L’École des cotesFrançais
Golden State Valkyries v Phoenix Mercury
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Golden State Valkyries (Local)
Prévision 55.40%1.81cote équitable
EV -3.06%
Avantage -1.75%
Kelly -4.08%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.75
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.20%55.59%55.28%57.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.551.701.701.7564.52%58.89%58.82%57.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Phoenix Mercury (Visiteur)
Prévision 44.60%2.24cote équitable
EV +0.361%
Avantage +0.160%
Kelly +0.289%
Croissance +0.001%
avec la cote maximale 2.25
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.46%44.41%44.72%45.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.162.152.2550.00%46.20%46.51%44.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -8.04%E -4.85%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV +0.361%E +0.160%K +0.289%G +0.001% | 4.7% | 2026-05-10 23:49 |
| LeoVegas | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -8.04%E -4.85%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV +0.361%E +0.160%K +0.289%G +0.001% | 4.7% | 2026-05-10 23:49 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -8.04%E -4.85%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV +0.361%E +0.160%K +0.289%G +0.001% | 4.7% | 2026-05-10 23:49 |
| TABtouch | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -8.04%E -4.85%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV +0.361%E +0.160%K +0.289%G +0.001% | 4.7% | 2026-05-10 23:49 |
| Unibet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -8.04%E -4.85%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV +0.361%E +0.160%K +0.289%G +0.001% | 4.7% | 2026-05-10 23:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -8.04%E -4.85%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV +0.361%E +0.160%K +0.289%G +0.001% | 4.7% | 2026-05-10 23:49 |
| betPARX | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -8.04%E -4.85%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV +0.361%E +0.160%K +0.289%G +0.001% | 4.7% | 2026-05-10 23:49 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -8.04%E -4.85%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV +0.361%E +0.160%K +0.289%G +0.001% | 4.7% | 2026-05-10 23:49 |
| Bally Bet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -8.04%E -4.85%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV +0.361%E +0.160%K +0.289%G +0.001% | 4.7% | 2026-05-10 23:49 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -8.04%E -4.85%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV +0.361%E +0.160%K +0.289%G +0.001% | 4.7% | 2026-05-10 23:49 |
| 1xBet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -6.94%E -4.13%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -0.531%E -0.238%K -0.432%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-11 00:10 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -8.04%E -4.85%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -0.531%E -0.238%K -0.432%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 00:04 |
| BetRivers | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -8.04%E -4.85%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -0.531%E -0.238%K -0.432%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 23:49 |
| BetMGM | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -6.38%E -3.78%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -1.87%E -0.850%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-10 23:49 |
| FanDuel | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -6.38%E -3.78%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -2.76%E -1.27%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-11 00:04 |
| Bet Victor | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.06%E -1.75%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -4.10%E -1.91%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-11 00:22 |
| theScore Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.61%E -2.08%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.10%E -1.91%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-10 23:59 |
| Caesars | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.61%E -2.08%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.10%E -1.91%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-10 23:02 |
| GTbets | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.61%E -2.08%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.10%E -1.91%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-10 22:24 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.61%E -2.08%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.10%E -1.91%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-10 23:54 |
| Bovada | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.61%E -2.08%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.10%E -1.91%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-10 23:48 |
| Betway | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.61%E -2.08%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.10%E -1.91%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-10 23:59 |
| BetAnything | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.61%E -2.08%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.10%E -1.91%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-10 21:44 |
| BetUS | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.61%E -2.08%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.10%E -1.91%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-11 00:24 |
| Fanatics | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.27%E -3.08%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.10%E -1.91%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-10 21:49 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.83%E -3.43%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.10%E -1.91%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 00:00 |
| Bet Right | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.83%E -3.43%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.10%E -1.91%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 23:54 |
| SportsBet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.94%E -4.13%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.10%E -1.91%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-11 00:04 |
| Coolbet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.94%E -4.13%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.10%E -1.91%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-10 22:34 |
| Pinnacle | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.06%E -1.75%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -4.55%E -2.12%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-10 23:49 |
| DraftKings | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.61%E -2.08%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.55%E -2.12%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-10 21:44 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.17%E -2.41%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.55%E -2.12%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-10 23:59 |
| ReBet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.27%E -3.08%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.55%E -2.12%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-11 00:24 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -3.06%E -1.75%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -4.99%E -2.34%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-11 00:23 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -3.06%E -1.75%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -4.99%E -2.34%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-11 00:24 |
| Betsson | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.83%E -3.43%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.44%E -2.56%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-11 00:04 |
| NordicBet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.83%E -3.43%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.44%E -2.56%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-11 00:04 |
| Neds | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.17%E -2.41%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.33%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 22:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.17%E -2.41%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.33%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 22:24 |
| 888sport | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.17%E -2.41%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.33%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-11 00:24 |
| TAB | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.83%E -3.43%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.33%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-11 00:24 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.49%E -4.49%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.33%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-11 00:19 |
| BoyleSports | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.49%E -4.49%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.33%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-11 00:04 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.30%EV -14.14%E -9.12%K -25.70%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.70%EV -7.22%E -3.47%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-10 23:49 |
| Fliff | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%EV -6.38%E -3.78%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.80%EV -10.79%E -5.40%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-11 00:09 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20% | 1.9% | 2026-05-11 00:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19% | 2.1% | 2026-05-11 00:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19% | 2.1% | 2026-05-11 00:24 |
| ProphetX | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94% | 2.2% | 2026-05-11 00:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.08% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.92% | 2.7% | 2026-05-11 00:24 |
| Novig | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.96% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.04% | 2.8% | 2026-05-11 00:24 |
| Polymarket | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67% | 3.0% | 2026-05-11 00:24 |