La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Golden State Valkyries v Phoenix Mercury
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Golden State Valkyries (Local)
Predicción 55.40%1.81momio equitativo
EV -3.06%
Ventaja -1.75%
Kelly -4.08%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.20%55.59%55.28%57.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.551.701.701.7564.52%58.89%58.82%57.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Phoenix Mercury (Visitante)
Predicción 44.60%2.24momio equitativo
EV +0.361%
Ventaja +0.160%
Kelly +0.289%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.46%44.41%44.72%45.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.162.152.2550.00%46.20%46.51%44.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -8.04%E -4.85%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV +0.361%E +0.160%K +0.289%G +0.001% | 4.7% | 2026-05-10 23:49 |
| LeoVegas | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -8.04%E -4.85%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV +0.361%E +0.160%K +0.289%G +0.001% | 4.7% | 2026-05-10 23:49 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -8.04%E -4.85%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV +0.361%E +0.160%K +0.289%G +0.001% | 4.7% | 2026-05-10 23:49 |
| TABtouch | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -8.04%E -4.85%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV +0.361%E +0.160%K +0.289%G +0.001% | 4.7% | 2026-05-10 23:49 |
| Unibet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -8.04%E -4.85%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV +0.361%E +0.160%K +0.289%G +0.001% | 4.7% | 2026-05-10 23:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -8.04%E -4.85%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV +0.361%E +0.160%K +0.289%G +0.001% | 4.7% | 2026-05-10 23:49 |
| betPARX | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -8.04%E -4.85%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV +0.361%E +0.160%K +0.289%G +0.001% | 4.7% | 2026-05-10 23:49 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -8.04%E -4.85%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV +0.361%E +0.160%K +0.289%G +0.001% | 4.7% | 2026-05-10 23:49 |
| Bally Bet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -8.04%E -4.85%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV +0.361%E +0.160%K +0.289%G +0.001% | 4.7% | 2026-05-10 23:49 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -8.04%E -4.85%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV +0.361%E +0.160%K +0.289%G +0.001% | 4.7% | 2026-05-10 23:49 |
| 1xBet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -6.94%E -4.13%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -0.531%E -0.238%K -0.432%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-11 00:10 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -8.04%E -4.85%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -0.531%E -0.238%K -0.432%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 00:04 |
| BetRivers | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -8.04%E -4.85%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -0.531%E -0.238%K -0.432%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 23:49 |
| BetMGM | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -6.38%E -3.78%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -1.87%E -0.850%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-10 23:49 |
| FanDuel | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -6.38%E -3.78%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -2.76%E -1.27%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-11 00:04 |
| Bet Victor | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.06%E -1.75%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -4.10%E -1.91%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-11 00:22 |
| theScore Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.61%E -2.08%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.10%E -1.91%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-10 23:59 |
| Caesars | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.61%E -2.08%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.10%E -1.91%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-10 23:02 |
| GTbets | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.61%E -2.08%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.10%E -1.91%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-10 22:24 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.61%E -2.08%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.10%E -1.91%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-10 23:54 |
| Bovada | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.61%E -2.08%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.10%E -1.91%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-10 23:48 |
| Betway | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.61%E -2.08%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.10%E -1.91%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-10 23:59 |
| BetAnything | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.61%E -2.08%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.10%E -1.91%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-10 21:44 |
| BetUS | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.61%E -2.08%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.10%E -1.91%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-11 00:24 |
| Fanatics | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.27%E -3.08%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.10%E -1.91%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-10 21:49 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.83%E -3.43%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.10%E -1.91%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 00:00 |
| Bet Right | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.83%E -3.43%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.10%E -1.91%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 23:54 |
| SportsBet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.94%E -4.13%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.10%E -1.91%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-11 00:04 |
| Coolbet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.94%E -4.13%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.10%E -1.91%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-10 22:34 |
| Pinnacle | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.06%E -1.75%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -4.55%E -2.12%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-10 23:49 |
| DraftKings | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.61%E -2.08%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.55%E -2.12%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-10 21:44 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.17%E -2.41%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.55%E -2.12%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-10 23:59 |
| ReBet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.27%E -3.08%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.55%E -2.12%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-11 00:24 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -3.06%E -1.75%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -4.99%E -2.34%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-11 00:23 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -3.06%E -1.75%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -4.99%E -2.34%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-11 00:24 |
| Betsson | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.83%E -3.43%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.44%E -2.56%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-11 00:04 |
| NordicBet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.83%E -3.43%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.44%E -2.56%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-11 00:04 |
| Neds | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.17%E -2.41%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.33%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 22:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.17%E -2.41%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.33%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 22:24 |
| 888sport | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.17%E -2.41%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.33%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-11 00:24 |
| TAB | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.83%E -3.43%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.33%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-11 00:24 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.49%E -4.49%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.33%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-11 00:19 |
| BoyleSports | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.49%E -4.49%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.33%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-11 00:04 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.30%EV -14.14%E -9.12%K -25.70%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.70%EV -7.22%E -3.47%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-10 23:49 |
| Fliff | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%EV -6.38%E -3.78%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.80%EV -10.79%E -5.40%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-11 00:09 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20% | 1.9% | 2026-05-11 00:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19% | 2.1% | 2026-05-11 00:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19% | 2.1% | 2026-05-11 00:24 |
| ProphetX | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94% | 2.2% | 2026-05-11 00:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.08% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.92% | 2.7% | 2026-05-11 00:24 |
| Novig | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.96% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.04% | 2.8% | 2026-05-11 00:24 |
| Polymarket | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67% | 3.0% | 2026-05-11 00:24 |