47%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-09 23:20 |
| Fliff | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.73%E -3.67%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.47%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-10 01:59 |
| BoyleSports | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.73%E -3.67%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.47%E -2.42%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-10 01:48 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -1.78%E -1.34%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -11.09%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-10 00:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -1.78%E -1.34%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -11.09%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-10 00:19 |
| LeoVegas | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -1.78%E -1.34%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -11.09%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-10 00:19 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -1.78%E -1.34%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -11.09%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-10 00:19 |
| Unibet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -1.78%E -1.34%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -11.09%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-10 00:19 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -1.78%E -1.34%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -11.09%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-10 00:19 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -1.78%E -1.34%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -11.09%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-10 00:19 |
| betPARX | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -1.78%E -1.34%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -11.09%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-10 00:09 |
| Bally Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -1.78%E -1.34%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -11.09%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-10 00:09 |
| NordicBet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.00%E -3.07%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -11.09%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-09 23:19 |
| Betsson | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.00%E -3.07%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -11.09%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-09 23:19 |
| TAB | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.00%E -3.07%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -11.09%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-09 23:39 |
| TABtouch | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -1.78%E -1.34%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -13.70%E -4.15%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-10 00:19 |
| BetRivers | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -1.78%E -1.34%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -13.70%E -4.15%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-10 00:19 |
| Paddy Power | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -4.73%E -3.67%K -16.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -15.01%E -4.62%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-10 00:19 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.26%EV -7.69%E -6.15%K -30.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -18.93%E -6.11%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-06-10 00:19 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19% | 0.5% | 2026-06-10 01:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19% | 0.5% | 2026-06-10 01:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19% | 0.5% | 2026-06-10 01:59 |
| Kalshi | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-06-10 01:59 |
| Polymarket | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68% | 1.2% | 2026-06-09 22:49 |
| ProphetX | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.71% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.29% | 1.4% | 2026-06-10 01:59 |
| Novig | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.52% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 25.48% | 1.7% | 2026-06-10 01:59 |